BERAL, INC. Andrew Racz Director of Research 300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C New York, NY 10022 Phone: (212) 319-6949 Fax: (212) 753-1944 E-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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January 4, 2010
(MXC - AMEX)
Price
$9.30
Price range 2009
Market cap
$17.6M
Enterprise value
$18.64M
Stockholders' equity
$10.9M
Common shares outstanding:
1,890,000
Insiders own: 64%
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
Mexco Energy can surprise the market with a rapid explosion of EPS. Such event can set in motion a series of transactions that will reward the current stockholders in a possibly unusual manner.
1. In the September quarter of 2009, operating revenue dropped to $746,000 (down from $1.6M) and net income to $158,000 (down from $511,000 in fiscal 2008).
Total operating expenses
Earnings per common share:
Basic
Diluted
Weighted average common shares outstanding:
2. The selling price in the September, 2009 quarter was $3.04 per mcf.
3. The selling price for the March quarter 2010 is projected at $6.00 per mcf. Thus, the extra price would add $750,000 to both revenues and pre-tax income.
4. In 2010, the expected growth is not further price increase but acquisition of additional "territory". Additional gas wells.
5. With an earnings power between $1.50 and $2.00, the stock can appreciate to $15. Market cap would then be $30M.
6. A $15 price, clean balance sheet can enable MXC to raise $10M equity. The equity base of the company could change drastically.
Total
Accordingly, we can project the following:
(To be attained in two years)
OVERVIEW
At the NYMEX, the price of the near-month contract for January delivery increased $0.56, or nearly 12 percent, during the report week to $5.462 per MMBtu. The increase occurred possibly in response to expectations of continued extreme cold in consuming regions of the country, thus increasing space-heating demand. The early cold has also reduced concerns regarding the abundance of natural gas in storage, which reached a record high this fall. Nonetheless, the January 2010 contract is trading much lower than the settlement prices of contracts for comparable months over the last 2 years. The January 2009 and January 2008 contracts expired at $6.136 per MMBtu and $7.172 per MMBtu, respectively.
MEXICO ENERGY CORP. (MXC) has interest in 2,350 oil and gas wells and owns leasehold interests in 300,000 gross acres. It has proven reserves of 10,000 billion cubic feet of natural gas and 200,000 barrels of oil.
Mexico Energy Corporation is an independent, publicly-owned oil and gas company engaged in acquiring and developing oil and gas properties and the exploration for and production of oil and gas. Mexico Energy Corporation, a Colorado corporation founded in 1972, currently conducts all of its drilling, exploration and production activities in the United States. All of its oil and gas assets are located in the United States and all of its revenues are derived from sales to customers within the United States, primarily in the Permian Basin of West Texas.
Mexico focused primarily on the exploration for and development of natural gas reserves and, secondarily, oil reserves. In addition to exploration and development, Mexico acquires interests in producing and non-producing oil and gas leases from land owners and leaseholders in areas considered favorable for oil and gas exploration, development and production.
Mexico also engages in the business of acquiring proved reserves and continually searches for opportunities to acquire proved oil and gas properties, including royalties and mineral interests with development potential.
Oil and gas sales. Revenue from oil and gas sales was $1,391,754 for the six months ended September 30, 2009, a 57% decrease from $3,267,797 for the same period of fiscal 2009. This resulted from a decrease in oil and gas prices partially offset by an increase in gas production. Average gas prices were $3.06 per mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2010, a decrease from $9.24 per mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2009. Average oil prices were $50.12 per barrel for the first six months of fiscal 2010, a decrease from $117.25 per barrel for the first six months of fiscal 2009. Oil and gas production quantities were 8,,710 mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2010 and 8,713 barrels and 243,143 mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2009, an increase of 18% in gas production and no change in oil production.
Crude oil and natural gas prices have fluctuated significantly in recent years. During the second quarter of fiscal 1009, oil and gas prices began trending downward, while drilling, completion and operating costs remained high. The effect of declining product prices on business is significant. Lower product prices reduce cash flow from operations and diminish the present value of oil and gas reserves. Lower product prices also offer MXC less incentive to assume the drilling risks that are inherent in the business. The volatility of the energy markets make it extremely difficult to predict future oil and natural gas price movements with any certainty.
Mexco Energy Corporation is an independent, publicly owned oil and gas company engaged in acquiring and developing oil and gas properties and the exploration for and production of oil and gas. Mexco Energy Corporation, a Colorado corporation founded in 1972, currently conducts all of its drilling, exploration and production activities in the United States. All of its oil and gas assets are located in the United States and all of its revenues are derived from sales to customers within the United States, primarily in the Permian Basin of West Texas.
Mexco focuses primarily on the exploration for and development primarily of natural gas reserves and secondarily oil reserves.
In addition to exploration and development, Mexco acquires interests in producing and non-producing oil and gas leases from landowners and leaseholders in areas considered favorable for oil and gas exploration, development and production.
Mexco also engages in the business of acquiring proved reserves and continually searches for opportunities to acquire proved oil and gas properties, including royalties and mineral interests with development potential.
Mexco common stock is listed and trades on the American Stock Exchange under the symbol MXC.
Mexco has a tiny capitalization. However, the Midland, Texas based company is well integrated in the local community.
However, acquiring new fields, there is a further earnings expansion, creating a $15 price possibility.
An experienced management team can raise additional capital and build -- at favorable prices -- a leverage growth for current stockholders.
Disclaimer
Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuers reports or communications or other sources believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by us and we do not make any representation to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes only current opinions which are subject to change. BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts or employees may have positions in the securities or commodities referred to herein, and may as principal or agent buy and sell such securities or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director for companies mentioned in this report. Neither the information nor any comment expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or commodities mentioned herein. There may be instances when fundamental, technical and competitive opinions may not be in concert. This firm may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for or which investment banking or other businesses from any company mentioned in this report.
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Andrew Racz. 300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C, New York, NY 10022 Phone: (212) 319-6949 Fax: (212) 753-1944. E-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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