|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
February
11, 2007
Price:
C. 53¢ |
Shares
outstanding: 54M, fully diluted |
Market
value: $23M U.S., $25M Canadian |
|
On August 1, Lexam began trading on the TSX-Venture
Exchange under the ticker symbol LEX. Lexam's reactivation
was part of its oversubscribed $4.4 million financing. Lexam
issued 8.8 million units at $0.50 per unit. Each unit consisted
of one common share and one-half share purchase warrant exercisable
at $0.70 per share over a period of two years. Rob McEwen,
chairman and CEO of Lexam, personally purchased 4 million
units, or $2.0 million of the offering.
As part of Lexam's listing on the TSX-Venture,
the company eliminated all of its outstanding debt. Rob McEwen
forgave debt totaling $402,720, which was owed to a company
he controls. Concurrent with the offering, Lexam issued 189,852
common shares to insiders of Lexam at a price of $0.50 per
common share and cash considerations totaling approximately
$132,024 to related and non-related parties.
INTERVIEW
WITH IAN BALL,
DIRECTOR OF DEVELOPMENT,
LEXAM EXPLORATION CO.
February 9, 2007 |
|
ANDREW RACZ: Ian, Lexam is an
oil exploration company. But there is something much different
in the picture. Could you elaborate on it?
A: If you look at it, most of
your typical energy companies, oil and gas companies, are
looking for small tracks of land to generate a small amount
of cash flow, and there's really not a whole lot of up side
there. However, it is a more stable type of environment. Whereas
with Lexam, we're looking at a completely different model
where you're trying to acquire big tracks of land looking
for big targets, whether it be oil and gas or the uranium
side. And you're looking for significant up side should you
make a discovery. So there's definitely a risk/reward ratio
there that we're focusing on and we're trying to get traction
in the market by being a different story. If a discovery is
made, you have the platform to really build a substantial
company off of.
Lexam on the Hunt for Colorado Oil and Gas
McEwen Capital has big plans for a little company he acquired
a majority interest in during his tenure with Goldcorp, one
of the best known gold success stories of the past decade.
Those plans for Lexam Explorations include high-risk-high-reward
wildcat exploration for oil and gas in the San Luis Basin
in Colorado this year and a new 50% buy-in into Golden Valley
Mine's Otish Basin uranium plays in Quebec.
"The company," said corporate development VP Ian
Ball, "is focused on creating value by making discoveries
in energy." That is as opposed to just trying to build
an an energy company with "small money" cash flows.
"So it's a quite different philosophy than what you normally
see in the oil patch," he said in a recent interview.
In other words, McEwen, also CEO and Chairman of U.S. Gold,
has his sights on turning an obscure and recently resurrected
exploration company into something larger, again, something
investors following the Toronto-based gold company titan knew
he has a history of doing.
3-D Seismic Underway Shortly, Then Two New Oil/Gas
Wells
Lexam has accumulated an extensive body of 2-D seismic in
the intervening years and a new 3-D seismic shoot is set for
the next few weeks to supplement and better define the signature
that 2-D data provides. According to the company's website,
"The new 2-D seismic data provided the first strong evidence
for the presence of a widespread package of cretaceous rocks
in the Crestone sub-basin. The character of the seismic data
is remarkably similar to the equivalent Pierre-Dakota-Morrison
section located to the east in the Raton basis and the Mancos-Dakota-Morrison
section located to the west in the San Juan Sag."
High-Risk/High-Reward Funding
In order to fund the $1.8 million new 3-D seismic, geological
studies, well permitting and put the company back onto a solid
financial footing, Lexam completed a C. $4.4 million private
placement in August and also announced the same month a deal
with HudBay Minerals to sell its Jason property located in
the Yukon for C. $1 million. Rob McEwen reportedly took over
half of the private placement through an entity he controls
and also forgave about $500,000 in debt owed by Lexam to another
company he controls.
Q: In other words,
you are picturing yourselves as overall an exploration company.
A: That's correct.
Q: The definition in today's
environment, the year 2007, is that you find either tracks
of land or those tracks owned by companies which don't have
the money for actual exploration programs, and you step in
as a partner.
A: Yes. But first and foremost,
you need money.
Private Placement Oversubscribed
Lexam to raise $4.4 million
Lexam announced that the company's private placement of $3
million has been oversubscribed and will be increased by up
to $1.4 million for total proceeds to Lexam of $4.4 million.
Each unit will be sold at a price of $0.50 and will consist
of one common share and one-half share purchase warrant, which
is exercisable at $0.70 over a two-year period. Proceeds from
the private placement will be used to advance the 100,000
acre Baca Grant oil and gas project in south central Colorado,
where Lexam is currently permitting the project for a 3-D
seismic survey that will allow Lexam to better define the
targets that have been identified and two deep natural gas
wells that will reach depths equaling 14,000 ft. (4,265m).
Lexam Signs Option with HudBay Minerals designed
to boost treasury and
sharpen focus
Lexam is pleased to announce that its 62%
owned subsidiary, MacPass Resources, has entered into an agreement
with HudBay Minerals for the sale of the Jason property located
in the Yukon for a total consideration of $1,000,000.
Q: That applies to what kind
of commodities?
A: I guess you're seeing it across
the board. You're seeing it in the gold industry, you're seeing
in the oil and gas sector definitely. You're seeing it now
in the uranium side. So it's probably going across all commodities
where the junior explorers are bringing in a partner because
of the lack of funding, the lack of personnel. But you run
into difficulties when you do that because usually the bigger
company doesn't move that quickly. You can't control the pace
and the exploration program. They take away the up side if
there is a discovery. So you really are losing control of
your project and you have to look at that and say is that
what we want? And if not, you're going to have to work harder
to remain independent and be able to drive the exploration
program.
Q: All these ideas or activities
happen because of the tremendous rise in commodities.
A: Yes.
Q: And the belief that these
high commodity prices would stay around the current level.
Therefore, there is a guarantee to all parties that over a
period of time, you discover something and you can sell it
at a profit, and if you are lucky and commodity prices stay
high, you make a very big profit. That's the concept?
A: That's exactly right. You're
seeing high commodity prices now because really a lack of
investment over the past twenty years in exploration has pretty
much gone silent. If you look at the commodity changes, really
the whole picture has changed from ten years ago where you're
really seeing supply going down, demands going up. You're
having India, you're having China, you're having Brazil, all
coming on stream with massive amounts of people which have
never experienced that type of population boom before, moving
up to the middle class. And a lot of people are having a hard
time adjusting to the higher prices, but in reality we're
dealing with a whole different game now.
Golden Valley Mines Ltd. Announces Uranium JV in Quebec with
Lexam
Golden Valley Mines announces the principal terms of a letter
of intent with Lexam Explorations Inc., allowing Lexam to
earn a 50% interest in the company's uranium properties located
in the Otish area, in the Province of Quebec, provided that
Lexam incurs over a three-year period of exploration expenditures
in the aggregate amount of $3 million. Golden Valley shall
be the operator.
About the uranium prospects: The Golden Valley properties
are deemed as highly prospective for primary uranium deposit
discoveries and were staked on the bases of numerous uranium
occurrences outlined from work conducted over the period 1976
to 1983 and the general geological setting inferred as favorable
for unconformity-related uranium deposits. Since the last
reported fieldwork results, little if any follow-up exploration
was conducted on the properties or other prospective uranium
occurrences in the area. The Golden Valley-Lexam properties
are associated with an unconformity between Archean rocks
and overlying Lower Proterozoic unmetamorphosed sedimentary
rocks geologically analogous to the Athabasca Basin area in
northern Saskatchewan, where its uranium deposits presently
produce 28% of the world's annual mine production. Recent
competitor activity in the area by Strateco and Cameco highlights
the potential for uranium mineralization in this environment,
in particular with the application of modern exploration technology
and experience gained from the Athabasca Basin environment
in Saskatchewan. The resurgence in exploration activity in
this area has been spurred both by the strong results reported
by Strateco from their Matoush property and extremely bullish
uranium market fundamentals moving forward.
About Golden Valley Mines: The company typically tests initial
grassroots targets while owning a 100% interest in its properties
and then seeks partners to continue exploration funding. This
allows the company to continue its generative programs and
systematic exploration efforts at other majority owned grassroots
projects. As at the date hereof, the company holds majority
property interests in 131 projects consisting of 3,666 mining
titles (203,865 hectares) in Ontario, Que., and Saskatchewan.
Q: What you're really saying,
and it has been expressed in literature, is we have three
billion new capitalists. They bring up the price level, and
in Australia, Canada, South America, exploration programs
in everything, in most commodities -zinc, nickel, oil - are
taking place and the financing of such programs is going in
various phases. One guy gets the land and has some assumptions,
goes to I presume a banker like you. You put up the money
for exploration, get a certain percentage of the profit, of
the total holdings, and the benefit is that you deliver the
commodity in a certain period of time. That's the picture?
A: If you look at it, that's
ultimately the end game. You want to be able to make a discovery.
You want to be able to build the infrastructure and then deliver
to the market. But if you're looking at it from a shareholder's
standpoint and you're looking at it in terms of a share price
performance, where you really get the performance is on the
discovery side. Once you start to build your infrastructure,
there's a lack of news coming out of the company and there's
usually dilution coming into the market from financing needs,
so the share price typically goes down.
Q: In other words, you're saying
that the stock price appreciation is the sharpest before and
during the discovery phase and the explicit explanation of
what you have discovered.
A: Yes. And I you look at the
gold industry as an example, you look at Barrick Gold when
it was a real growth company, and it was during the mid-eighties
to the early nineties. It was off of a major discovery in
Nevada. Since then they've gone and acquired a number of companies
and the share price has gone flat for the past ten years.
If you look at Goldcorp, it's a very similar situation. All
their growth, or most of their share price appreciation, came
off of a significant discovery in northern Ontario. If you
look at Dimondfield at Voice Bay, the same thing. That's really
where the wealth is generated. Historically, if you look at
the Guggenheims, it was a very similar situation. All their
wealth was coming off major discoveries.
Q: Don't forget Bernard Baruch.
Bernard Baruch took all the credit.
A: I guess right now what we're
outlining in Colorado is more...the two targets that we've
outlined in the center of the basin we believe are gas, based
on the work we've done on the geological side in looking at
the basin and depth that it is currently. We believe that
the depth of our targets is about 12,000 feet below the surface.
Based on that, we believe it's gas. However, there is the
oil target on the property but it's difficult to image on
the 2D and it's not a sufficient size for us to attract attention
at this point. So we're focusing on these gas targets.
Q: The leverage is what?
A: It's hard to say. You really
don't know until you make a discovery. But if you look at
the basins around Lexam, you have some of the most significant
discoveries in the United States. You have the San Juan Basin,
which produces more gas annually than any other field in the
United States. It's probably one of the world's most significant
discoveries. If you look to the east of us, you have currently
the sixteenth largest producing basin in the U.S. If you look
at the past reserves in production, it would rank as the eleventh
in the U.S.
To the north of us, you have the Denver Basin with over a
billion barrels of oil discovered, and then to the northwest
of us you have the [Pions] Basin, which is dominated by Canada,
one of the largest companies in Canada. It's really had its
growth profile over the last ten years. While in most of the
states in the U.S., gas production is going down, over the
past fifteen years Colorado's has gone up like 325%. There's
not another state in the U.S. that is over a trillion cubic
feet a year that can say that.
Q: In Colorado, you have various
angles and various hopes of certain discoveries and the territory
is large enough that a multiple of possibilities exist. Correct?
A: What we're looking for is
a significant discovery. And if we were able to make that,
that would have a tremendous impact.
Q: What would you consider in
size a very big discovery?
A: I think a big discovery you're
looking at half a trillion to a trillion cubic feet of gas
would be a bid discovery, for a small company.
Q: You went into business with
Golden Valley to drill for uranium. They claim 131 territories,
and over a period of time you committed $3 million to finding
uranium. Do you have any idea what you're looking for? In
uranium.
A: If you look at the geology
of this basin, back where Golden Valley was, it's very similar
to the [Basket] Basic in Saskatchewan. That's really almost
the Saudi Arabia of uranium.
Q: 28 percent of Canada's uranium
comes from there.
A: Yes. And by all means the
most significant deposits are there in terms of grade. There's
super high grade from 19 percent to others in the area over
20 percent uranium. So it's definitely a very unique situation.
Or if you look at Australia or other parts of the world, they're
below one percent uranium. It's a super high grade there and
the geology is very similar to Quebec's Otish Basin. Here
in Golden Valley it had acquired its projects in that basin
before the competitive activity surged, but the company never
really had any money to explore the property. So that's always
been the problem there, that the properties we think look
good but there hasn't been the money spent on them. If you
look at some of the properties that join Golden Valleys, which
we optioned, they've hit pretty significant high-grade uranium
there.
Q: How much time do you allocate
to identifying uranium?
A: Versus gas?
Q: No. If in two or three years
you don't find anything, do you give up? Or if you find some
small amount, would you accelerate?
A: It would really depend upon
what you're finding. Sometimes it's more than just the uranium
itself, but right now we're committed to three years. I think
what you're going to see is a pretty significant exploration
program unfold during that time frame. So after that it's
hard to say, but you've have to review your data at that point
to determine if you were going to move forward.
Q: Uranium is the most volatile and
the most wanted commodity today. The price went from $20 to
$72. But the big issue with uranium is that there are so many
power stations built that they need forward contracts. You
don't build a uranium plant for a billion dollars and then
pick up the telephone and say, well, let's call up Golden
Valley, maybe they have some uranium for the next three months.
You need ten-year contracts.
There
are 300 uranium plants.
There are plans for 3,000 in 25 years, most
of them in China and India. |
|
So the price of $72 may go to $120 in a few
years. It depends on how many plants are completed. Therefore,
you can probably drill lower because of the bigger price incentive,
and people don't discover uranium, as I read it, worth let's
say $50 million. If you discover uranium, it's several hundred
million dollars. It's big quantities. For a small company
like yours, it means that if you are successful, a company
with 54 million fully diluted shares will have a major impact.
That's fair?
A: Yes.
Q: There are no $20 million uranium
discoveries. In other words, if you discover something and
the price is even higher, you will be more extensive and the
overall business or the uranium quantity, which one can define,
is getting bigger and more valuable. That's the picture?
A: Yes.
Q: May I ask you, do you go deeper
into uranium with other people? Uranium exploration with other
companies.
A: I'm not following the question.
Q: There are 250 publicly-owned
small uranium companies in Canada who have a little money
and nothing else. Do you consider taking advantage of the
situation and go into some sort of a contract with other companies
besides Golden Valley?
A: We're looking, yes. We're
looking at the landscape right now and seeing what's available.
You have to keep your eyes open and I think there is opportunity
out there. You just have to find the right one.
Q: Let me turn for a minute to
the current money situation. How much money does the company
have?
A: We have approximately $4 million.
Q: So it's about $.80 a share.
A: The share price of the company?
Q: No. The share price of the
company is around $.60.
A: Yes.
Q: If you have four million dollars
divided by 54, that's about 8 cents a share.
A: Correct.
Q: You have the warrant exercises.
How much would they bring in?
A: I guess right now the share
price, the warrants exercise at $.70 and the share price at
$.60. So they're currently out of the money. But if we were
fortunate enough to have a share price higher than the exercise,
that would bring in approximately another $3 million.
Q: So that's another 6 cents
a share. You have a gold property in Nevada. How much do you
think you can sell it for, on a very conservative basis?
A: It's tough to say. We're in
negotiations now with various parties that have shown an interest.
But it's very early stage, talking with people. So I'd hate
to put a figure on it.
Q: Just for the sake of illustration,
$10 million would be almost 20 cents a share.
A: How much was that?
Q: $10 million.
A: Yes, it would be 20 cents
a share.
Q: So now we have 8 plus 6 is
14, or 34 cents. So about half of the price is backed by potential
cash.
A: If we were to get $10 million
for the property, theoretically yes, that's correct.
Q: So the following things would
happen to the company. Number one, you can go into new uranium
or other commodity ventures, correct?
A: Yes.
Q: Which would commit money over
a period of time, but make the company more interesting with
more possibilities.
A: Correct.
Q: Second, you can acquire let's
say any of the 250 uranium companies. In other words, create
some reserves of your own.
A: It's a possibility but we're
by no means looking at anything in particular, but it's open
to the company, yes.
Q: Well, out of 250 there's always
one which is cheap.
A: Usually if you look hard enough.
Q: The other possibility is that
you hit something, so far uranium or oil or another commodity
later, but you discover let's say natural gas in Colorado.
The discounted value of such a discovery would then come as
an extra value to the 60 cents per share, of which 30 cents
has already been accounted for.
A: Yes.
Q: Or, and even more interesting,
if there is a discovery of natural gas let's say in Colorado,
you take the whole oil property and sell it for cash to another
company like Chevron. Okay?
A: You're basically looking at
whatever is going to get shareholders the highest share price,
so you'd have to look at it at that time. But that would be
an option at that point.
Q: Let's say in the uranium field,
is there a possibility that in the next three to six months
you will come up with some answers, positive answers?
A: I wouldn't say in the three
months, because you really have to do a geophysical survey
over the property, starting to do some field work and then
proceed to follow up on your target areas with expiration
drilling. So all that does take time, and at this point you're
probably looking at, before you could begin to drill, somewhere
in the neighborhood of nine to twelve months.
Q: My conclusion then is that
we have a company, 60 cents a share. It's part of a mineral
exploration empire with interested other companies. In other
words, the management is tuned in for explorations. It has
already achieved in one year a potential 30 cents cash, which
is the cash reserves in the company, with existing programs,
and at that time the most logical conclusion of a securities
analyst is that Lexam is probably looking for additional ventures
because the current programs are structured and created a
stable company.
A: Yes.
Q: So if we finalize it, the managerial team
has had many years of experience in the field of minerals,
mineral exploration and financial management of companies.
It's not one of the 250 uranium companies. Such issues doesn't
exist. The company has money, access to money, has basically
two interesting projects, and anything that comes either from
discovery or further ventures will highlight the whole future
of Lexam. Correct?
A: That would be correct.
BREAK-UP
VALUE
(All
These Figures Are Highly Speculative)
| Cash |
8¢ |
| Warrant
exercise |
6¢ |
| Nevada
Property (establishment.) |
20¢ |
Denver Oil Property (establishment.)
|
40¢ |
| |
72¢ |
Plus:
Initial uranium contract, not determinable. |
But
could lead to further contracts. |
|
Andrew Racz

(Article
47 - posted February 11, 2007)
DISCLAIMER
Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed
to be reliable. However, such information has
not been verified by us and we do not make any
representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts
or employees may have positions in the securities
or commodities referred to herein, and may as
principal or agent buy and sell such securities
or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer
or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director
for companies mentioned in this report. Neither
the information nor any comment expressed shall
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities or commodities
mentioned herein. There may be instances when
fundamental, technical and competitive opinions
may not be in concert. This firm may from time
to time perform investment banking or other
services for or which investment banking or
other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report |
|
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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