BERAL, INC.
Andrew Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, NY 10022
Phone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail: mlikar@aol.com

Alphamin Resources Corp.

July 26, 2012

(AFM.V - 50¢)
 
Price 50¢
Price Range 76¢ - 37¢
Shares Outstanding (fully diluted) 90M
Market Value $45 M
   

Business Summary

Alphamin Resources Corp., a mineral exploration company, engages in the location, acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties. It primarily explores for tin, rare earths, gold, and silver and prospects in Argentina and Mexico. The company owns interests in Sierra de les Mines Project in Argentina; and the Bisie Tin Project in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Chapter 2

The Modern Theory of Share Evaluation and the Asset Base Which the Company Represents

Mining companies start and then develop themselves and raise money to mine and deliver products such as tin. 

There is an interesting phenomenon that in the last few years prices have declined sharply and represent a fraction of the mining products which the company eventually wants to deliver.

In the case of  Alphamin, the company has 90 million shares, a market value of $45 million and a common share selling at 50 cents. This is a very small capitalization considering that the ultimate aim for the management is to create 5,000 tons of tin in the DRC by the year 2015 or 16.

Not only are we talking at current prices, $100 million but it is a possibility that with increased prices we are talking about $120 million and on a 10 year basis we are talking over a billion dollars.

In other words, we have a company which has its own profile and a profile for stockholders that a $45 million market cap, will eventually convert itself to a total delivery of $1 billion in tin.

The issue is not unique. Other companies are in the same position. Other investment bankers and stockholders are in the same position.

Is it a modern day discovery?

Alphamin Resources is listed on the Toronto Venture Exchange in exploring for tin and as well as gold, silver and rare earth and base metals in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Mexico.

In the DRC, Alphamin has a controlling interest in 1,200 square kilometers of prospective ground in the North Kivu province which includes a high grade Bisie tin deposit and copper and gold. The tin mineralization of Bisie is unique due to a high grade of tin oxide reported from a number of sources with a combined strike length of 1 ½ kilometers. The Bisie is also strongly emetic, red in color and contents of up to .5 rare earth element the most common being hydrated phosphate. 

The value of the deposits and the value of rare earths and other metals are infinitely larger than the $45 million market cap today.

Yet, we have to live with the reality that the 19 million shares at 50 cents will initiate and sustain an expansion in assets in financing that would deliver in the first or second year of production, $100 million.

What we describe is the modern day phenomenon of value mining. The world needs tin, the world needs rare elements, the world needs tungsten and the financing of such metals with such a small base is strikingly unique.

Quite frankly we should say that never in the history of mining has a company with such a small base been able to borrow or acquire assets able to produce so much mineral deposits.

It seems to us that modern day financing can learn from Winston Churchill.

Chapter 3

The Tin Industry

The extraction and use can be dated to the beginnings of the Bronze Age around 3000 BC, when it was observed that copper objects formed of polymetallic ores with different metal contents had different physical properties. The earliest bronze objects had tin or arsenic content of less than 2% and are therefore believed to be the result of unintentional alloying due to trace metal content in the copper ore. The addition of a second metal t to copper increases its hardness, lowers the melting temperature, and improves the casting process by producing a more fluid melt that cools to a denser, less spongy metal. This was an important innovation that allowed for the much more complex shapes cast in closed molds of the Bronze Age. Arsenical bronze objects appear first in the Near East where arsenic is commonly found in association with copper ore, but the health risks were quickly realized and the quest for sources of the much less hazardous tin ores began early in the Bronze Age. This created the demand for rare tin metal and formed a trade network that linked the distant sources of tin to the markets of Bronze Age cultures.

Occurrence

Tin does not occur as the native element but must be extracted from various ores. Cassiterite (SnO2) is the only commercially important source of tin, although small quantities of tin are recovered from complex sulfides such as stannite, cylindrite, franckeite, canfieldite, and teallite. Minerals with tin are almost always associated with granite rock, usually at a level of 1% tin oxide content.

It is estimated in January 2008 that there were 6.1 million tons of economically recoverable primary reserves, from a known base reserve of 11 million tons. Below are listed the nation’s with the largest known reserves.
 

World tin mine reserves and reserve base in tons:

Country Reserve Reserve Base
     
China 1,700,000 3,500,000
Malaysia 1,000,000 1,200,000
Peru 710,000 1,000,000
Indonesia 800,000 900,000
Brazil 540,000 2,500,000
Bolivia 450,000 900,000
Russia 300,000 350,000
Thailand 170,000 250,000
Australia 150,000 300,000
Other 180,000 200,000
     
TOTAL 6,000,000 11,000,000
     

Estimates of tin production have historically varied with the dynamics of economics feasibility and the development of mining technologies, but it is estimated that, at current consumption rates and technologies, the Earth will run out of tin that can be mined in 40 years. However Lester Brown has suggested tin could run out within 20 years based on an extremely conservative extrapolation of 2% growth per year.

Industry

The ten largest companies produced most of the world’s tin in 2007. It is not clear which of these companies include tin smelted from the mine at Bisie, Democratic Republic of the Congo, which is controlled by a renegade militia and produces 15,000 tons. Most of the world’s tin is traded on the London Metal Exchange (LME), from 8 countries, under 17 brands.
 

Largest tin mining companies by production in tons:

Company Country
   
Yunnan Tin China
PT Timah Indonesia
Minsur Peru
Malay China
Malaysia Smelting Corp. Malaysia
Thaisarco Thailand
Yunnan Chengfeng China
Liuzhou China Tin China
EM Vinto Bolivia
Gold Bell Group China
   

Chapter 4

Alphamin Resources – A Historical Tin Project

The company’s Executive Summary indicates that Alphamin on March 18, 2011 signed an agreement with Kivu Resources, a company in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and issued 14 million common shares to Kivu and its nominees. Kivu has the pertinent permits for the property.

Executive Summary: On March 18, 2011, the Company signed an agreement, with Kivu Resources Limited, a Mauritian company (“Kivu” and Mineral Processing Congo (SPRL (“MPC”), a company incorporated in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (“DRC”), pursuant to which the Company will purchase a 70% interest in MPC in consideration for the issuance of 14,000,000 common shares of Alphamin to Kivu or its nominees. Kivu is the holder of all the issued shares of MPC. MPC is the holder of certain prospecting permits for the Bisie Tin Property in the DRC. In conjunction with the proposed acquisition, the Company has agreed to raise $5,000,000 by the issuance of convertible note(s) which will bear interest at 8% per annum payable at nine months intervals, will be repayable one year from the date of issuance, are convertible into the shares of the Company at $0.80 per share, and will convert automatically one year after the effective date of the Bisie Agreement into common shares on the Company at $0.80 per share for an aggregate 6,250,000 common shares (if the Convertible Notes have not so converted before that date).

In addition, 10,000,000 common shares of the Company shall be issued to Kivu or its nominees within thirty business days of the conversion of the convertible note(s).

In order to start the production, the company agreed to raise $5 million in the form of a convertible note which would bear interest of 8% and convertible at 80¢.

In addition, 10 million common shares were issued to Kivu and its nominees with conversion privileges.

The factor which I would like to point out that whereas future production we are talking about a billion dollars, the transaction of acquiring the mine and developing it is running in the tens of millions of dollars. Surely a $5 million convertible debenture is a small item compared to the figures mentioned in the terms of the valuation of future production.

Obviously there is a gap between current events in terms of numbers, the price of the stock, the market capitalization, and the potential production. We are talking of historical change in corporate finance.

Undoubtedly, we could say that from 2012 on, piece by piece money will be raised and in 2015 a highly valuable potential $100 million worth of tin will be produced. As we approach the year of production, the amount of cash which Alphamin has to raise must increase. Since the current market value is less than $100 million, we may have to raise sufficient amount of cash that capitalization would increase from $100 to $300 million or $400 million with tremendous dilution to the current stockholders.

 

Chapter 5

The Complexities of Raising Capital

The introduction of tin indexed bonds is my invention. The concept is that we can create a marketable security which raises money in 2012 and partially pays the money back with the highly valuable high priced tin production of 2016 or later.

Accordingly, I have designed a formula whereby a unit is created which consisting of:

Stock
Warrants
Convertible bonds into tin

 Tin Indexed Bond (T.I.B.)

Total Identifiable Tin in DRC 100,000,000 t
Yearly production 5,000 t
Price $20,000 /t
Year l Output $100M
Early production 2016
Tin Indexed Bonds $10,000,000
Unit $1,000
   

To be Purchased by Investor

$1,000 Unit
     300 shares 
     300 warrants at 70¢
Value At
$200
  100
  $300

 

700 T.I.B. convertible into tin
After 2016 into 1/1000
Ton of tin
   
  Price is determined as 5 yearly average Less 25%

To be sold by Alphamin          $1,000 in 2012

To be received by Investor

300 shares 300
300 warrants 300
   

TIB: Tin Index Bond

The $1,000 unit is a combination of shares 300 shares, 300 warrants and $700 of the so-called tin convertible paper.

The shares and the warrants are attached to the unit can increase in value as the valuation of the entire Alphamin Resources increases. This is an initial incentive to investors. Obviously the common stock of Alphamin in June 2012, a cash hungry Alphamin, an Alphamin which has to raise money in a series of transactions, is obviously facing problems.

The only issue which we have to clarify is what quantity of tin is allocated to a $700 bond. $700 of a $20,000 per ton item is “X” dollar.

Even if there is no discount of this value, and we disregard the fact that in 5 years’ time, tin can be selling more than $20,000 the transaction is favorable for the company because it obtains all its money in one step $1,00 0 early and delivers the tin to be produced at a later stage.

What we are talking here is the mobilization of the tin reserves which we value over $1 billion at a time when the company is far from production but looking forward to monetary needs in the next five years.
I may be permitted to use a historical analogy when in 1963 President Kennedy named Sir Winston Churchill an honorary citizen of the United States, he said, “Mr. Churchill during the war he mobilized the English language to fight the Germans.”

My work here is to find a structure, to mobilize the tin reserves which would provide the necessary cash to open highly valuable tin mines in the future and use the future tin deliveries against the current monetary needs.
Quite frankly I consider such ideas very effective even though they have not been used widely in the mining world.

I was very gratified when on two different occasions; the IMF wrote to me and expressed interest of gold indexed bonds with respect to countries.

Following this idea in a wider context than Alphamin Resources – tin; the same formula can be used for gold and silver. In fact, I created the silver backed bond 30 years ago for Bunker Hunt in Sunshine Mining.

My prediction is that the thorough execution and the careful creation of Alphamin Resources Tin Indexed Bonds, is a timely idea. It may be ahead of its time, but may be followed by a whole series of other kind of tin indexed bonds.

Only yesterday, June 25, 2012 ,the chief investment officer of Wells Fargo said on television that gold is a currency, the 4th currency, and we would have to accept it as it is and storage of gold is likely to be higher than lower as the monetary crisis in the world continues with no solution in the next few months.

If gold is going to be a currency, and if gold is being used by banks, governments as real currency next to the Euro which has been recently declining or the Yen, if gold is accepted as currency, it is perfectly normal to assume that gold indexed bonds will be used by governments, banks, corporations, and maybe in personal loans.

One of the first ideas I had concerning gold as collateral or gold as a currency rather, was in the middle of 1980. I wrote a 4-page article called, “Gold and the Polish Debt”. In this article, I wrote “maybe the Hunt brothers dream will come true referring to gold or silver collateral and we will name Bunker Hunt for the Noble Prize for Economics.” 

A few days after I had this article was completed , on a particular Friday in 1980, I was leaving the Carlyle Hotel and in walked Bunker Hunt with his wife Caroline. I showed the article to Mr. Hunt who beckoned his wife saying look what nice things Andrew writes about us and he stated further that unfortunately not many people write nicely about the Hunts. We had breakfast the next day and I have been friendly with the family ever since.

In the conventional sense, companies used to raise money, invest the proceeds in mining, and hope to invest the 2nd or 3rd round.

The conventional process of raising money for Alphamin Resources would flood the market with stocks and would increase the number of shares from 90 Million to maybe 500 Million. We created the tin indexed bond to avoid such an event and limit the amount of shares issued.

The tin index bonds (TIB) shortcuts the conventional financing techniques and in many respects is more practical than the old techniques.

Alphamin Resources will only deliver tin if it can obtain financing to mine it. What I am stating is that the old conventional techniques may not be effective in these modern times.  

 

Disclaimer

Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuers reports or communications or other sources believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by us and we do not make any representation to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes only current opinions which are subject to change. BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts or employees may have positions in the securities or commodities referred to herein, and may as principal or agent buy and sell such securities or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director for companies mentioned in this report. Neither the information nor any comment expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or commodities mentioned herein. There may be instances when fundamental, technical and competitive opinions may not be in concert. This firm may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for or which investment banking or other businesses from any company mentioned in this report.

 

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Andrew Racz. 300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C, New York, NY 10022
Phone: (212) 319-6949 Fax: (212) 753-1944. E-mail: mlikar@aol.com

Copyright © 2011 Andrew Racz. All Rights Reserved.

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