"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay's Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It's A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine" -
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I'm Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"WisdomTree
Investments, Inc."
posted December 26, 2006
"My
Father Died In Auschwitz"
posted January 19, 2007
"Lexam
Exploration, Inc."
posted February 11, 2007
"Robert
Friedland -
The Man of The Year"
posted February 21, 2007
"Rubicon
Minerals Corp."
posted March 1, 2007
"Warren
Buffett - Franklin Roosevelt"
posted March 15, 2007
"Golden
Valley Mines, Ltd"
posted April 21, 2007
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted May 22, 2007
"Bayswater
Uranium Corp."
posted May 30, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Was Hungarian"
posted May 31, 2007
"Portal
Resources"
posted June 12, 2007
"Aldershot
Resources Ltd."
posted July 16, 2007
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
Follow Up Report #1
posted July 24, 2007
"The
Age of Special 'Corporate' Relationships"
posted August 23, 2007
"Interview
with
David Hjerpe - Newmac Resources, Inc."
posted August 27, 2007
"Interview
with
Jim Davis - President of Leeward Capital Corporation"
posted September 4, 2007
"Interview
with Professor William Pfaffenberger - Torch River
Resources"
posted September 22, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Returns"
posted September 27, 2007
"Jasper
Mining Corporation"
posted September 27, 2007
"Gold
Indexed Bonds"
posted October 11, 2007
"Tagish
Lake Gold Corp."
posted November 1, 2007
"Stalin
& Chavez"
posted November 9, 2007
"Sanj
Bayar -
The Prime Minister of Mongolia"
posted November 15, 2007
"The
Mongolian Wakeup Call"
posted November 16, 2007
"Watergate
Saved Nixon's Life"
posted November 28, 2007
"No
More Munich -
The Mongolian Version of 1938"
posted December 11, 2007
"Sir,
Do Not Abdicate"
posted December 27, 2007
"Mongolian
Gold"
posted January 8, 2008
"The
Unexpected
Mongolian Dilemma"
posted February 2, 2008
|
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
February
11, 2008
ENTRÉE GOLD, INC.
EGI - AMEX - $2.05
ETG - TSX - $2.15
|
| (AMEX) |
|
| Price: |
$2.05 |
| 52-Week
Price Range: |
$1.50
- $3.70 |
|
Current
assets: |
$65
Million |
Current
liabilities: |
$0.4
Million |
Stockholders
equity: |
$65
Million |
Shares
outstanding: |
93,937,000 |
Options
outstanding: |
8,855,000 |
Average
exercise price: |
$1.50 |
This memo is a recommendation to the possible
future of Entrée Gold.
It is based on facts; the analysis is a futuristic
calculation.
|
MINERAL PROPERTY INTERESTS
Title to mineral property interests involves
certain inherent risks due to the difficulties of determining
the validity of certain claims as well as the potential
for problems arising from the frequently ambiguous conveyancing
history characteristic of many mineral property interests.
The Company has investigated title to its mineral property
interests and, to the best of its knowledge, title to
the mineral property interests are in good standing.
In October 2004, the Company granted to
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. ("Ivanhoe") the right to earn, over
an eight-year period, a participating interest in a certain
portion of its Lookout Hill Property (the "Project Property").
Under the agreement, Ivanhoe must spend a minimum of $3
million in order to earn surface rights in the Project
Property and a minimum of $20
million in order to earn any mineral rights interest in
the project. Thereafter, the Company has the right to
require Ivanhoe to fund its share of subsequent project
costs through to production, to be recovered from production
cash flow. The agreement with Ivanhoe also provides for
Ivanhoe to subscribe for 4,600,000 units of the Company
at a price of C$1.00
per unit (completed in November 2004). In October 2007,
the Company has received notice from Ivanhoe that it has
incurred the required expenditures (US$20
million), giving it the right to form a 51%-49% joint
venture. Ivanhoe has indicated to the Company that it
will not be forming a joint venture at this time, but
will continue to spend to earn a higher percentage interest.
This recommendation is only valid for
today while the Mongolian crisis lasts and while the price
of gold is around $900
or higher.
There is no doubt that the election of
Sen. Hillary Clinton is a strong plus.
Let us now look at the world EGI is currently
deposited. We have the Chinese, Aluminum Corp. of China,
Alcoa, BHP, Rio, Ivanhoe—EGI. One very important
positive about EGI is that nobody has ever said anything
derogatory about the Company, to our knowledge.
However, and I am quoting from the daily
papers, we are there. We represent a company, a stock,
a piece of land. The first assets we have that nobody
has ever said anything derogatory of EGI.
In the midst of the greatest financial
turmoil among mineral companies, EGI is often mentioned
for the simple reason that "we are there."
Not only "we are there," "we are unique."
What is the good story? Is there
a story?
We have less than 100 million shares,
the market cap of 200 million, a piece of land in a faraway
country whose value carries some magic numbers, some other
exploration projects, a solid board, $68
million cash, and commendable staff with vast experience
in mining.
We have a vice chairman whose country
once ruled the seas (quote from Gen. de Gaulle, June 14,
1940).
In the midst of this international fight
for assets nobody bid for EGI but nobody knocked EGI.
Let's start with the latter event, since
it'll easily be more important to the two companies' respective
futures. Hours before an effective paint-or-get-off-the
ladder deadline, BHP offered 3.4 of its share for every
one of Rio Tinto's. That's up from an earlier three-for-one
proposal and was worth more than $147
billion, based on BHP's Monday's closing price.
Apparently,
BHP didn't view the recent purchase
of a 12% stake in Rio Tinto by Alco (NYSE:AA)
and state-owned Aluminum Corp. of China (NYSE:
ACH), or Chinalco, as a deal breaker. Nevertheless,
metals customers in China, Japan, and elsewhere
have expressed concern about a combination
of the world's largest and third-largest
mining companies. Brazil's Vale (NYSE:
RIO) currently sits between the pair as the
second largest. For its part, Rio Tinto continues
to spurn BHP's advances, saying that
its plans would change only with an offer
that "fully reflects the value of Rio
Tinto."
On the earnings front, BHP's
biannual results were generally sound, while
"attributable profit" dipped to $6.0
billion, from $6.2
billion, on a softer U.S. dollar and higher
costs. Perhaps more importantly, as the company
noted, "We achieved record or equal record
production for seven major commodities and
significantly increased production across
a further six commodities."
So BHP has intensified the Rio Tinto chase,
although the "chasee" is still
playing hard to get. My bet is that the pursuer
will ultimately land the pursued—albeit,
at an even higher price—creating a massive
and globally dominant entity. For that reason,
I urge Fools to keep an eye on developments
and perhaps nibble away at a BHP position.
Even if Rio evades BHP's clutches, you'll
still be part owner of a huge company that's
right in the middle of the world's escalating
demand for natural resources.
There is an underlying trend unspoken in London,
New York, Toronto but may not be for long
in Hong Kong or Shanghai—a trend to
monetize gold. |
|
According to a colleague, Phillip Gotthelf,
the author of precious metal trading, the torch has been
passed from those who believe that gold as a metal will
hit $1,000
but inevitably march $2,000
as a monetary currency.
In the next 15 years, where the majority
of the board members of EGI will still be around, one
will see as many different gold-related investment vehicles
as one sees today in mortgaged-backed securities, CDOs,
sub-prime and other collapsing mortgage-backed securities.
Drexel's
junk bonds |
$500B
loss |
Sub-prime
|
$250B
loss |
Gold-backed
bonds |
A
class for the future |
|
|
I was 7 years old when I learned to respect
my father, an attorney in Budapest, 60-years-old in 1945,
when he was active on the Black Market in the daily business
of Swiss franc and gold. I learned early, in gold we trust.
The sub-prime crisis accelerated among
investors and traders. Barrick Gold and U.S. gold are
here to stay, but the Florida condos will be passed from
domestic to international ownership at a 50% discount.
Actually, when the government of the United
States, when the treasury understands the difference between
sub-prime and gold, gold will march inevitably to the
$2,000
mark.
There is an opportunity for EGI to
take advantage of the current turmoil.
-
Yes, Mr. Crowe, there
is going to be a gold index market.
-
When your stock
is $2.00
you can form a unit priced at $2.50
consisting of stock and a warrant exercisable at
$2.75,
and package it in such a way that the exercise price
of the stock and the warrant will drop 5 cents whenever
gold goes up $5.00.
We can start with the $900
gold price.
-
Obviously we have
to draw a line and the regression analysis stops
when the exercise price drops to $2.00. We take
it for granted that if gold goes to $950 per ounce,
the value of the stock would go to $2.50; therefore
the profit potential for the unit holder will be
there. This is only a concept. The numbers can be
changed.
-
We should raise
with such gold-backed bonds $100 million.
-
Look at the pro
forma picture. Entrée Gold will own a valuable piece
of real estate in Mongolia whose value goes up every
day with the price of gold and sooner or later Neville
Chamberlain will not be able to say that Entrée's
real estate in the Ivanhoe Group is a piece of real
estate about which we know nothing.
Take that piece of land to be worth
$400 million. Add to it $170 million cash. This is
$500 plus per share.
We have the same management. We will
still have the British Navy and the world around us,
with the Chinese, with BHP, with Rio, with a signed
finance agreement with the Mongolian government, and
in the middle of all this the Lilliput from Vancouver.
Every securities analyst, every commentator
will discover EGI and an opinion will emerge that
they have done everything right.
My contacts in London would be more
than happy to talk to Entrée.
We should do nothing else. Raise the
$100 million and raise it fast.
The turmoil around us is so big that
we have absolutely no power to influence the winds.
But here we are, the Lilliput, the
team player. When everything is settled around us
we can start formulating the future but until then
we should play a modest role in the biggest turmoil
of mineral history.
Come to think of it, what was wrong
in the 20th century to be in Switzerland?
(Article
75 - posted February 11, 2008)
DISCLAIMER
Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed
to be reliable. However, such information has
not been verified by us and we do not make any
representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts
or employees may have positions in the securities
or commodities referred to herein, and may as
principal or agent buy and sell such securities
or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer
or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director
for companies mentioned in this report. Neither
the information nor any comment expressed shall
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities or commodities
mentioned herein. There may be instances when
fundamental, technical and competitive opinions
may not be in concert. This firm may from time
to time perform investment banking or other
services for or which investment banking or
other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report. |
|
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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