"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
|
|
"U.S. GOLD CORP."
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
U.S. GOLD CORP.
(USGL - OB)
Price:
$2.40
Price range
50¢ - $2.60
2005
Capital Structure
(September 30, 2005)
Long-term debt:
Ø
Stockholders' equity:
2,500,000
Common shares outstanding:
33,000,000
There goes the British Empire
January 1, 1940
Winston Churchill
|
|
| Unless we mend our ways
as a nation
and mortgage payments do not double
because of the current
rate of borrowing of $2
billion
a day
$6.00
per person
|
|
By the 2008 presidential election,
There goes the U.S. dollar.
There goes the United States
as a superpower.
|
|
August 19, 2005
Change in Director or Principal Officers - Key Corporate
Development
On August 18, 2005, William W. Read resigned as the President,
Chief Executive Officer and a director of U.S. Gold Corporation
and David C. Reid resigned as Vice President and a director
of the Company. It is anticipated that the Reids will remain
with the company until approximately September 30, 2005 as
consultants.
Simultaneously with the resignation of the Messrs. William
and David Reid, Robert M. McEwen was appointed Chairman of
the Board of Directors and elected the Chief Executive Officer
of the company to replace William Reid. Declain Costelloe
was appointed to the Board of Directors to fill the vacancy
created by the resignation of David Reid. These changes were
anticipated in connection with the sale of the company's common
stock to Mr. McEwen, announced on July 29, 2005.
As previously reported by the company, Mr. McEwen purchased
11,100,000 shares of the company's common stock, representing
approximately 33.3% of the outstanding voting stock, for a
total purchase price of $4
million. Mr. McEwen was granted the right to nominate up to
four new members of the Board of Directors, including nominees
to fill vacancies created by the departure of directors. The
appointment of Messrs. McEwen and Costelloe were made pursuant
to that agreement.
In addition to his new affiliation with the company, Mr.
McEwen is also the Chairman of the Board of Goldcorp Inc.,
a position he has occupied for the last eighteen years. Until
February, 2005, he was also the Chief Executive Officer of
that company. Goldcorp is incorporated under the laws of the
Province of Ontario, Canada, engaged in the exploration and
production of gold with securities traded on the Toronto and
New York Stock Exchanges.
CHAPTER ONE
U.S. GOLD AS IT APPEARS TODAY
This company for all intents and purposes is
an unknown mining company with 33 million shares and a price
of $2.50
with a market cap of about $90
million. It owns exploration rights and advanced exploration
project in the Cortez Trends located in Nevada.
Is Cortez Trend the next Carlin?
The first major phase of the current Cortez Trend started
in 1991 when Placer Dome discovered the Pipeline deposit.
Placer Dome had been testing the area to ensure there was
no gold beneath the surface in order to start construction
for a subsequent deposit. Later that year, South Pipeline
was discovered by the Placer Dome exploration team. Placer
Dome made its Cortez Pediment Deposit discovery in 1998, followed
by its South Pipeline Extension Deposit discovery in 2000.
Many thought the Cortez Trend had the potential to produce
other mines, but few believed it could host Carlin type deposits.
However, the world of gold mining and the prospects of the
Cortez Trend dramatically changed when Placer Dome announced
the discovery of Cortez Hills in 2003.
Placer Dome reported the discovery of Cortez Hills in April,
2003, with an initial resource of 2.1 million ounces in measured
and indicated resource plus an additional 932,000 ounces in
interred resource. Shortly after, measured and indicated resources
more than doubled to 4.5 million ounces. By June 30, 2004,
the Cortez Hills deposit was estimated to contain 7.5 million
ounces of proven and probable reserves.
In the Cortez Hills deposit, geologists are seeing similarities
between it and the discoveries that make up the Carlin Trend.
It is noted that the Cortez Pipeline and Cortez Hills deposits
share in common with Newmont and Barrick's Carlin properties
such geological characteristics as intrusive proximity, deep
rooted fault, sediment host rocks, Carlin-type geochemistry,
low silver to gold ratio, and micron-sized gold in Arsenian
Pyrite.
Nevada is the world's third largest producer of gold, behind
South Africa and Australia. The state is home to many of the
largest gold deposits on earth, with the most significant
discoveries occurring in the Carlin Trend. About 60 million
ounces of gold have been produced from the Carlin Trend, with
over 120 million still in the ground. This is the result of
over 40 gold deposits being discovered in this one trend.
Barrick, North America's second largest gold company, started
in Nevada and Newmont Mining, as well as Placerdome, are staking
a large part of their future in these two Nevada-based gold
territories. Nevertheless, U.S. Gold is a very small explorer
and up until now, it has not created anything meaningful that
the investing public should be excited about.
At the time of writing, one-third of the company is owned
directly or indirectly by Robert McEwen, the chairman of Goldcorp.
Another independent corporation, NovaGold, owns 16.5%. In
August of this year, most of the old management resigned and
Mr. Robert McEwen became chairman of the board with the obvious
intention of nominating four more members of the board and
basically take over the future of the company.
In the following table is the numerical ownership and the
various nominee companies owned by Mr. McEwen that constitute
the main stockholders' interest of U.S. Gold.
In the half a century that is behind us, the international
industrial world has created many heroes and they in turn
build world-famous companies. In the United States people
like Bill Gates and Microsoft became better known than almost
any cabinet minister today in the Bush administration. Their
achievements speak for themselves and their contribution is
even more startling.
William H. Gates,
III
$51 billion
Microsoft
|
Microsoft's chief visionary moving
further away from day-to-day corporate work. |
Warren Buffet
$40 billion
Berkshire Hathaway
|
Sitting on $43
billion in cash, hoped to make some big acquisitions
last year, but instead invested in foreign currencies:
$21
billion bet against the dollar in favor of other
currencies. "In no way does our thinking about
currencies rest on doubts about America." |
Jeffrey Bezos
$4.8 billion
Amazon
|
Texas rancher turned computer ace waltzed through
Princeton, hedge funds on Wall Street. Left New
York with wife to sell books on the Internet from
Seattle garage. Named company Amazon because of
river's never-ending tributaries. |
|
Wilbur Ross, the bankruptcy expert who created International
Steel, has become a household name and is currently putting
together a package of automobile parts companies at a time
when the automobile industry is going through a major transformation.
Names like Steve Wynn and Kirk Kerkorian created an industry,
a city, namely Las Vegas, a state, namely Nevada, and now
on the island of Macao, near Hong Kong, as the entertainment
mecca of China. In the East, Donald Trump, self-created billionaire
(he had more setbacks than billions!), represents in my mind
a man of repeated and dogged desire for success and achievement.
All the names I mention are part of modern American history
and the people's whose names I mention also represent a personal
fortune of a billion dollars. None of them are known for leisure
time, and each of them I think that they are helpful to create
a world in the 21st century where the seven billion population
of the world needs highly creative people to deliver the goods
and services that seven billion people need. We are entering
a period, and we are in the early stage of not only the results
but particularly the difficulties of living in a world where
people want to live well, where the middle class is developing
left and right in the Far East in South America and Eastern
Europe, where the services require hard commodities like iron
or steel, aluminum or copper, silver, palladium, platinum,
and we need in bigger and bigger quantities because the demand
factor naturally grows.
I advised both President Bush and British Conservative leader
Michael Howard on this vital subject. To rebuilt Mississippi,
I also advised Senator Trent Lott on this matter.
This is an age of commodities! This is not the century
of warfare. As a matter of fact, wars are criticized by enlightened
leaders as a particular waste to the welfare of mankind. To
my mind, President Putin is one of the most enlightened leaders
in the world today. He accepted that half of the Soviet Union
was cut out of Russia. He developed oil reserves and he developed
monetary reserves and monetary strengths in Russia, which
utilizing its surplus to build an infrastructure at the same
time being one of the only so-called second-level superpowers
with close to $100 billion monetary reserves at the governmental
level. He is paying back debt, the only major country to do
so.
As we face the 21st century, Russia with its incredible need
for infrastructure and secondary industry, must have the reserves
to cope with the demands of its 140 million people. President
Putin is a modern-day common leader, in a way a modern billionaire
leader of mankind.
In this atmosphere, one of the major problems facing the entire
world is the value of its currency. There are today no reserve
currencies. The Far East keeps two-thirds of its money in
dollars. The European nations keep most of their money in
Euros. South America is in between. Smaller countries, Eastern
European countries, are in Euros, but each and every one of
these countries has begun to think of gold as an alternative
to Euro currencies, in fact, an alternative to all currencies
in the world.
CHAPTER TWO
Gold as a store of value has survived well over a hundred
years. Its initial progress was promoted by the South African
leaders at the turn of the century, the Oppenheimers, Sir
Cecil Rhodes, and others. In my first entree to gold in 1961,
when I first visited South Africa, I saw a city of Johannesburg
that was built on gold and the large financial houses, all
owned by Anglo-Americans, DeBeers, the old historical giants
of gold.
The role of gold has not changed in the second part of the
20th century, and it never became a currency. Also, some financiers
such as the late Edmond Safra, the chairman of Republic Bank
of New York, have tied gold to the Euro market which he created.
There were a few serious industrialists. Perhaps the most
famous is Mr. Peter Munk, the current chairman and former
CEO of Barrick, a Hungarian immigrant who built a major company
and initiated a trend which served him well, which unfortunately
did not survive. See Table 2.
Mr. Munk made it mainstream to use hedging and currency futures
trading to increase the value of his gold income. He made
a lot of money but his pioneering spirit did not become a
historical architect. After the disaster of 1979 and 1980,
when gold reached $830
and then declined to $300,
the gold industry was business as usual. There were no publications,
no companies who could have begun to prepare for decades of
gold-related financing at a time when government deficits
have grown to almost unmanageable levels and it was obvious
to almost every banker that the conventional ship from one
reserve currency to another may not be satisfying to the financial
world. These list the U.S. balance of payment deficit at $700
billion.
| U.S. population
|
300,000,000 |
U.S. balance of payment deficit |
$700,000,000,000 |
Per person: |
$2,332 |
Daily borrowing: |
$2.0
billion |
Per person: |
$6 |
|
| Dollars in perspective: |
(i) |
A family of four incurs: |
| |
$24
debt a day |
| |
$106
debt a week |
| |
$5,000
debt per month |
(ii) |
or a typical middle-class home doubles the mortgage
a year. |
| In terms of dollars, there goes the
family assets! |
| The question is: how much gold do
you have left? |
|
The emergence of China, together with Korea and Japan, and
the last six or eight years of American deficit, has brought
along a new era in international finance. The United States
today is borrowing two billion dollars a day. The Chinese,
the Koreans and the Japanese are accumulating dollar reserves
and currency reserves at unprecedented levels, and recently
started to diversify into gold.
What we have is a world with tremendously increased demand
for services, higher prices, greater money supply in almost
every country, and the need for a reserve currency that can
absorb the surpluses in crisis and could create a new financing
mechanism in the decades to come. The political leaders and
even the financial leaders have not come to the conclusion
that the way we were is over, and in this new century a new
monetary system is about to begin. Neither Mr. Volcker nor
Mr. Greenspan concentrated on the changing roles of international
finance in which gold or something else could play a role
and a calming role to cover the monetary needs of a developing
egalitarian society of seven billion people.
I would like to introduce a simple example where, in my opinion,
the world is headed. Recently we have heard that after patient
diplomacy, the North Koreans might drop the idea of blowing
up the world with nuclear weapons. North Korea has 18 million
people. Just like the Vietnamese, it is not inconceivable
that in five or ten years from now, it will become a capitalist
country. If so, we would have 20 million more people who need
steel, iron ore, shipping, food, wheat, and it has to become
part of the world's monetary system. It would contribute to
an increased money supply, increased borrowing and increased
instability in the world. For the North Korean peace, we get
20 million consumers who are also borrowers. Is it a good
deal?
CHAPTER THREE
THE PICTURE OF ROBERT McEWEN
My personal view of the world is that unusual times require
unusual people. Robert McEwen, if anything, is in the 21st
century's "The Man of Gold". His past and future
activities in the gold market may make him the Andrew Carnegie
of the current gold age. His life is tied to the precious
metal and his achievements so far represent a dedication and
understanding of what is required to build something so extraordinary
that it has a contribution to mankind. Great people don't
all have Jack Kennedy's colorful personality. Great people
are usually good writers and good speakers, but their dedication
is unquestionable. The son of a Canadian investment banker
taught his son to invest in gold at an early age. He followed
his father after college from the University of Western Ontario
to Merrill Lynch.
In 1988, with a takeover battle, he acquired the Dickerson
Mine there began in his field. He took over from his father
and acquired a company called Goldcorp, a closed-end investment
company. He stepped into the takeover business and acquired
an underperforming Red Lake mine in 1966. He reduced a production
cost of $360
per ounce to $59
per ounce. Goldcorp had a market value at an early stage of
his career of $50
million. He changed the by-laws and by owning some small gold
mining companies, eliminated the discount of a closed-end
fund and became a premium gold mining producer. An investment
company which at the time of his entree had a $50
million Canadian market value, became a $7
billion entity some eighteen years later.
The building of Goldcorp was a gradual process. He combined
the purchase of mining assets, the mining process itself,
the creation of profits, together building a portfolio of
gold shares like a merchant bank. Being an innovative individual
at a time when gold was just over $200,
instead of selling the gold from his own mining, he built
a gold bullion portfolio which at various times was greater
than the gold reserves of 114 countries including Egypt, Pakistan,
and India. He hedged like Barrick, and he played the futures
market.
"Starting in 2001, I believed the price of gold had bottomed
and was set to go higher, which led to the idea of holding
back production for higher prices. In 2001, Goldcorp held
back five percent of production. In 2002, ten percent was
withheld and I also went into the market and purchased some
gold. We started holding back gold when the price was U.S.
$270 an ounce.
Today it's above U.S. $400.
At the peak, we held more gold than the Bank of Canada, more
gold than what was held by 50 of the 114 central banks that
hold gold," says Mr. McEwen.
Sitting at the top of Goldcorp, there was a diversity of mining
process, mining profit, and the preservation of gold and constant
reduction in the price of mining in the company. The company
started with a hostile takeover battle. The combination of
Dickinson Mines, Carlin Mines and Wharf Resources was acquired
one by one. The most successful was called Dickinson, the
name changed being the last leg. Operating performance converting
a $50 million
debt company into one of the most successful gold mining entities
in the world.
About a year ago, when he merged his company with the Vancouver-based
Wheaton River Minerals, the company had a million ounces of
yearly gold production and an average mining cost of less
than $60.
This is equivalent to saying that the surplus cash flow of
the company was $350
million and at a higher price of let's say $600
an ounce, the surplus cash flow annually would be $500
million.
Goldcorp in two decades became an international celebrity.
Robert McEwen has become undoubtedly, if there is such a person
in the gold mining industry, a man of the century. From mining,
operating, allocating resources and utilizing gold and using
it in every facet of the world from currencies, from bullion
values, an empire was created which has to be written with
a small "e" because its size cannot be compared
with Mr. Sloan's General Motors, or Andrew Carnegie's U.S.
Steel. Nor did it ever become a J.P. Morgan.
CHAPTER FOUR
U.S. Gold is a small company but as a securities analyst who
analyzed every facet of this new company, of which the chairman
and his resources and his desire and knowledge is important.
The conclusion may be reached that at least on
a speculative level a new empire is about to begin.
| 1. |
The company
is one-third owned by the chairman. A hundred million
dollar company with one billion dollars in personal
resources is impressive. Only probably J.P. Morgan had
these figures at the turn of the century.
|
| |
|
| 2. |
It seems that the Carlin
and Cortez gold reserve territories have particularly
deep underground twenty to thirty or forty million ounces
of gold. These figures are impressive. |
| |
|
| 3. |
For the deep drilling,
Robert McEwen has unlimited resources. Because of his
reputation, the price of the stock is already at the
$100
million level.
|
| |
|
| 4. |
Any amount of success in
his operating performance would create a capital structure
of several times its current value, in which case he could
carry out an acquisition program and reach a much larger
corporate base. |
| |
|
| 5. |
It would not be difficult
for him to get partners, form a limited partnership, and
go to an even higher level. The world's gold industry
is in consolidation. The increasing need for gold makes
consolidation a natural phenomena. |
| |
|
| 6. |
Monetizing gold and gold
reserves has not begun. But if there is anyone experienced
in the gold mining industry, it is Robert McEwen. |
| |
|
| 7. |
Gold is heading higher. It
is heading higher because of the monetary value of gold.
The monetary value of gold can equally be 600, 800 or
1,000, in which case even by the current reserve position,
U.S. Gold is undervalued. |
| |
|
| 8. |
If the 21st century will see
the monetization of gold, it would automatically give
the opportunity to a man who has already achieved on a
mini scale the man of the year in the precious metal industry,
may give the opportunity like the Second World War gave
to Churchill and the Internet gave to Google, and the
bankruptcies of the steel industry gave to Wilbur Ross.
It will give the opportunity to Robert McEwen to create
a new empire in gold backed by his resources and resourcefulness
and his foresight that he is, in fact, a public servant. |
| |
|
Maybe in ten years, and it would be right if it happens,
Goldcorp will own several mines. It could produce perhaps
again a million ounces of gold. It would own bullion and may,
in fact, have seats on a whole series of commodity trading
markets all over the world. Maybe it would manage gold portfolios.
Maybe it would become, like at some stage AT&T was, a
one-stop shop for gold.
Mankind has advanced with U.S. Steel. Mankind has advanced
with AT&T and Google. Mankind in fact advanced with the
formation of the trillion dollar Fidelity. There is no reason
that U.S. Gold will not represent something similar in an
industry whose importance and significance is gradually becoming
worldwide.
DISCLAIMER
| Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed to
be reliable. However, such information has not
been verified by us and we do not make any representation
to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement
non-factual in nature constitutes only current
opinions which are subject to change. BERAL INC.
or their officers, directors, analysts or employees
may have positions in the securities or commodities
referred to herein, and may as principal or agent
buy and sell such securities or commodities. An
employee, analyst, officer or a director of BERAL
INC. may serve as a director for companies mentioned
in this report. Neither the information nor any
comment expressed shall constitute an offer to
sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any
securities or commodities mentioned herein. There
may be instances when fundamental, technical and
competitive opinions may not be in concert. This
firm may from time to time perform investment
banking or other services for or which investment
banking or other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report. |
|
| Andrew
Racz
Dated: September 27, 2005
|
|
(Article
9- posted September 29, 2005)
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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