"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay's Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It's A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine" -
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I'm Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entree
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"WisdomTree
Investments, Inc."
posted December 26, 2006
"My
Father Died In Auschwitz"
posted January 19, 2007
"Lexam
Exploration, Inc."
posted February 11, 2007
"Robert
Friedland -
The Man of The Year"
posted February 21, 2007
"Rubicon
Minerals Corp."
posted March 1, 2007
"Warren
Buffett - Franklin Roosevelt"
posted March 15, 2007
"Golden
Valley Mines, Ltd"
posted April 21, 2007
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted May 22, 2007 |
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
May
30, 2007
BAYSWATER
URANIUM CORP.
(BAY.V)
Price:
$1.35 |
|
|
52-week: $2.47
– $0.78 |
|
|
|
Feature
Items
As of May 15, 2007
|
| |
Cash |
$37,000,000 |
|
|
| |
Debt |
0 |
|
|
| |
Common
shares: |
90,610,084 |
|
|
| |
Warrants/options: |
31,586,627 |
|
|
| |
Fully
diluted: |
122,196,711 |
|
|
|
A "superior Junior" uranium company.
It develops in the Uranium Age. |
BAYSWATER
URANIUM CORP. |
Bayswater Uranium Corporation is a uranium exploration company.
The merger with Kilgore Minerals for 20.5 million shares is
one of the first mergers of equals in the uranium exploration
business. However, larger transactions, even multi-billion
dollar transactions are common among producing entities. The
recent $30 billion deal between Alcoa and Alcan and the fight
for the $6.0 billion takeover of Lion Ore are pacesetters.
There are about 500 uranium exploration companies in Canada,
Australia and some in Africa. The consolidation phase is about
to begin after most of the promising exploration entities
have raised the initial capital to operate for approximately
two years. The bigger base obviously helps the capital raising
activities and the larger portfolio gives an opportunity for
development of an exploration company.
As the only uranium explorer to have major land holdings in
each of Canada's most important producing and exploration
regions, the Aathabasca Basin, the Central Mineral Belt, and
the Thelon Basis—Bayswater Uranium Corp. Is well positioned
to be a market leader in uranium exploration. Bayswater combines
the experience of its technical and managerial teams with
a large, highly prospective and diverse property base. The
result is a Super Junior Uranium Company with the share liquidity
and an over $100 million market capitalization to provide
value to both the retail and institutional investor.
The exploration phase of the uranium industry deals with underground
assets and allocated appropriate market value. A share exchange
program creates larger portfolios. A diversified set of mergers
creates a better "exploration risk" and hence a
higher market value.
BAY is the forefront of all this movement.
A World Awash with Money
There is a trail of money finding the way into the global
financial network. The abundant liquidity is searching for
shares and goods.
The uranium market must organize itself to "tradeable"
conditions.
Wealth
Funds
| UAE
Dubai |
$875
B |
| Saudi
Arabia |
$300
B |
| China
|
$300
B |
|
The total funds amount to $2.5 trillion in
2007, but estimated to reach $12.0 trillion by 2015.
Uranium explorers are competing in this market.
| Bayswater
Uranium Corp. The Super Junior Uranium Company
|
Bayswater Uranium reports that its
due diligence review is almost complete with respect to the
proposed merger with Kilgore Minerals, Ltd. Following the
expected satisfactory due diligence, including an Independent
Fairness Option, Tax Review, Land Title Report and Visibility
Report on uranium exploration, development and mining in certain
states in the United States, all of which are completed, or
near completion. An Information Circular will be sent to shareholders
for approval. The transaction is also subject to the approval
of the TSX Venture. Closing the transaction is anticipated
to occur in July, 2007.
Bayswater Uranium has a highly diversified and diverse property
base, particularly after the Kilgore merger. Bayswater has
land holdings in almost all four uranium bases in Canada.
Kilgore has properties in Montana and Wyoming. Technical reports
indicate that an initial program of the Wyoming property is
in an advanced stage, and therefore the company has near term
production potential.
Bayswater is just emerging as a super junior uranium company.
The capital structure of the two companies is as follows.
|
|
Bayswater |
Kilgore
|
Total |
|
Fully diluted shares |
122,196,711 |
25,000,000 |
147,196,711 |
| Cash
position |
$37M
$5 |
|
|
| Cash
from warrants & options |
$50M
$5 |
$97M |
|
|
A Theory of Consolidation
The uranium industry is highly fragmented at the production
level, but not among the power plants. They are the ultimate
but demanding corner.
Let's take the three new plants the Chinese will build each
year. It involves.
Resources
Foreign
imports
Foreign
partnership
To secure reserves, production is sought in Australia, Canada
and Africa. $187 million in Australian imports is a representative
size.
Actually, the 500 uranium exploration companies need $40 billion
in the next 5 to 8 years to develop their reserves. BAY, after
the Kilgore merger, has just about a market cap of $150M.
In the 1930's Stalin forcefully collectivized the private
Russian farmland.
In the early decades of the twenty-first century, the uranium
industry will collectivise itself.
If an enlarged Bayswater considers a forward delivery of $150M
worth of uranium, it will command a market cap of $300 million.
This is 100 percent more than the current size.
Prospective History
Product Merchandise: Uranium Delivery, prospectively higher
prices
Methods: Capital
Acquisitions
Greater
market cap
Prospective
investors
Whereas Bayswater has $37 million cash, Kilgore
is expanding more rapidly. It has recently been awarded ten
Wyoming state uranium leases covering 8,000 acres. These are
highly prospective areas for the occurrence of accelerated
uranium mineralization. The selection of areas covered by
the new leases was significantly aided by the evaluation of
the company's extensive database on Northern Powder River
Basin. Kilgore now has 100 percent ownership of 22 uranium
properties in four Western states. It is engaged in exploration
and development of natural resource properties and with the
merger and the monetary reserves of Bayswater, the Wyoming
territory is developed and advanced much more rapidly.
As we noted earlier, Kilgore will have 20.6 million shares
of Bayswater. Immediately after the merger, Kilgore plans
to conduct a drill program which should lead to resource definition.
It would help to establish a resource estimate
and facilitate environmental studies.
In order of time and significance, the various properties
of the two companies are listed below.
Uranium
Properties of the merged entities
Kilgore |
Bayswater |
| 22
properties in the USA |
Sandstone
deposits |
468
mineral claims
California
Montana
Nevada
Wyoming
|
|
| Sandstone
Uranium Deposits |
Sandstone
uranium deposits are widely distributed around
the world and produced in more than 11 percent
of global production in 2004. Niger, Kazakhstan,
USA, and Australia were some of the leading
producers of uranium from sandstone deposits. |
| Iron
Oxide Copper-Gold (IOCG) Uranium Deposits |
Olympic
Dam is localized at the intersection of major
structures and has an associated magnetic and
gravity anomaly. |
| Pegmatite-Intrusive
(Rossing-style) Uranium Deposits |
Rio
Tinto's Rossing pegmatite-Intrusive deposit
in Namibia produces nearly 8 percent of the
world's uranium annually. Rossing is a world-class
deposit and an important model for uranium exploration
globally, including Labrador's Central Mineral
Belt (CMB). |
|
A Uranium Participation Certificate company
has the first duty to provide cash to foster the growth of
the enterprise. However, because of the fragmented nature
of the industry, because of the fragmented avenues to acquire
uranium, whether it is on the open market purchase, whether
a purchase from the mining companies or swap arrangements,
it is basically an investment banking function.
In order to have a high return on the existing
uranium, one must be in contact with energy buyers, mining
companies, and other uranium owners. It is not only a simple
investment banking function, it is a highly specialized international
banking function. Accordingly, such people who understand
this business, who are willing to utilize their contacts to
establish the business are very difficult to find. And, if
anybody wants to engage them, it can only be done at a prohibitively
high price.
It should be clearly stated that in the uranium
exploration business, the value of deposits at various stages
are given different market figures. Accordingly, upgrading
projects contains a million pounds of uranium is valued at
$12 per pound under the ground and $22 per pound once it is
certified. This is a very important ingredient in judging
the combined companies which will have about 125 million shares.
If, for instance, a million pounds is valued at $22 per pound
to be of a certain value for eventual development, every million
shares could increase the value of the company by approximately
$20 million. Five million pounds of uranium would represent
a value of over $100 million, almost equal to 50 percent of
the current capitalization of the company.
An exploration company is basically dependent
on the deposits and it is aided by the monetary reserves of
the company. Even so, the cash reserves at $40 million would
cover exploration for two years. The enlarged company may
in fact need $60 million more in order to be a viable entity
that can sale until the reserves are certified for environmental
study and construction of a uranium mine.
There is no question that the uranium business
is highly speculative. At the same time, it is very much the
business of the 21st century. Uranium mining attracts capital
and people at a time when the currently producing uranium
is of vital importance to the world.
The statistical figures are impressive.
1. The current production of uranium represents
17 percent of the world's electricity production. So long
as the price of oil is high and is actually going higher,
the demand for uranium is increasing. The world today uses
68,000 tons of yellowcake for civilian reactors, of which
only 66 percent is covered by production. Mine production
is 42,000 tons for the year, which would increase to 59,000
tons a year by 2010, of which 12,000 is contributed by production
in 2010. See Table 4.
2. On May 6, 2007, the NYMEX-U.S. began
to quote trading in yellowcake in 250-pound units in New
York City.
3. The New York Mercantile Exchange has
plans to be an active trader of uranium and a key source
of information on the prices. The contracts are settled
in cash, meaning one will have to arrange to take delivery
of the yellowcake.
4. Meanwhile, nuclear plants are built
at great speed. Twenty-one new nuclear plants are to be
completed by 2010 in China and Asia, double to 45 in the
following 10 years.
5. The price of uranium has increased from
$20 four years ago to $125 in May, 2007, expected to hit
$140 by December, 2007, and $160 in 2008. Accordingly, the
demand for uranium is almost insatiable.
6. As an example, China has only one percent
of its electricity supplied by uranium and it wil only increase
to four percent by 2020. New uranium is found in northwest
China and Inner Mongolia. The Chinese authorities began
a systematic stockpile on a commercial basis, which will
be meaningful by the year 2010. It its usual aggressive
fashion, China is seeking natural uranium resources outside
its own borders.
With higher uranium prices, the Bayswater-Kilgore
conglomeration could afford to consider several dozen locations.
Because of the growing price and growing reserves at an advanced
stage, the price of the stock may permit raising $50-$100
million so that the actual work to construct a mine and deliver
uranium is ahead of the company's competition.
Among the exploration companies, even among
super juniors, there is a competition to get investment attention,
higher stock price, more money, so that the technical staff
of the company, the engineering segment, could apply itself
to its basic task faster than the competition. The current
use of nuclear power is meaningful in Canada itself. There
are 17 nuclear power plants. Sixteen percent of the world's
electricity is generated from nuclear power using uranium
fuel.
The supply and demand picture, however, is
shifting towards developing successful juniors. Demand for
U3O8 is directly linked to the level of electricity generated
by nuclear power plants. Demand for U3O8 is projected to increase
significantly in the next few decades, as more countries convert
to nuclear fuel and the current facilities are upgraded.
Results in a surge in the price of uranium
makes exploration obviously more attractive. In various countries,
the production is increasing and the search for deposits is
increasing, the main countries being Canada, Australia, Niger,
the U.S., and Kazakstan.
In the following page we describe the production
and exploration of the uranium industry, which would give
an outline that there is a revolution taking place in the
energy field and this revolution, which is worldwide, is not
restricted to ethanol or any other alternative energies which
have been tried and sometimes failed.
The picture of Bayswater in the next two
years is likely to change. In a summary table, we describe
what the company may look like by the year 2010, both financially
and in the development of its uranium reserves. We cannot
be specific but we expect a great number of acquisitions of
junior companies that would join what I called super junior
uranium companies that can handle all the requirements when
developing a uranium-producing entity.
Andrew Racz

(Article
53 - posted May 30, 2007)
DISCLAIMER
Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed
to be reliable. However, such information has
not been verified by us and we do not make any
representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts
or employees may have positions in the securities
or commodities referred to herein, and may as
principal or agent buy and sell such securities
or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer
or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director
for companies mentioned in this report. Neither
the information nor any comment expressed shall
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities or commodities
mentioned herein. There may be instances when
fundamental, technical and competitive opinions
may not be in concert. This firm may from time
to time perform investment banking or other
services for or which investment banking or
other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report |
|
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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