"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People"s Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay"s Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It"s A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine"
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I"m Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"WisdomTree
Investments, Inc."
posted December 26, 2006
"My
Father Died In Auschwitz"
posted January 19, 2007
"Lexam
Exploration, Inc."
posted February 11, 2007
"Robert
Friedland -
The Man of The Year"
posted February 21, 2007
"Rubicon
Minerals Corp."
posted March 1, 2007
"Warren
Buffett - Franklin Roosevelt"
posted March 15, 2007
"Golden
Valley Mines, Ltd"
posted April 21, 2007
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted May 22, 2007
"Bayswater
Uranium Corp."
posted May 30, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Was Hungarian"
posted May 31, 2007
"Portal
Resources"
posted June 12, 2007
"Aldershot
Resources Ltd."
posted July 16, 2007
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
Follow Up Report #1
posted July 24, 2007
"The
Age of Special "Corporate" Relationships"
posted August 23, 2007
"Interview
with
David Hjerpe - Newmac Resources, Inc."
posted August 27, 2007
"Interview
with
Jim Davis - President of Leeward Capital Corporation"
posted September 4, 2007
"Interview
with Professor William Pfaffenberger - Torch River
Resources"
posted September 22, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Returns"
posted September 27, 2007
"Jasper
Mining Corporation"
posted September 27, 2007
"Gold
Indexed Bonds"
posted October 11, 2007
"Tagish
Lake Gold Corp."
posted November 1, 2007
"Stalin
& Chavez"
posted November 9, 2007
"Sanj
Bayar -
The Prime Minister of Mongolia"
posted November 15, 2007
"The
Mongolian Wakeup Call"
posted November 16, 2007
"Watergate
Saved Nixon's Life"
posted November 28, 2007
"No
More Munich -
The Mongolian Version of 1938"
posted December 11, 2007
"Sir,
Do Not Abdicate"
posted December 27, 2007
"Mongolian
Gold"
posted January 8, 2008
"The
Unexpected
Mongolian Dilemma"
posted February 2, 2008
"Entrée
Gold, Inc"
posted February 11, 2008
"Gold
At 2000!!"
posted February 14, 2008
"Warren
Buffett Receives A Call From Franklin Roosevelt"
posted February 19, 2008
"Tanzania
Gold - Douglas Lake Minerals - Harp Sangha"
posted February 21, 2008
"Olympus
Pacific Minerals, Inc."
posted February 28, 2008
"Prime
Minister Sanj Bayar of Mongolia Receives The Nobel
Peace Prize"
posted March 17, 2008
"The
Mongolian Manifesto"
posted April 4, 2008
"Letter
to Prime Minister of Mongolia"
posted April 24, 2008
"Altek
Power Corp."
posted April 27, 2008
"Judy
Garland &
The Subprime Crisis"
posted April 29, 2008
"Western
Potash Corp.
(WPX-VSE) "
posted May 12, 2008
"Tanzania
- An Up & Coming Mineral & Agricultural Producer
In Africa"
posted June 2, 2008
"The
Emergence of Tanzania"
posted June 4, 2008
"North
American Gem, Inc."
posted June 5, 2008
"Mongolia:
The 10th Richest Country in the World"
posted June 10, 2008
"The
Douglas Lake Story In The Age Of Fear"
posted June 25, 2008
"Goldsource
Mines, Inc."
posted July 1, 2008
"Mongolian
Newsletter, First Edition"
posted July 2, 2008
"The
Mongolian Revolution"
posted July 10, 2008
"Cal-Maine
Foods Inc."
posted August 4, 2008
"Stalin
In The
White House"
posted September 2, 2008
"Evercore
Partners, Inc."
posted September 3, 2008
"The
Alaskan Queen"
posted September 9, 2008
"Governor
Walter J. Hickel Interview"
posted September 11, 2008
"Three
Immigrants In Front Of The Court"
posted September 24, 2008
"JNR
Resources, Inc."
posted September 30, 2008
"Gold
and the Chinese Millennium"
posted October 20, 2008
"Gold
Coins & The Money Game"
posted October 29, 2008
"Rubicon
Minerals"
posted November 5, 2008
"US
Gold Corporation"
posted December 1, 2008
"Prime
Minister of Mongolia"
posted December 11, 2008
"Silvermex
Resources, LTD"
posted December 13, 2008
"The
Ultimate Colorful Fate of Edmond Safra, Bernie Madoff,
and Governor Bill Richardson"
posted January 12, 2009
"Entree
Gold: An Unusual Asset Accumulation"
posted February 20, 2009
"In
Gold We Trust"
posted February 26, 2009
"Silver
Dragon Resources"
posted February 27, 2009
"Silvercrest
Mines, Inc."
posted April 1, 2009
"Golden
Hope Mines, Inc. - Retraction"
posted May 4, 2009
"Bullion
Management Group"
posted May 11, 2009
"Claude
Resources, Inc."
posted May 28, 2009
"The
Brave New World! - Gold at $1000"
posted June 5, 2009
"Ireland,
Inc."
posted June 16, 2009
"Sandstorm
Resources, Inc."
posted June 22, 2009
"The
Grand Alliance"
posted July 6, 2009
"Romios
Gold"
posted July 7, 2009
"Mongolian
Prime Minister Sanj Bayar -
A politician of the 21st century"
posted July 16, 2009
"Who
Lost Mongolia"
posted August 16, 2009
"Entree
Gold - September 2009"
posted September 3, 2009
"Bridge
Bancorp, Inc"
posted September 22, 2009
"They
Made A Difference"
posted September 30, 2009
"Harris
& Harris"
posted October 13, 2009
"U.S.
Energy Corporation"
posted October 28, 2009
"Whose
Friends Are They Anyway?"
posted November 4, 2009
"Sutter
Gold Mining, Inc."
posted November 16, 2009
"...
from Casablanca to Monte Carlo."
posted November 20, 2009
"The
Silver Spirit"
posted November 25, 2009
"Claude
Resources"
posted December 16, 2009 |
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
RSS Feed
January 4, 2010
MEXCO
ENERGY CORPORATION
(MXC
- AMEX)
| |
Price |
$9.30 |
| |
Price
range 2009
|
$9.30 |
| |
Market
cap |
$17.6M |
| |
Enterprise
value |
$18.64M |
| |
Stockholders'
equity |
$10.9M |
Common shares outstanding:
1,890,000
Insiders own: 64%
CONCLUSION
AND RECOMMENDATION |
Mexco Energy can surprise the market with
a rapid explosion of EPS. Such event can set in motion
a series of transactions that will reward the current
stockholders in a possibly unusual manner.
1.
In the September quarter of 2009, operating revenue dropped
to $746,000
(down from $1.6M)
and net income to $158,000
(down from $511,000
in fiscal 2008).
MEXCO
ENERGY CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATION
(Unaudited) |
| |
Three
months ended
September 30
|
Six
months ended
September 30
|
| Total
operating revenues |
746,294 |
1,601,806 |
1,404,47 |
3,281,127 |
| Operating
expenses: |
|
|
|
|
Production |
269,251 |
357,753 |
510,224 |
692,741 |
Accretion
of asset retirement obligation |
7,879 |
7,266 |
15,607 |
14,204 |
Deprecation,
depletion and amortization |
275,072 |
240,962 |
538,534 |
479,807 |
General
and administration |
198,229 |
199,239 |
430,414 |
480,900 |
Total
operating expenses
|
750,431 |
805,220 |
1,494,779 |
1,667,652 |
| Operating
profit (loss) |
(4,137) |
796,586 |
(90,308) |
1,613,475 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| Net
Income |
158,350 |
511,115 |
90,347 |
1,049,904 |
| |
|
|
|
|
Earnings
per common share:
Basic
Diluted
|
0.08
0.08 |
0.27
0.26 |
0.05
0.05 |
0.58
0.55 |
Weighted
average common shares outstanding:
Basic
Diluted
|
1,883,248
1,942,514 |
1,873,127
1,975,453 |
1,880,944
1,945,702 |
1,817,962
1,922,568 |
|
2. The selling
price in the September, 2009 quarter was $3.04
per mcf.
3. The selling
price for the March quarter 2010 is projected at $6.00
per mcf. Thus, the extra price would add $750,000
to both revenues and pre-tax income.
| |
March
quarter 2009 |
| Pre-tax |
$150
750
$900,000 |
| Per
share |
45¢ |
| Annualized |
$1.80 |
|
4. In 2010, the
expected growth is not further price increase but acquisition
of additional "territory". Additional gas wells.
5. With an earnings
power between
$1.50 and $2.00,
the stock can appreciate to $15.
Market cap would then be $30M.
6. A $15
price, clean balance sheet can enable MXC to raise $10M
equity. The equity base of the company could change drastically.
| |
September
2009
($, MIL)
|
Fiscal
2010
|
$10M
issue
Fiscal 2011 |
| Total
shareholders' equity |
$11,126 |
|
|
10,000 |
| |
|
600 |
3,000 |
3,000 |
Total |
|
11,700 |
14,700 |
27,700 |
|
Accordingly,
we can project the following:
(To be attained in two years)
| |
Now |
Sept.
2011 |
| Shareholders'
equity |
11,120 |
27,700 |
| Long-term
debt |
1.30 |
+10,000 |
| EPS |
60¢ |
2.00 |
|
OVERVIEW
-
At the New York Mercantile
Exchange (NYMEX), prices for futures contracts also
rose with expectations of higher demand in response
to this month's trend of colder-than-normal temperatures.
The futures contract for January 2010 delivery increased
by $0.56
on the week to $5.462
per MMBtu.
-
The price of crude oil
increased by $1.97
per barrel, or 2.8 percent, during the report week.
The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price ended
trading on Wednesday at $72.64
per barrel or $12.52
per MMBtu.
At the NYMEX, the
price of the near-month contract for January delivery
increased $0.56,
or nearly 12 percent, during the report week to $5.462
per MMBtu. The increase occurred possibly in response
to expectations of continued extreme cold in consuming
regions of the country, thus increasing space-heating
demand. The early cold has also reduced concerns regarding
the abundance of natural gas in storage, which reached
a record high this fall. Nonetheless, the January 2010
contract is trading much lower than the settlement prices
of contracts for comparable months over the last 2 years.
The January 2009 and January 2008 contracts expired at
$6.136
per MMBtu and $7.172
per MMBtu, respectively.
MEXICO
ENERGY CORP. (MXC) has
interest in 2,350 oil and gas wells and owns leasehold
interests in 300,000 gross acres. It has proven reserves
of 10,000 billion cubic feet of natural gas and 200,000
barrels of oil.
Mexico Energy Corporation
is an independent, publicly-owned oil and gas company
engaged in acquiring and developing oil and gas properties
and the exploration for and production of oil and gas.
Mexico Energy Corporation, a Colorado corporation founded
in 1972, currently conducts all of its drilling, exploration
and production activities in the United States. All of
its oil and gas assets are located in the United States
and all of its revenues are derived from sales to customers
within the United States, primarily in the Permian Basin
of West Texas.
Mexico focused primarily
on the exploration for and development of natural gas
reserves and, secondarily, oil reserves. In addition to
exploration and development, Mexico acquires interests
in producing and non-producing oil and gas leases from
land owners and leaseholders in areas considered favorable
for oil and gas exploration, development and production.
Mexico also engages
in the business of acquiring proved reserves and continually
searches for opportunities to acquire proved oil and gas
properties, including royalties and mineral interests
with development potential.
Oil and gas sales.
Revenue from oil and gas sales was $1,391,754
for the six months ended September 30, 2009, a 57% decrease
from $3,267,797
for the same period of fiscal 2009. This resulted from
a decrease in oil and gas prices partially offset by an
increase in gas production. Average gas prices were $3.06
per mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2010, a decrease
from $9.24
per mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2009. Average
oil prices were $50.12
per barrel for the first six months of fiscal 2010, a
decrease from $117.25
per barrel for the first six months of fiscal 2009. Oil
and gas production quantities were 8,,710 mcf for the
first six months of fiscal 2010 and 8,713 barrels and
243,143 mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2009, an
increase of 18% in gas production and no change in oil
production.
| |
SIX
MONTHS ENDING SEPTEMBER 30 |
| |
2008 |
2009 |
| Gas
price mcf |
$9.24 |
$3.06 |
| Oil |
$113.25 |
$50.23 |
| Gas
production |
$243,000 |
$286,000
+ 18% |
|
Crude oil and natural
gas prices have fluctuated significantly in recent years.
During the second quarter of fiscal 1009, oil and gas
prices began trending downward, while drilling, completion
and operating costs remained high. The effect of declining
product prices on business is significant. Lower product
prices reduce cash flow from operations and diminish the
present value of oil and gas reserves. Lower product prices
also offer MXC less incentive to assume the drilling risks
that are inherent in the business. The volatility of the
energy markets make it extremely difficult to predict
future oil and natural gas price movements with any certainty.
CORPORATE
HISTORY |
Mexco
Energy Corporation is an independent, publicly
owned oil and gas company engaged in acquiring
and developing oil and gas properties and
the exploration for and production of oil
and gas. Mexco Energy Corporation, a Colorado
corporation founded in 1972, currently conducts
all of its drilling, exploration and production
activities in the United States. All of
its oil and gas assets are located in the
United States and all of its revenues are
derived from sales to customers within the
United States, primarily in the Permian
Basin of West Texas.
Mexco
focuses primarily on the exploration for
and development primarily of natural gas
reserves and secondarily oil reserves.
In
addition to exploration and development,
Mexco acquires interests in producing and
non-producing oil and gas leases from landowners
and leaseholders in areas considered favorable
for oil and gas exploration, development
and production.
Mexco
also engages in the business of acquiring
proved reserves and continually searches
for opportunities to acquire proved oil
and gas properties, including royalties
and mineral interests with development potential.
Mexco
common stock is listed and trades on the
American Stock Exchange under the symbol
MXC.
|
|
MEXCO
IS A HISTORICAL CHANGE IN THE
NATURAL GAS INDUSTRY
KEY
NATURAL GAS MARKET FACTORS |
- While U.S. natural
gas prices are soft today, there are
strong indications that market forces
will create a strong natural gas price
recovery in 2010 and 2011.
|
- The laws of supply and
demand remain intact.
-
Dramatically reduced rig counts
and accelerating decline curves will lead
to sharply lower supply in 2010 and 1H2011.
- First
year U.S. decline rates are >25%, i.e.
>15 bcf/day
- The
gas-directed rig count has plunged by
-55% from the 2008 peak and has held steady
most of the summer and fall at -700 rigs.
-
Following a natural lag from completion
and well connection work, U.S. natural
gas production is likely to decline substantially
in 2010.
|
- Storage may be near spring
2009 levels by spring 2010.
|
- Only higher prices will
adequately refill storage for 2010/2011
winter.
- Using price, the market will have to
incentivize increased U.S. drilling.
|
|
MEXCO
IS A SMALL, BUT RESPECTED,
NATURAL GAS PRODUCER
TOP
20 U.S. NATURAL GAS PRODUCERS |
Company |
Ticker |
Q3
2008 |
U.S.
gas rigs drilling on 12/04/09 (e) |
U.S.
gas rigs drilling on 8/29/08 (e) |
| XTO |
XTO |
1,949 |
41 |
78 |
| Chesapeake |
CHK |
2,138 |
108 |
143 |
| Newfield |
NFX |
488 |
15 |
23 |
| Questar |
STR |
439 |
13 |
26 |
| Totals |
|
23,789 |
404 |
679 |
THE
REVENGE FACTOR WITH HIGHER PRICES |
| • |
Spot
natural gas has increased to $6.00
from less than $4.00
in six months. |
|
| • |
Spot
one-year has first dropped from $6.00
in 2006 to $1.50
in early 2009, and increased to $5.50
by December 2009. |
|
| • |
Real
production can only take place between
$7.00
and $9.00. |
|
| |
Natural Gas Rotary
Rig Count Increases to 757.
The natural gas rotary rig count was 757 as
of December 11, according to Baker Hughes
Incorporated. The current count increased
by 9 from the previous week. The number of
natural gas rotary rigs has fallen about 40
percent since the beginning of 2009. The rig
count has generally increased since the summer
of 2009, following a steep decline beginning
in fall of 2008. The horizontal rig count,
which includes both oil and natural gas rigs,
also increased during the week to 558, close
to its level at the beginning of the year.
The horizontal rig count has risen for the
last 14 weeks, while the vertical rig count,
which is currently at 412, has been oscillating
over the past few months. However, the vertical
rig count, which also includes both oil and
natural gas rigs, generally appears to be
increasing. Changes in the rig count generally
lag changes in the Henry Hub spot price by
several weeks or more (see Figure). However,
those responses appear to be muted in recent
months. |
|
Mexco has a tiny capitalization. However,
the Midland, Texas based company is well integrated in
the local community.
However, acquiring new fields, there
is a further earnings expansion, creating a $15
price possibility.
An experienced management team can raise
additional capital and build -- at favorable prices --
a leverage growth for current stockholders.
(Article 133 - posted January 4, 2010)
DISCLAIMER
Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed
to be reliable. However, such information has
not been verified by us and we do not make any
representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts
or employees may have positions in the securities
or commodities referred to herein, and may as
principal or agent buy and sell such securities
or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer
or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director
for companies mentioned in this report. Neither
the information nor any comment expressed shall
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities or commodities
mentioned herein. There may be instances when
fundamental, technical and competitive opinions
may not be in concert. This firm may from time
to time perform investment banking or other
services for or which investment banking or
other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report. |
|
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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