August 16, 2010
ALMADEN
MINERALS, LTD.
(AAU
- AMEX)
(AMM - TSX)
| |
Current
Price: |
$1.84 |
| |
52-week
price range:
|
$.59
- $1.97 |
| |
Authorized capital:
|
unlimited |
| |
Issued:
|
50,383,966 |
| |
Warrants
& options: |
7,365,000 |
| |
Fully
diluted: |
57,749,966 |
| Corporate
description: |
| |
Almaden
Minerals is an exploration company specializing
in the generation of new mineral projects
-- particularly gold, silver, and copper --
with world-class potential in he western half
of North America. The company is baed in Vancouver,
Canada and listed on both the Toronto Stock
Exchange (TSX:AMM) and the American Stock
Exchange (AMEX: AAU). |
| Breaking
news: |
| |
Almaden
intersects 302.41 meters of 1.01 g/t Au and
48 g/t Ag (1.7 g/t AUEQ) and 1.67 meters of
60.66 g/t Au and 2112g g/t/ Ag (93.2 g/t AUEQ)
in the Ixtaca Zone, a new district in Mexico.
|
|
CORPORATE
PROFILE
"Our
strength is our ideas. Almaden is one of
the few companies specializing in the generation
of new mineral properties. Our team of geological
engineers, geologists, and prospectors together
have over a hundred years of world-wide
geological experience and have a proven
record of discoveries.
"We
have developed a highly successful business
model for reducing shareholders' risk and
preserving the company's capital while exposing
our shareholders to greatest possible potential
for wealth increase from new discoveries."
(Duane Poliquin, CEO).
Almaden
will have a second drill, starting around
September 1, 2010 in its new discovery in
Mexico. Obviously, there can be further
drilling.
The
corporate policy is to MONETIZE the total
valuation.
|
|
IINTERVIEW
WITH
MORGAN POLLIQUIN
PRESIDENT
ALMADEN MINERALS, LTD.
|
|
ANDREW RACZ [Q]:
You are the only stock which
didn't go down today.
MORGAN POLLIQUIN: [A]: As
prospectors, there's so many ups and downs. As a prospector,
we try to keep a stable mental attitude.
Q: May I first of all ask
you, can you define from the investment point of view
what is a prospector?
A: It doesn't matter how
good your geological acumen is, you cannot be certain
that any individual mineral project is going to have success.
A prospector doesn't control where the gold is. He can
only look for it. So what we have decided to do is mitigate
that risk, as all prospectors do, but at the same time
maximize our geological skill set, which we believe is
our main skill, and identify new prospects, and put that
to work by getting other people to explore our properties
at the earliest stages we can find people to do so. And
by that means, we can have many opportunities, expose
our shareholders, expose ourselves to the success of a
discovery on many different fronts at the same time.
GOLD
PRICE SENTIMENT
Gold
Stocks |
Last |
Refresh
Change |
Aurizon
Mines (AZK) |
5.96 |
-0.14 |
Anatolla
Minerals (ANO, TXS) |
8.47 |
+0.12 |
Bunridge
Gold (SGC, TSXV) |
0.41 |
+0.00 |
Spanish
Mountain Gold (SPA, TSXV) |
0.44 |
+0.02 |
Mines
Management (MGN) |
1.69 |
+0.07 |
Ceneco
Resources (CAN, TSXV) |
2.22 |
+0.07 |
|
Q:
I cannot be a prospector because I would be walking and
walking and say, well, I haven't found anything. What
skill do you and your family have in setting up this company,
and deciding that you would be prospecting all your lives?
A: I guess that's a very
personal question, as you might expect from me, because
as I grew up, when I was three years old, as soon as I
could walk, I was my father's field assistant. I think
biologically we're set up to be prospecting. That's a
metaphor for life. Everyone's a prospector in their own
way. Our minds are set up to look for opportunity, whether
as hunter-gatherers, which is most of human biology. We're
designed to look for opportunities. I think it's a pretty
natural thing, but I had the luck of being trained from
an early age in geology, putting that biology to work
in a geological framework. So I think that's the simplest
way to describe it is you get a nose for these things.
Q: But in a physical sense,
a prospector goes in a certain territory and looks for
elements or hopes to find certain elements, molybdenum
or whatever. In other words, it's a dedication which hopefully
bears fruit.
A: That's precisely right.
And our methodology is to select areas that are geologically
permissive and look for things that currently are unknown.
Many prospectors will start right beside an old mine or
underneath an old mine, and that's a very valid technique.
But we're a little bit different in that in permissive
geological terrains we're looking for areas where there
are no old mines. That's exactly what this project that
you've noticed, the results that brought your attention
to our company. This is in an area where there are no
old mines, there are no historic workings.
Ticker |
Company
Name |
Recent
Price ($)
|
Market
Cap ($M) |
Net
Sales
TTM ($M)
|
Net
Income
TM ($M)
|
AAU |
Almaden
Minerals Ltd. |
1.85 |
93 |
2.18 |
-1.61 |
ZINC |
Horsehead
Holding Corp. |
7.93 |
344 |
324.52 |
9.13 |
USEG |
U.S.
Energy Corp. |
4.69 |
125 |
15.68 |
-4.30 |
|
Q:
I remember that just at the time I immigrated to America,
in Canada, I think it was the Texas Gulf case, you remember?
A: Very well. That's a bit
before my time but everyone used to go and test their
geophysical equipment over this anomaly to tune their
instrumentation. Then somebody finally got the courage
to drill it, and it turned out to be one of the largest
deposits.
Q: But that was originally
a prospecting job, no?
A: Yes. It was a known alteration
zone, meaning a prospective area. But it hadn't had a
great deal of work. That's what our philosophy is. That's
a good point you make because our philosophy is that there
are new things to find. There are things that people have
not found. Hemlo, one of the largest gold districts in
the world, was found in the Trans-Canada highway in the
late 1970s, I think 1978 or early 1980s. And the Trans
Canada highway went by it for thirty years before somebody
found this. Brand new. The old-timers, nobody had found
it. So we believe there are new things to find that nobody
knows about yet, and that's our focus. There are wonderful
things. You mentioned Mr. McEwen is an associate of yours.
He found a wonderful thing underneath an historic mine.
And that is a very valid thing to do. We don't contest
that, that's not our skill set. Our skill set is finding
brand new things through prospecting.
Q: For
instance, the other famous case, Diamondfield in Newfoundland,
that was a prospecting job which turned out to be exploration
and eventual production.
A: Absolutely. That was a
very unusual thing because they were looking for diamonds,
Mr. Friedland was looking for diamonds out there, and
he had good prospectors working for him.
Q: So they were prospectors
who were out there at night.
A: Absolutely. They were
forced to land because of bad weather conditions in an
area, and they noticed that there was some rusty rock
that wasn't diamonds, which is what they were looking
for. They had the nose and the good sense to sample this
rusty rock, and it turned out to be one of the largest
nickel mines in the world.
Q: I will never forget, it
was October 4, 1994. I had dinner with Jean Boule who
was chairman of Diamondfield. And suddenly the telephone
calls started to come in, and he used his cellular telephone
and he sent me out constantly to get more quarters to
make telephone calls all over the world. And it lasted
for two hours. Actually, he wasn't excited, he was very
precise, he was a professional. I asked him, is there
some illness in the family that you are excited? He said,
oh, no, we discovered something. And he said "base
metals". I said what? He said copper and nickel.
I said what's the value? Is it more than your $50 million
market value? So then something happened, and certainly
my life has changed since. But you say it's a prospecting
job, and the prospector was very smart, the manager, Jean
Boule, was also very intelligent and smart, and they converted
immediately to a discovery. The stock ran up, many people
became millionaires or multi-millionaires, and some history
was made.
A: Absolutely. That's, of
course, our strategy as well. My father and I were both
educated in geological degrees. I have a Ph.D. in geology,
but really we're prospectors. We got the education that
we had, certainly in my case, I got it in order to be
a better prospector, not the other way around. Our idea
is that we find permissive geological terrains and we
look for new deposits in them. This is an example of that
coming to a successful conclusion right from scratch.
But we have many projects that have this kind of potential,
and we're constantly looking for new ones. So it's a strategy
we employ, and it's very exciting to be working in new
terrains. It's also not very competitive. You can find
things that other people aren't out there working alongside
you. You can find new things without...if you're working
around an old historic camp, the price of acquiring projects
can be very costly. But if you're looking for brand new
things, there's not a lot of people who are doing that.
That's our bread and butter. There's many ways to have
success in this industry, and ours isn't the only way
but it's the way that is best suited to our skills.
Q: You told me that once
you have what you call a discovery as a prospector, and
you identify the merits, etc., usually part of the project
is sold to a more powerful company which will develop
it and bring it to the marketplace and you retain a percentage
of the revenues for your company.
A: Actually, typically in
the past, we have done those kinds of deals, exactly what
you said, before discovery is made. So our business model
has been to find projects that have the potential for
discovery, and then find a partner who will explore the
property in return for earning 60% interest. Then we go
look for another one. But in this case, we had already
had three partners on this property. All three of them
had worked on a different part of the property and had
not worked in this area and had given the property back
to us. So we decided that we still believed in the property
and that it had potential, so we put a drill hole into
it ourselves.
Q: Can I just go to a typical
case? You think that at the corner of Four Seasons you
will find it attractive. Then you find some rich corporation
to finance the research and the development, and if it
is successful then the two of you jointly find somebody,
a corporation, who will finance the full development of
the project. In other words, let's say you expect to find
molybdenum somewhere. Then you take a partner who would
put up the money for 60%. But if the development looks
very promising, then you take in a third partner who will
carry it into the next stage and maybe sell it to a fourth
person. Eventually you only have 10% or 5% of the project,
but if it's a molybdenum mine you are going to make a
killing for your small company.
A: Well, typically our deals
are that we always retain a 2% undivided NSR that can't
be bought out in all our deals. That being said, our typical
deal is that we're carried long enough that we would know
whether it's going to be something or not for a 40% interest.
So that's the structure we work with.
Q: At the moment, how many
of these residual projects do you have on the books?
A: We have I believe eleven
projects where we hold a 2% NSR. I think this is roughly
correct at any rate. We have I believe five option agreements
with people earning an interest through spending, and
I think it's a further five joint venture projects.
Q: If you had to make a guess,
how much is it worth?
A: That's the billion dollar
question. I'll tell you why. This project that we just
had this discovery on, which attracted you to giving us
a call, people were giving no value to it whatsoever.
And now what kind of value would be given to it? We have
about 40 properties in our inventory, all of which we
think very highly of. So any mineral project that is purely
a prospect is one drill hole away from having a much different
valuation. And that's the problem. I don't think there
is a way to put a value on a project.
Q: The current project was
on your books for zero. What percentage do you have now?
A: Well, we staked it 100%.
Q: And that 100%, how much
do you think it's worth currently? If you had to value
it on your books.
A: I think it's too early
to do that. We've had a spectacular first drill hole,
but we have to do a lot more. More work needs to be done
before it can be properly assessed.
Q: Can it be more than a
$50 million valuation?
A: I wouldn't know how people...I
would defer to somebody far more intelligent than I am
to do that.
Q: But it's a meaningful
asset.
A: I think a new discovery
like this is very meaningful. I agree entirely.
Q: I remember I was very
friendly in Vancouver with Mr. Huntner, Huntner Dickinson.
The first day of Diamondfield, which was a very memorable
day in my life because I was updating all my friends in
Vancouver about my dinner, and I got to him and then he
said, well, one drill hole is not a mine! I said but I
have to admit I have seen very few going up so far as
this one. He liked it. He had a knowledge, of course,
which I didn't have. So we have a company. You have about
$10 or $12 million cash in the company.
A: That's right.
Q: And you have 60 million
shares?
A: We have 50 million shares.
Q: So at $1.50, the valuation
is let's say $70 market value of the company. You take
$10 million out for cash and it's $60 million. Then the
current successful drill hole may be very big, but let
me just use the number $30 million. The remaining $30
million is divided up between your 40 pieces of assets,
2% residual in growing projects, and if this is all worth
let's say only $20 million, then you have an extra $10
million for what the company basically is, which can be
very valuable. Because what it means is that on August
28, any of your 40 projects or drill holes suddenly can
bring in another $50 million program, or you can sell
any of your projects to another company. If you have 40
projects, there are 40 drills working every day which
can change the future of your company.
A: I agree with you. Any
one of the projects we have, if a discovery is made, will
dramatically affect our valuation.
Q: So in other words, any
one of these can make a major change. If you take the
world we live in, a commodity world, and the price of
commodities has gone up and is going up, because anybody
who says that commodities will go down and gold will go
down is crazy. You just have to do ordinary statistics.
Look at iron ore, and so on. In this world we live in,
your drills can change the future of the company, plus,
if I may say so, something else. Any day you can get a
phone call from somebody influential in business who says,
listen, you fellows have a reputation for finding mining
assets. You reputation speaks for itself. There aren't
too many people like you. Would you look at a certain
territory and if you succeed, obviously we would pay for
everything and you would get your usual 40%. So on the
left-hand side there is a drill, on the right-hand side
is on the telephone, and what is important is that your
expenses are relatively limited.
A: That's how we've tried
to manage things. Obviously prospecting can be quite expensive
and there can be quite long investment times to have success.
You don't know when you're going to have success. As you
say, any day you're out there you can have that discovery,
but you don't know when it's going to happen. So you have
to have a way of surviving in the meantime because it's
the nature of it.
Q: But one successful deal
can cover you for years.
A: Absolutely. So what our
strategy has been is to not dilute our shareholders to
constantly refinance to do this, but rather to try to
dilute an interest in the properties. We believe that
having a 40% interest in something that's a discovery
is quite enough for our shareholders to do very well.
Q: I got that telephone call
a few hours actually, actually from your city, by a public
company who has among others a molybdenum mine they just
prospected. Their problem is as follows. At a $14 molybdenum
price, we are not very economical. But if the price goes
to $17 or $18, we have a valuation of one billion dollars.
So if you go in the ground level like you with limited
capital expenditures and exposure, you always have the
opportunity to hit a billion dollars, like Diamondfield.
They were in the same stage you're in.
A: I agree entirely. That's
why we're doing this. You have to manage the risk in the
meantime, you have to have a business model that allows
you to have staying power. That's why we employ the business
model we do. That's why we're all in this, is to make
a discovery, create some new wealth for society.
Q: If we go into a higher
commodity price structure, in the next two to four years
it's possible that you will acquire let's say $100 million
more surplus cash, which will be $2.00 per share. Then
you have a totally different company, totally different
corporate philosophy, because you operate at a different
financial level. Very few industries enabled people to
go from one end to another. For instance, Apple Computer,
and Netflix which has DVDs shown on HBO and so on. This
didn't exist ten years ago. Electric cars didn't exist.
The point I want to make is that electric car companies
get a lot of publicity, although they haven't delivered.
Apple Computer is now the third highest market cap in
the whole world. But the media talks about Apple Computer
and Electric Cars, but nobody in the universe talks about
prospecting. In fact, propsecting may be a key ingredient
in the 21st century. It's not in the language of common
investment in the world.
A: Of course, in the 19th
century it was different, wasn't it? People went from
all over Europe to San Francisco and Australia and South
Africa. There were gold rushes. But that's over with,
and now the industrial revolution and...you can create
wealth. There are very few people out there working in
the primary industries. The reality is we still need metals.
These are the building blocks of society.
Q: That's what I am saying,
that prospecting companies such as yours, which are totally
unknown on Wall Street, even the concept, even the industry
is totally unknown. In Toronto every year you have a conference
and five thousand people turn up. But besides that, nobody
talks about your business. But this is a business when
you calculate percentage-wise, it's quite plausible to
say that here was a company, frankly we are surprised
they have $12 million in cash, but five years from now,
in 2016 or 2017, they may have a quarter of a billion
cash and many major companies are trying to get into the
executive offices of the company to do business with you.
And to go further, your business will be taught at universities.
And you will have foreign partners, because it's not so
easy to prospect in Korea. I don't know how it is in Africa,
but it is not so easy. So in five years' time, apart from
the fact that the stock can be many times higher than
it is, you will be an extremely well-known company and
a well-known person. Like what's his name in Apple Computer,
Steve Jobs. You will be the next Steve Jobs.
A: I must confess that's
not my ambition to be well known, but my ambition is to
make some money for the shareholders here through prospecting.
I sure appreciate that sentiment. We're working hard to
that end, and I think you understand what we're trying
to do very well.