"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
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"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay's Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It's A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine" -
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I'm Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entree
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"WisdomTree
Investments, Inc."
posted December 26, 2006
"My
Father Died In Auschwitz"
posted January 19, 2007
"Lexam
Exploration, Inc."
posted February 11, 2007
"Robert
Friedland -
The Man of The Year"
posted February 21, 2007
"Rubicon
Minerals Corp."
posted March 1, 2007
"Warren
Buffett - Franklin Roosevelt"
posted March 15, 2007
"Golden
Valley Mines, Ltd"
posted April 21, 2007
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted May 22, 2007
"Bayswater
Uranium Corp."
posted May 30, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Was Hungarian"
posted May 31, 2007
"Portal
Resources"
posted June 12, 2007
"Aldershot
Resources Ltd."
posted July 16, 2007
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
Follow Up Report #1
posted July 24, 2007
"The
Age of Special 'Corporate' Relationships"
posted August 23, 2007 |
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
Interview
with
David Hjerpe
President
Newmac Resources, Inc.
August 25, 2007 |
|
Andrew Racz:
Well, gentlemen, I'm starting the interview,
which is unusual, I've never done it, with the following
statement: The mineral market has turned to the better because
the London-based RTZ Rio Tinto has stated that they're making
a deal with the Mongolian government and the largest mineral
resource in the world. 450,000 copper and 330,000 ounce
a year! As a result, the predicted disaster is over. You
must feel enthusiastic.
David Hjerpe:
Well, that's good news. That is good news. So, is that,
has RTZ put out news or something?
AR:
Yeah, wait a minute, I'll get it. Hold on for one second.
Okay?
David Paruk:
He's quite involved in Mongolia. He does some work for Ivanhoe's
partner, Entrée Gold.
DH:
Yeah, I figured.
DP:
Quite a bit of money Ivanhoe or RTZ ended up buying 30 percent
of the company.
AR:
Hello?
DH:
Are you there, Andrew?
AR:
Yes.
DH:
RTZ put some money into Ivanhoe, didn't they?
AR: They
bought one third of Ivanhoe, down payment was $300 million
and now the one billion dollar is due, the minute the final
agreement signed. And the statement is that an indication
of expectation for approval of mining agreement, as a result,
all mining activities are continuing, so in other words,
during the summer recess of 3 to 4 weeks, it's continuing,
which is the best possible sign. Since you are part of the
British Empire, you may be happy to read what this guy said.
Rio Tinto operates to the highest standards wherever in
the world and we will insure high regard for the Mongolian
operation. Rio Tinto respects the interests of Mongolia
and the Mongolian people. That sounds like the British during
the Second World War said they respect of India. It is the
largest mining deal in history. This deal will be a guiding
light for the 21st Century.
The
Hugo North Extension is now estimated to
host an Indicated Resource of 117 million
tonnes averaging 1.8% copper and 0.61 grams
per tonne (g/t) gold for a copper equivalent*
grade of 2.19%. The contained metal in this
Indicated Resource is estimated at 4.6 billion
pounds of copper and 2.3 million ounces
of gold. An additional Inferred Resource
for this area is estimated at 95.5 million
tonnes grading 1.15% copper and 0.31 g/t
gold for a copper equivalent* grade of 1.35%,
containing 2.4 billion pounds of copper
and 950,000 ounces of gold. |
|
| |
No.
of Shares |
Price |
Total
Capitalization |
Ivanhoe
(IVN) |
376,000,000 |
$15 |
$5,640
M |
Rio-Tinto
(RTP) |
996,000,000 |
$300 |
$300,000
M |
Entree
Gold (EGI) |
80,000,000 |
$3 |
$240
M |
There are traders and investors. Gold and commodities
do attract traders. |
AR: So the biggest
empire, as usual, is ushered in with some elegant statement.
DH: That's very
positive.
AR: Anyhow, so I'm in a good
mood. Now, but, I would like to convey to you that this mining
decline, from which you suffered and many other people suffered,
was an artificial market correction. The world needs your
molybdenum.
DH: Right.
AR: Correct.
My first question is, can you briefly describe your company?
DH: Yes. We went
public, about three years ago. I have been actively involved
in mineral exploration for 20 years.
AR: Yeah.
DH: I am the
president and CEO of Newmac Resources,
AR: So you started
the company, you have been in the mining business, please
carry on,
DH: I have been
actively involved in mineral exploration for about 20 years.
AR: And, what
was the purpose of setting up this company.
DH: It was to
identify, find and identify, mineral projects, primarily in
British Columbia.
AR: Your were
thinking of industrial metals?
DH: No, we actively
have taken on properties that are displaying, what we wanted
was clean free properties, which basically are, can go and
very large. Targeting copper, gold and molybdenum.
AR: Now, may
I ask you, these three metals go together under the ground,
or not?
DH: Quite often
they do. Systems at times that carry copper molybdenum don't
necessarily carry high gold or gold, whereas, a prime copper
system will carry a decent gold mine.
AR: Let me ask
you, An explorer, or an exploring company, what are the initial
indications
you go on?
DH: We like to
take on projects that have surface indications of copper,
gold, molybdenum, whatever, that shows that they could go
large.
AR: And how do
you ascertain the initial step?
DH: It's a matter
of dealing, quite often, with a prospector, who has gone out
and picked up surface sampling, that have indications of a
mineral systems.
AR: And you employed
prospectors, you listened to prospectors when you started?
DH: Yes, prospectors.
Like one time one of the vice presidents of Placerdome, before
they were bought out make a statement at one of their board
meetings that we spend approximately $10 million a year in
exploring for new properties, and yet every mine we have came
to us by a prospector or a junior company. He just threw that
out as a question and nobody could really answer it. But it's
a major, big companies notoriously have a difficult time in
mineral exploration, so they tend to watch closely the development
of juniors, and what happens with a prospector is they like
to deal with juniors, because the junior, like, only of these
prospects one in a thousand ever make it to a mine, so the
odds are very long. And if they deal directly with a major
company, the do not get stock, and the odds of that property
succeeding are very long.
AR: Ok, so we
have ascertained that you have a company, let's say public,
and you deal with a prospector or several prospectors who
have possibility of discovering metals which can become a
mine. The profit potential is divided up between the company
and the selected number of the prospectors. That's the incentive?
DH: Yeah, the
typical deal with a prospector will be some cash up front
and stock, and then it increases as it develops. If the property
doesn't pan out, well it ends there and you move on to the
next one. But in the meantime the prospector has picked up
a bit of stock, and feels a lot better about the whole deal.
AR: Now, there
is a time when you take one or some of the prospectors seriously,
and put public money behind them to develop the territory,
correct?
DH: That is correct.
You start out as a private company, then if you do end up
with some projects that look like they could go somewhere,
you can then, it's called, it has to be a property of merit,
will pass the test of the stock exchange and the geologists
on staff there. If you have a project that looks like it could
develop, they will then allow you to go public and raise public
money, and that is where we are at.

AR: Now, coming
down with a specific to your company, where are you at the
moment in historical development from the original prospectus.
DH: We have three
properties that we're actively exploring at the present time.
One property just north of Can Loops, British Columbia, is
probably I would say our most advance project, prospect at
the time, at the present time. It's showing very, potential
of a very large tungsten, molybdenum [unintelligible] project.
We have now drilled 38 diamond drill wholes in that project.
We've spent about $2 million on it and we have a resource
identified there that is a approximately 275 – 300 million
tons, starting, of tungsten molybdenum, starting at surface,
down to 1,000 feet.
AR: Now, can
I just, in other words, you have pointed out that there is
a possibility of tungsten and molybdenum in one of your properties.
DH: Yeah, it's
more than a possibility, because it's showing up in the assay
results, that we do, it's definitely carrying good tungsten
and molybdenum.
AR: Ok, now let
me just be very pedestrian. How much tonnage do you suspect
in tungsten and molybdenum, how big is the territory.
DH: Right now,
and it's still open, in three directions, with the drill holes
that we've done and the spacing that we've done, we're looking
at approximately 275 to 300 million tons, with it being open
in three directions.
AR: That's underground,
300 million tons.
DH: That is from
surface. We're developing this prospect as an open pit. It's
low grade, but an open pit does not require high grade. A
typical open pit, either copper or tungsten or molybdenum
project operates and gets interesting at about $10 a ton rock,
we're looking right now at around $30 to $50 a ton rock, here.
AR: You consider
that a rock is worth $30 to $50 per ton?
DH: Yes.
AR: So, in other
words, the expert opinion. Now, if we take it very simply,
300 million tons at $30 is a billion dollars.
DH: I think probably
closer to $9 billion.
AR: I'm sorry,
$10 billion. So, in other words, what we have now, how many
shares do you have outstanding?
DH: Fully diluted,
about 20 million.
AR: And, what's
the price of the stock?
DH: The price is trading today
between 35 and 40 cents. I think it last traded at 38 and
a half.
AR: Ok, so at
35 cents, US, 20 million is a market cap of $7 million.
DH: Right.
AR: And, may
I ask you how much cash do you have in the company?
DH: About one
and a half million dollars right now.
AR: Ok, so in
other words, $5.5 million represents an ore body which you
think may be worth $10 billion.
NER |
Potential
Ore-body |
|
$9.0B |
|
Shares
outstanding |
|
20,000,000 |
|
Price:
|
|
$C
0.35 |
|
Market
Cap |
|
$C
7.0M |
| |
Less
Cash |
|
-
1.5 M |
| |
|
|
$5.5M |
|
|
AR: Now, is it
very atypical, or normal in your business, these kinds of
ratios?
DH: No, they
projects, as I mentioned at the start, only one in a thousand
ever make it to a mine, and very few ever demonstrate the
size that is beginning to develop here. It's not ususal. It
doesn't come along all the time, and that's only one of the
three projects that we have under way.
AR: Now, let's
talk about the one in three purchase, we have the $10 billion
potential value for $5.5 million. Now, please, one by one,
list the various steps you should be taking to realize the
potential of the company.
DH: We are going
to be continuing with the drilling. We just applied and received
permission to continue drilling. We are going to do another
20 holes in the near future, and by fall we want to then do
a, what's a 43101 Resource Calculation by an engineering firm.
That's the, what we discovered so far is not going to be the
total size of it, because as I was saying it's still open
in three directions.
AR: Ok, but $10
billion is enough for me for a minute. So, you continue to
drill to ascertain in a legalized format what you have.
DH: We can get
a better handle by in-fill drilling. Now, the drill spacing
to be closer together in order to confirm the fact that the
mineralization is pretty, it carries across the ground, we're
looking at 6 or 700 by 1000 meters in distance here, and we'd
like to know that
AR: So, in other words, the government
or somebody is giving you a certificate. Now, what would come
afterwards.
DH: Once we have
a better handle on grade and tonnage, then that's when the
bigger companies will then look at you. There's a lot of companies
in the world, major mining companies, especially in other
countries like Japan, Korea, China, who are
AR: I know, they
want molybdenum. But, can I ask you something. Suppose they
came in as partners, what would happen, what money would you
have to spend and what would you do, specifically.
DH: Well, it
depends on the deal that would be made. In some cases they
will just come in and buy you out.
AR: That I understand,
anybody understands that, but let's say they come in with
a check, buy one third of the company, but what would you
do, what do you have to do as a professional engineer, for
the property, put the financial transactions aside.
DH: Well, ok,
let's say they, a big company takes an interest in the project
because it's a commodity that they require. They will then
come and offer, ok, they'll make an offer to earn in that
they will spend the next $10 million to earn in up to 50 percent
of the project.
AR: But, what
would they do for that 50, what would be, what steps physically
are they taking?
DH: They would
do primarily diamond drilling and they would fill in very
close diamond drilling, they would then take bulk samples,
they would do metallurgical testing, and they would then do
a feasibility study on the project.
AR: How much
does a feasibility study cost?
DH: It varies,
but on a project like this, quite possibly $25 million.
AR: And once
the feasibility study is completed, what is the next step?
DH: The next
step then, if it's a positive feasibility study would be to
take it into production and they are the ones that would do
that.
AR: How much
money would it take?
DH: A big open-pit
mine can take anywhere from $200 million to $2 billion.
AR: Ok, so, now,
but at the same time, we are going back now, you have something
which is, let's say worth a billion dollars, but you have
a bigger territory and other locations, so let's say you come
up with a figure, that the whole thing is worth two and a
half billion dollars, so then spending $25 million on a feasibility
study, $200 million to construct the mine is not such a big
quantity, because afterwards the cash flow would carry the
company.
DH: Oh, absolutely. We would get a portion
of that cash flow, because the larger company who would spend
the big dollars to put it in production, part of their agreement
would be that they have now, once they've spent the money
to complete the drilling and the feasibility, they then would
have the right to another 10 percent of the whole project
by placing it in production. We then would be 40 percent partner
in it and we would eventually get 40 percent of the revenue,
once it
AR: Ok, now, projects
like yours, the $10 billion. Assuming you find nothing else,
prices go up, do you build a mine, and so on, how much can
you produce per annum? How many tonnage would go through?
DH: In a deposit
of this size, they could do 50,000 tons a day.
AR: Now, 50,000,
times by 50 for a market price increase, is two and a half,
how much, 50,000 tons times 50 is two and a half million dollars.
Correct?
DH: Yes.
AR: So, if you
take 40 percent of the revenues, that's 10 million goes to
2.5 million, 10 percent, 40 percent is $1 million dollar to
you, that's too small, no?
DH: Well, that's
per day.
AR: Oh, per day,
I'm sorry. Ok, then it means like $300 million dollars would
go into your pocket.
DH: In a year.
AR: So, in other
words, it's worth, if you believe that you have the $10 billion
in reserves, it's worth for you to do two things, one to continue
to work on your project and at the same time to expose yourself
for the big brother and other investors who would make it
possible to raise the money and then your 40 percent is worth
let's say, $300 million a year.
DH: Yeah. I have
talked to other major mining companies, one in Japan who are
quite interested in this project. They want to talk again
after we have done more in-fill drilling and
AR: But all through
this project, all through your work, now three months from
now, six months from now, the more, and if you make operating
progress, which is your business, the more you are exposed,
the more people talk to you, the more comfortable you feel
and you always have a chance to sell pieces of the company
to get more cash, and that would also mean that eventually
instead of 40 percent, you end up with 20 percent. Twenty
percent is still $150 million a year, and I have a feeling
that your stockholders, your board, yourself, your family
would be very happy with $150 million annual income.
DH: Oh, I think
they would, even if our company ended up with 10, 20 percent
for a junior company with the little bit of stock we have
out, that is an awful big dividend check to each shareholder.
AR: So, in other
words, it's your duty to fight this on two fronts. One front
is at the mines and the fields, as an operator, as a mining
engineer or mining expert, and your team. The other part is
to look outside for the future, which is the stock market,
the banking industry and international interest to have the
progress of your company recognized by the right parties.
DH: That is true,
and the reason we are getting attention by a lot of the bigger
companies is, I haven't seen, like I read the news releases
from a lot of other companies, I haven't seen very many projects
in the world that are demonstrating the type of, we have drill
holes here, tungsten molybdenum from surface, down to 1,200
feet of continuous tungsten molybdenum, 340 meters.
AR: Let me then
ask you a question, molybdenum is used by the oil industry
in pipelines, and of course the stainless steel industry.
DH: Yes, right.
AR: The price
has been going up sharply in the last four years. Can you
tell me something about tungsten?
DH: Tungsten
is the hardest mineral there is out there. The melting point
of tungsten is about 4500 degrees. Tungsten is used a lot
for armor plating in the armed forces use a lot of it. It's
used in ships, in the steel industry also it's used. All your
light bulbs are tungsten filament.
Tungsten:
Excellent Supply/Demand Fundamentals
• Tungsten is a key component in high
end industrial cutting tools and mining
equipment.
• Tungsten tracks world-wide
industrial economic activity and Chinese consumption
has more than doubled over the last decade.
• The tungsten price
(APT) has increased 255% from US$ 73/MTU in
2001 to the current price of US$ 261/MTU yet
global production has been flat.
• Note: Tungsten is
priced in APT (Ammonium Paratungstate). APT
is a more refined product hence will receive
a higher price than tungsten concentrate that
is the mine product.
|
|
AR: Who are the
main tungsten manufacturers?
| Tungsten
|
Largest
Deposits in the World |
Tonnes
(000) |
Shizuyuan,
China¹ |
190,000 |
Mactung,
Canada² |
44,886 |
Tymyauz,
Russia¹ |
50,800 |
Qingiiu,
China¹ |
78,000 |
¹Not
N143-101 Compliant
²Combined inferred and indicated for comparison
reasons only. |
|
DH: Country by
country, I would say Japan probably is, Europe, certainly
a large tungsten suppliers there. China is becoming one of
the, becoming very strong now. China actually, and Russia,
basically are curtailing tungsten exports and placing very
high tariffs, they are only allowing, like China is only allowing
30 percent of their tungsten production to be exported.
AR: In other words, looking for
the long term, there is what you call a tungsten crisis. Even
the mine producers trying to protect the country, and some
of the countries will not be able to buy this element, which
has its own implications, and the price, of course, would
rise.
DH: Yes, now,
Russia also, or, China has declared tungsten to be a strategic
mineral and Russia has now as well, so they are going to be.
AR: I tell you,
how much is, how do you measure tungsten, excuse me, I have
to change the tape, can you just hold on. Now, carry on. Tell
me, how do you measure tungsten? By pounds or ton or what?
How do you, what is the price measurement?
DH: Tungsten
right now is kind of floating all over the place. I see quotes
on tungsten now at $10 a pound up to $15 a pound, it's hard
to get a price fixed on it because of the limited supply of
it and the limited number.
AR: Tell me,
what particular part of industry can have a tungsten shortage?
Internationally.
DH: Anything
to do with steel manufacturing, this sort of thing is because
the supply is being curtailed. China historically has been
the largest tungsten supplier
AR: How much
is the yearly production, do you have any idea?
DH: I do not,
I'm sorry.
AR: I'll look
it up. But, the price of tungsten has been going up in the
last five years, no?
DH: Yes, very
much so, it's been following molybdenum, although molybdenum
is higher, molybdenum trades $31 to $35 a pound, and tungsten
trades between $10 and $15, but tungsten is still worth three
times a pound what copper is worth.
AR: Tungsten
is worth three times what it's selling at?
DH: Right.
AR: So, in other
words, you eventually, there may be a "Tungsten Gap?"
DH: There is
now. And it's being created, it's come about because Russia
and China, the main suppliers of tungsten to the world have
curtailed any export.
AR: America produces
any tungsten or not?
AR: Does America
produce any tungsten?
DH: Some, but
not a lot.
AR: So, there
is a tungsten gap? In the movies Dr. Strangelove said there
is a missile gap. There is a Tungsten Gap.
DH: There was
the paper came out of Europe about six months ago outlining
the looming tungsten shortage.
AR: Can I ask
you something? How many people know in this world that you
have the potential to produce tungsten?
DH: Not that
many. We're, we're doing now like, I don't know if you get
the Northern Miner, but the issue that just came out this
week is now showing our company and the drill holes and all
the rest of it. And I think it's going to start catching the
attention of more people.
AR: So, in other
words, at the moment, August 22, 2007, you wouldn't say that
too many people know that NER, Newmac, in five years time
can actually deliver and produce tungsten.
DH: Well, that,
we probably will not be the producers though. These projects,
like for Newmac to raise $500 million would
AR: Wait a minute.
I agree. I take that point, but do people know that Newmac
with financial help, with acquisition has mining properties
that can produce tungsten for business?
DH: No.
AR: No, so they
don't know. Ok, so in other words, it's not in the stock price.
DH: No, that's
the whole thing. That is why we're interested in talking with
you, Andrew.
AR: Now, if you
get the story out, ok, eventually you meet a rich man, probably
Mongolian or Hungarian, who may call Dale and say, "I
understand you have a client, we have a $500 million check
and we want to build a mine which can produce tungsten."
That's really is a possibility at some stage, but the more
you advertise, the more people know about it, the earlier
you get the inquiries.
DH: Oh, absolutely.
We need to do a better job than we've done of letting people
know what we have, because what we have is rather unique in
world. I have not seen a drill hole anywhere in the world
yet that is 340 meters carrying tungsten and molybdenum from
surface, and the beauty of where we're sitting here, this
is a large hill.
Global
Tungsten Production
Concentrated in China
• China produced about 85% of tungsten
concentrate in 2006 and has 62% of the global
tungsten resource base.
• China continues to
move up the tungsten supply chain, restricting
exports of APT via a 5% export tax in January
2007.
• Western consumers of tungsten are
concerned about long-term security of supply.
Estimated
2006 Tungsten Mine Production
China 85%, Russia 6%, Canada
3%, Austria 1%
|
|
Global
Tungsten Mine Production vs Demand
|
| Year |
Production(Tonnes) |
Demand
(Tonnes) |
| 2001 |
52,000 |
53,000 |
| 2002 |
47,000 |
47,000 |
| 2004 |
51,000 |
51,000 |
| 2005 |
53,000 |
58,000 |
|
AR: We have,
as you know, behind us the century of warfare, a horrible
hundred years when people were killing one another and they
were not caring for human beings. Now, we have a new century
and we have seven billion people who are working. When I travel,
I travel a lot, I see Vancouver, Munich, Budapest, London,
New York City, people are working, and they earn money and
they spend it. You, we still have about 150 million what I
call the lunatic fringe, who wants to fight, but every day
they come down because there is no money for them. Nobody
gives money away to anybody any more. No more foreign aid.
Now, let's go back, seven billion people, let's assume that
next year, as opposed to 2007 the seven billion will earn
$1,000 extra. Which is not unreasonable, because likely it
is next year you will make $1,000 more than this year. Now,
seven billion, times $1,000 extra, is $7 trillion. This is
equal to the American budget deficit, which is about $7 or
$8 trillion, and it took us 250 years to get into this deficit.
So, we have an extra $7 trillion that people like you, Dale,
the guy in China, in Russia, President Putin's daughter, anybody.
Everybody makes $1,000 more—$7 trillion. Now the $7
trillion buys something. None of them will buy weapons. None
of them will build shelters. The $1,000—$7 trillion
is going to be spent on consumer items. Consumer items needs
mining products.
DH: That's right.
AR: You have
to deliver the mining products, otherwise they don't fly on
airplanes, they don't buy on automobiles, it's all money.
DH: Appliances
AR: Appliances,
it's all mining. I mean, General Motors announce today that
they will manufacture 60,000 electric cars next year. It's
all metals, it's not coming out of wheat or garbage, it's
all metals. So, we have a market now, $7 trillion for mining
products, and if they require tungsten or molybdenum, there
will be a price squeeze.
DH: Well there
will be a looming shortage, I mean right now with tungsten,
what I've read is they're predicting a seven percent increase
in consumption of tungsten and something like a seven to ten
percent decrease in production.
AR: Now, if that
happens, we have, and in closing, have to buy a book about
one of the greatest financiers of the world, Bernard Baruch.
Baruch said, I only knew one principle in economics. If the
demand increases more than the supply, the price goes up.
And if it's the opposite, the price goes down. He said, that's
all I knew and I was constantly in my life shorted or bought
copper. Baruch was America's first "Commodity Man."
Andrew Racz

(Article
60 - posted August 27, 2007)
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