"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People"s Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay"s Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It"s A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine"
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I"m Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"WisdomTree
Investments, Inc."
posted December 26, 2006
"My
Father Died In Auschwitz"
posted January 19, 2007
"Lexam
Exploration, Inc."
posted February 11, 2007
"Robert
Friedland -
The Man of The Year"
posted February 21, 2007
"Rubicon
Minerals Corp."
posted March 1, 2007
"Warren
Buffett - Franklin Roosevelt"
posted March 15, 2007
"Golden
Valley Mines, Ltd"
posted April 21, 2007
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted May 22, 2007
"Bayswater
Uranium Corp."
posted May 30, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Was Hungarian"
posted May 31, 2007
"Portal
Resources"
posted June 12, 2007
"Aldershot
Resources Ltd."
posted July 16, 2007
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
Follow Up Report #1
posted July 24, 2007
"The
Age of Special "Corporate" Relationships"
posted August 23, 2007
"Interview
with
David Hjerpe - Newmac Resources, Inc."
posted August 27, 2007
"Interview
with
Jim Davis - President of Leeward Capital Corporation"
posted September 4, 2007
"Interview
with Professor William Pfaffenberger - Torch River
Resources"
posted September 22, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Returns"
posted September 27, 2007
"Jasper
Mining Corporation"
posted September 27, 2007
"Gold
Indexed Bonds"
posted October 11, 2007
"Tagish
Lake Gold Corp."
posted November 1, 2007
"Stalin
& Chavez"
posted November 9, 2007
"Sanj
Bayar -
The Prime Minister of Mongolia"
posted November 15, 2007
"The
Mongolian Wakeup Call"
posted November 16, 2007
"Watergate
Saved Nixon's Life"
posted November 28, 2007
"No
More Munich -
The Mongolian Version of 1938"
posted December 11, 2007
"Sir,
Do Not Abdicate"
posted December 27, 2007
"Mongolian
Gold"
posted January 8, 2008
"The
Unexpected
Mongolian Dilemma"
posted February 2, 2008
"Entrée
Gold, Inc"
posted February 11, 2008
"Gold
At 2000!!"
posted February 14, 2008
"Warren
Buffett Receives A Call From Franklin Roosevelt"
posted February 19, 2008
"Tanzania
Gold - Douglas Lake Minerals - Harp Sangha"
posted February 21, 2008
"Olympus
Pacific Minerals, Inc."
posted February 28, 2008
"Prime
Minister Sanj Bayar of Mongolia Receives The Nobel
Peace Prize"
posted March 17, 2008
"The
Mongolian Manifesto"
posted April 4, 2008
"Letter
to Prime Minister of Mongolia"
posted April 24, 2008
"Altek
Power Corp."
posted April 27, 2008
"Judy
Garland &
The Subprime Crisis"
posted April 29, 2008
"Western
Potash Corp.
(WPX-VSE) "
posted May 12, 2008
"Tanzania
- An Up & Coming Mineral & Agricultural Producer
In Africa"
posted June 2, 2008
"The
Emergence of Tanzania"
posted June 4, 2008
"North
American Gem, Inc."
posted June 5, 2008
"Mongolia:
The 10th Richest Country in the World"
posted June 10, 2008
"The
Douglas Lake Story In The Age Of Fear"
posted June 25, 2008
"Goldsource
Mines, Inc."
posted July 1, 2008
"Mongolian
Newsletter, First Edition"
posted July 2, 2008
"The
Mongolian Revolution"
posted July 10, 2008
"Cal-Maine
Foods Inc."
posted August 4, 2008
"Stalin
In The
White House"
posted September 2, 2008 |
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
RSS Feed
The
current trends in international finance,
as well as the dislocation of the American
induced monetary crisis, are creating not
only the old billions of business but actually
the new billions. If anything, there is
more need for international investment banking
and as more people work there will be more
need for wealth management. These developments
are not only on the multi-billion but on
the multi-trillion level.
It
is all done by educated and principled people.
This
is the world that is opening for Evercore
and its contemporaries.
|
Evercore
Partners, Inc.
(EVR
– NYSE, Inc.)
Price: $13½
52-range:
$20 - $7½
Book Value: $16.00
2007 Revenues: $271M
Revenue Per Share: $21.5M
Shares Outstanding: 11.66M
Note:
Fully diluted shares:
(1)
(2)
|
By the second half of 2008, the United
States unnecessarily created a real estate crisis which
has shaken up the very foundation of investment banking
all over the world. In fact, we have created the money
crisis of the 20th century—the tragic version of
the inverse Marshall Plan.
While the markets have been institutionalized in the beginning
of the 1990s, followed by the 21st century, the creative
side of the merger acquisition and money raising functions
have gradually shifted to a set of new companies that
call themselves “alternative asset managers”
and “alternative merger and acquisition entities.”
These entities—of which Evercore is a good example—gradually
broke into the most profitable segment of traditional
investment banking.
Next to the traditional international merger companies
like Lazar, there came an upstart, Greenhill & Company,
an investment banking firm in North America and Europe
that operates with only 214 employees. The company offers
advice on valuations, on strategy, structuring alternative
deals and financing. Greenhill was formed by a group of
individuals coming from major brokerage firms in the 1990s,
but it has accumulated a corporate value remarkable in
its achievements.
Market
cap $1.53 billion
Profit margin $29.35 million
Return of assets $40.3 million
|
|
The remarkable thing was that Greenhill achieved is revenues
of $430 million, an equivalent of $15 per share.
With 26.77 million shares outstanding, the resulting $1.53
market cap provides $76.500 value per employee.
We mustn’t forget that this has happened at a time
when a traditional investment banking house, Lehman Brothers,
shrank to a capitalization of $16 billion and its balance
sheet is actually of questionable value.
Meanwhile, the world has actually expanded. By the year
2010, 7 billion people will be working, domestic and international
transactions will exceed $100 trillion. The largest steel
company Mittal, which has been put together by mergers,
has a market cap of $120 billion, the potential takeover
of Rio Tinto by BHB has a size of $140 billion, and Cleveland
Cliffs is contemplating a $10 billion purchase of a large
American coal company.
Our intellectual assumption is that the
international corporate world needs companies, needs modern
banking companies, like Evercore Partners, Inc. Evercore
Partners is nothing but people. It was formed less
than 14 years ago by Roger Altman, a former Assistant
Secretary of the Treasury, who worked under the legendary
Senator Lloyd Bentsen. By definition it is an investment
banking boutique that provides advisory services to multinational
corporations worldwide on mergers, acquisitions, divestiture
and reconstruction.
INVESTMENT
BANKING COMPANIES RANKED BY INVESTMENT BANKING
SALES |
Company |
Symbol |
Price |
Market
Cap |
Citigroup
Global Markets Inc. |
Private |
|
|
JPMorgan
Chase & Co. |
JPM |
40.78 |
140.11B |
Goldman
Sachs Group Inc. |
GS |
178.97 |
70.48B |
Morgan
Stanley |
MS |
41.98 |
46.56B |
Merrill
Lynch & Co. |
MER |
27.10 |
26.70B |
|
The size and numerical scope of the so-called
independents are still Lilliputs in the total picture.
DIRECT
COMPETITOR COMPARISON |
|
EVR |
GHL |
LAZ |
Industry |
Market
Cap: |
153.80M |
1.70B |
2.30B |
640.61M |
Employees: |
303 |
214 |
2,458 |
700 |
Qtrly
Rev Growth (yoy): |
-8.80% |
-22.80% |
10.90% |
30.70% |
Revenue
(ttm): |
270.80M |
396.56M |
1.89B |
414.07M |
Gross
Margin (ttm): |
96.75% |
96.90% |
98.62% |
57.91% |
EBITDA
(ttm): |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
151.53M |
Oper
Margins (ttm): |
12.78% |
44.02% |
19.25% |
28.92% |
Net
Income (ttm): |
6.55M |
111.96M |
142.58M |
18.75M |
EPS
(ttm): |
0.514 |
3.992 |
2.230 |
8.88 |
P/E
(ttm): |
25.66 |
15.87 |
18.24 |
19.00 |
PEG
(5 yr expected): |
1.07 |
1.17 |
1.2 |
1.17 |
P/S
(ttm): |
0.56 |
4.27 |
1.21 |
1.73 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Pvt1
= Allen & Company LLC (privately held)
GHL = Greenhill & Co.
Inc.
LAZ = Lazard Ltd.
Industry = Asset Management
|
|
We do not consider the performance of
Evercore financially indicative of their future. Their
numerical evaluations do not reflect the importance they
are destined to play in the international advisory business.
| |
Three
Months Ended June 30, |
| |
U.S.
GAAP |
Adjusted
Pro Forma |
| |
2008 |
2007 |
%
change |
2008 |
2007 |
%
change |
| Net
Revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Advisory |
$57,731 |
$56,846 |
2% |
$57,731 |
$56,846 |
2% |
| Investment
Management |
597 |
1,143 |
(48%) |
597 |
1,143 |
(48%) |
| Pre-Tax
Income (Loss) |
$
7,869 |
$(103,646) |
NM |
$
9,654 |
$25,913 |
(63%) |
| Net
Income (Loss) |
$
2,056 |
$(
44,174) |
NM |
$
5,777 |
$15,506 |
(63%) |
| |
Six
Months Ended June 30, |
| |
U.S.
GAAP |
Adjusted
Pro Forma |
| |
2008 |
2007 |
%
change |
2008 |
2007 |
%
change |
| Net
Revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Advisory |
$98,423 |
$140,792 |
(30%) |
$98,423 |
$140,792 |
(30%) |
| Investment
Management |
1,819 |
2,090 |
(13%) |
1,819 |
2,090 |
(13%) |
| Pre-Tax
Income (Loss) |
$
5,267 |
$(79,550) |
NM |
$16,107 |
$54,264 |
(70%) |
| Net
Income (Loss) |
$
1,091 |
$(39,953) |
NM |
$10,272 |
$32,472 |
(68%) |
|
Going into the second half of 2008, the
numbers are solid but alone they do not reflect the future.
Like any rapidly growing business, with no historical
precedent, the initial figures may indicate the potential
direction and growth but the earnings figures do not indicate
the future.
The actual and projected business, however, is where the
future value lies. In fact, Evercore and other private
equity bankers are to be judged as a young movie company.
United Artists was formed by Charlie Chaplin, Mary Pickford
and Douglas Fairbanks, Sr.
Many years later Steven Spielberg formed a company.
They both represented a trend but their
early figures did not indicate the enormous future success,
but rather their early performance served as a guideline.
Breakdown
of the Business |
Revenues
Advisory
Advisory Revenue was $57.7 million and $98.4
million for the second quarter and six months
ended June 30, 2008, respectively, compared
to Advisory Revenue of $56.8 million and $140.8
million, for the second quarter and six months
ended June 30, 2007, respectively. These results
include revenue related to our restructuring
engagements, where we have seen a rise in
client activity in 2008.
Among the transactions announced ruing the
second quarter of 2008 on which Evercore is
advising are:
•
|
Time Warner Cable on its
separation from Time Warner, Inc. |
•
|
Electronic Data Systems on its sale
to Hewlett-Packard |
•
|
Creditex Group Inc. on its sale to
IntercontinentalExchange |
•
|
Blackbaud, Inc. on its acquisition
of Kintera, Inc. |
•
|
IAC/InterActiveCorp on the sale of
its Entertainment Publications, Inc.
subsidiary to MH Equity |
Transactions that closed during the second
quarter of 2008 on which Evermore advised
included:
•
|
De Ruiter Seeds Group BV
on its sale to Monsanto Company |
•
|
Bright Horizons Family Solutions on
its sale to an affiliate of Bain Capital |
•
|
Performance Food Group Company on its
sale to an affiliate of The Blackstone
Group and Wellspring Capital Management |
•
|
Cengage Learning on its acquisition
of Houghton Mifflin College Division |
•
|
Bracco Diagnostics, Inc. on its acquisition
of E-Z-EM, Inc. |
•
|
Rockefeller Financial Services on its
sale of a 37% stake to Société
Générale’s private
banking group |
•
|
Haights Cross on the sale of Oakstone
Publishing to Boston Ventures |
•
|
Grupo Concord and Prudential Real Estate
Investor on the creation of a joint venture
project for Costa Baja Resort & Marina |
A substantial portion of Evercore’s second
quarter 2008 Advisory revenues were derived
from clients based in the United States.
|
|
With an infinitely better backing of the
business, helped by the recent Japanese financing—EVR
can look for a $100M quarterly business sometime in 2009.
A positive stock market, always plausible capital gains
possibilities—all helping per share earnings.
Looking at the current and just closed transaction, one
could surmise that one is dealing with a billion dollar
company. The Mizuho corporate deal is undoubtedly a turning
point in Evercore’s early history.
A
projection—with imagination |
| Advisory
fee |
$500,000,000 |
| Operating
income |
100,000,000 |
| Capital
gains |
200,000,000 |
| |
|
| Wealth
Management |
|
| 2B
in assets |
|
| 1%
margin |
20 |
| |
140,000,000 |
| Taxes |
70,000,000 |
| Per
share (42M) |
70,000,000 |
| |
|
Per
share (42M)
|
$1.50+ |
| Value |
$30
- $45 |
|
In the course of the last year there has
been a tremendous institutional accumulation which is
reflected partially in the table below.
| TOP
INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS |
Holder |
Shares |
Value |
| BAMCO
INC. |
1,094,559 |
$19,428,422 |
| TIMES
SQUARE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT |
1,006,800 |
$17,870,700 |
| ROYCE
& ASSOCIATES, INC. |
834,650 |
$14,815,037 |
| MAZAMA
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. |
578,900 |
$10,275,475 |
|
Only recently Evercore made two major
decisions.
(1) It has entered the
money management business by purchasing a London-based
company. Its stated aim is to match revenues from money
management with that of the advisory business.
| Money
Management |
Holder |
Shares |
Value |
| JANUS
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC. |
413,930 |
$
7,347,257 |
| WELLINGTON
MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLP |
1,462,822 |
$25,965,880 |
| WELLS
FARGO & COMPANY |
1,220,092 |
$21,656,633 |
| BARON
GROWTH FUND |
863,400 |
$15,325,350 |
| ROYCE
OPPORTUNITY FUND |
308,400 |
$
5,474,100 |
| ROYCE
VALUE TRUST, INC. |
276,800 |
$
4,913,200 |
|
This decision is actually a success story
for Legg Mason, who matched with money management business
its basic brokerage, and Merrill Lynch that owns its most
important assets, 49% of Brooks & Company.
(2) It has sought and succeeded in
getting a partner by accepting some $300 million from
a Japanese company and issuing only 5.5 million warrants
at $22. The current price of Evercore is $13.
(3) The Japanese deal.
NEW
YORK and TOKYO, Aug. 21, 2008 / PRNewswire-FirstCall
via COMTEX News Network – Evercore
Partners Inc. (NYSE: EVR) today announced
it has entered into an agreement with Mizuho
Corporate Bank, Ltd. (“Mizuho CB”)
pursuant to which Mizuho CB will purchase
from Evercore $120 million principal amount
of senior unsecured notes due 2020 with
a 5.20% coupon and warrants to purchase
5,454,545 shares of Evercore Class A Common
Stock at $22.00 per share, for an aggregate
purchase price of $120 million in cash.
In addition, Mizuho CB and Mizuho Securities
Co., Ltd. (collectively, “Mizuho”)
have agreed, subject to the joint approval
by Evercore and Mizuho of each allocation
of Mizuho’s capital commitment, to
commit up to $150 million to be invested
in Evercore-affiliated funds. Evercore and
Mizuho also entered into a new strategic
alliance agreement strengthening their U.S.-Japan
cross-border strategic alliance announced
in 2006, which will expand the M&A relationship
and form a steering committee to jointly
review certain advisory opportunities.
|
|
It is now obvious that major changes are
facing both the corporate advisory and money management
business.
The traditional risk of “toxic” money management
is over. Securities oriented money management will never
again be mixed with options, futures and real estate.
The hedge fund business which reached $2 trillion will
be stripped of tax advantages by the new administration
and probably and rightfully will lose many members for
non-performance.
At the same time movement of equity money in responsible
hands will have a totally unheard of expansion. The hedge
funds have reached $2 trillion without uniform performance;
responsible and traditional investment management could
reach $5-10 trillion in a decade. Considering that Evercore
has 42 million fully diluted shares, entering this enterprise
has much to offer for current stockholders. As we mentioned
earlier, the past, impressive as it may be, can only vaguely
be used to predict corporate future.
Evercore
Partners Reports Second Quarter 2008 Results; Declares
Quarterly Dividend of $0.12 Per Share
Thursday, July 24, 2008 6:00 am
ET
Highlights
- Advisory revenues
for the second quarter of $57.7 million exceed the prior
quarter and second quarter of 2007 by 52% and 2%, respectively.
-
Advising
on two of the ten largest transactions announced in
the quarter: $42 billion separation of Time Warner Cable
from Time Warner and $13 billion sale of EDS to Hewlett-Packard.
-
Progress towards strategic objectives.
-
Building Restructuring business with addition of Senior
Managing Director Dan Celentano.
-
Entering the Wealth Management business with an initial
investment in Evercore Pan Asset Management in Europe
and additional investments on track for the second half
of the year,
-
Quarterly
dividend of $0.12 declared.
Concerning
the advisory business the current backlog of $56 billion
is nothing but an initial test of the international community
of Evercore’s strength. Multiplying the backlog
we can come to the conclusion that the actual numbers
could be remarkable.
Evercore is a small capitalization international advisory
and money management concern. Its current capitalization
is about $150 million. Its backlog is remarkable and so
are the corporate contents. All in all, it represents
a new historical entity, stepping into the world of serious
banking crises, stepping into the world which is internationalizing
on a scale unheard of in our entire history.
It is functioning in a world which has no precedent. The
best reference I could find is the remarkable book by
Clyde Prestowich, president of the Economic Strategic
Institute in Washington, DC, Three Billion New Capitalists.
The current trends in international finance, as well as
the dislocation of the American induced monetary crisis,
are creating not only the old billions of business but
actually the new billions. If anything, there is more
need for international investment banking and as more
people work there will be more need for wealth management.
These developments are not only on the multi-billion but
on the multi-trillion level.
It is all done by educated and principled people.
This is the world that is opening for Evercore and its
competitors.
Evercore Partners to Receive $120
Million Investment From Mizuho Corporate Bank
- Proceeds to be Used to Fund Near-term Investment
Management Opportunities and General Build-out of Investment
Management and Advisory Businesses.
- Two Firms Strengthen Strategic Alliance for Cross-Border
M&A Advisory Services and Forge a New Alliance for
Investment Management Activities.
NEW YORK and TOKYO, Aug 21, 2008 /PRNewswire-FirstCall
via COMTEX News Network/ -- Evercore Partners Inc. (NYSE:
EVR) today announced it has entered into an agreement
with Mizuho Corporate Bank, Ltd. ("Mizuho CB")
pursuant to which Mizuho CB will purchase from Evercore
$120 million principal amount of senior unsecured notes
due 2020 with a 5.20% coupon and warrants to purchase
5,454,545 shares of Evercore Class A Common Stock at $22.00
per share, for an aggregate purchase price of $120 million
in cash. In addition, Mizuho CB and Mizuho Securities
Co., Ltd. (collectively, "Mizuho") have agreed,
subject to the joint approval by Evercore and Mizuho of
each allocation of Mizuho's capital commitment, to commit
up to $150 million to be invested in Evercore-affiliated
funds. Evercore and Mizuho also entered into a new strategic
alliance agreement strengthening their U.S.-Japan cross-border
strategic alliance announced in 2006, which will expand
the M&A relationship and form a steering committee
to jointly review certain advisory opportunities.
Proceeds from Mizuho's purchase of the newly issued senior
unsecured notes and warrants will be used to provide Evercore
with capital to fund a number of specific investment management
opportunities, several of which Evercore expects to announce
before the end of the year, as well as a general build-out
of its Investment Management and Strategic Advisory businesses,
including geographic expansion. In connection with the
investment by Mizuho, a representative of Mizuho will
become a member of Evercore's Board of Directors, and
following closing, Mizuho will be permitted to purchase
Evercore Class A Common Stock in the open market, provided
Mizuho's total voting interest does not exceed 4.9% of
the total voting interest in Evercore.
"We have enjoyed a strong alliance with Mizuho, and
this broader relationship enables both our Advisory and
Investment Management businesses to partner with a truly
leading Japanese institution. Moreover, Evercore has regularly
stressed its two overriding strategic objectives,&
|