BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
The Age of Special 'Corporate' Relationships
Seven
billion people are working.
If seven billion people increase their consumption
by $1,000 per year,
we have an appetite to provide the goods and
services to satisfy $7 trillion extra a year.
$7 trillion is the entire national debt of
the United States,
which we have accumulated over a period of
250 years.
The Chinese have less than $2 trillion currency
in service. |
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It has often been said in
financial history that when times are changing, those who
fight the war with old weapons turn out to be the losers.
There are more losers than winners, in fact 90 percent of
the people are losers.
The change, whether it is
formal or timing, is not for display on CNN.
The scene is August, 2007.
Almost all the so-called exploration stocks not only lost
50 percent of their values, but they lost their promotional
ability and they are no longer courted by underwriters.
Yet, the reality is that
the outlook for industrial minerals has never been better.
With the exception of gold and silver, the base metals became
the discovered essential pieces for the 21st century.
Seven billion people are working,
and the so-called 150 million lunatic fringe is getting
more and more interested in money. The world is consumption
oriented, and nickel, molybdenum, steel, copper and iron
ore has bigger and bigger demand for consumption, and they
have developed what is called the subject of Natural
Buyers.
Let me put this in perspective.
If seven billion people increase their consumption by $1,000
per year, we have an appetite to provide the goods and services
to satisfy $7 trillion extra a year.
To put this figure in perspective,
$7 trillion is the entire national debt of the United States,
a debt which we have accumulated over an historical period
of 250 years.
The Chinese have less than
$2 trillion currency in service.
The Russians have only $200
billion.
What
I am saying is, that every year for
10 years the world will demand ten times $7
trillion extra goods and services of
which nickel and molybdenum are integral parts.
So is uranium. It is an extra $70 trillion
marked, "Bingo!"
The world has never experienced such a
market.
Bernard Baruch used to say;
"All
I know is that if the demand is greater than
supply, the price goes up." |
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This is my message to my friends
who are upset about the recent drop of uranium and nickel.
Returning to reality, we need
new techniques to find this money and develop your corporation
in the current environment.
I recommend that in order
to raise capital companies either dissect themselves or
form partnerships to make themselves attractive for underwriters
for secondary offerings.
Suppose two or three or four
companies form a holding company contributing shares and
some money to this new entity. Such holding company, which
can be pure molybdenum, or three nickel companies, or the
combination of nickel, molybdenum and uranium company, represent
the combined potentials of the three companies.
The other day I analyzed a
molybdenum company, with credentials, $40 million mining
potential, $14 million market cap.
It is a small company.
Assume it is part of a holding
company, let's assume three molybdenum companies. Assume
each company contributes $3 million worth of stock or let's
say a total of $10 million in value.
If an underwriter raised $5
million for such holding company, there is always a possibility
that one of the three corporations will have a sudden advance
in exploration. It's own stock will move, but so will the
holding company and consequently, more money can be raised.
Such funds, of course, are available on a pro rata basis
to the three parents.
The holding company can, of
course, use cash and stock to acquire a fourth or fifth
company, and expand its mineral base.
There is some similarity how
Brascan in Toronto and Anglo-American in Johannesburg created
itself.
There are of course many formats
to my theory.
A single company can make
one or two of his subsidiaries public and become its own
holding company.
Last, but not least, the seven
billion people make themselves fat in the mining world's
other than product demand. The Far East and Middle East
have money. The London brokers are already busy channeling
the petrol dollars into mining ventures.
The North American continent
should take advantage of what is available. However, it
would not be a mistake if American and Canadian underwriters
would form a link with our British broker friends and syphon
some of these monetary resources to home.
In all senses of the word,
let us not forget that we still have
Seven billion people worldwide who are
the first peaceful consumer society. |
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© 2005-2007 Andrew G.
Racz