"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006 |
|
"Orezone"
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
Orezone
Resources, etc. |
Listed:
AMEX (OZN)
TSX (OZN) |
$1.51
52-week range: $1.10-$1.70 |
| Shares
Outstanding: |
123,000,000
fully diluted |
| Capital
Position: |
$11M
cash
No debt |
| Corporate Concept: |
Explore
a diversity of gold mining prospect
Expand resources/prove reserves
Build “projected” cash flow
Discount values to present stock price
Use “revalued” stock for acquisitions
and external financing |
|
|
Basic Background
It is a Canadian gold mining company operating in West Africa.
In many respects, it represents a firmly growing gold mining
entity, which is converting from its current status to a big
cash flow generator in the end of the decade.
At the same time, it represents a historical mining entity
that is rapidly growing up in Africa and, because of the geopolitical
opportunities, it is becoming a building block for corporate
success and, at the same time, part of a political movement
of building through mine development, what we call the new
Africa.
Let us start with historical significance.
| 1. |
Orezone is
operating in Burkina Faso, a West African country, which
is neighboring to Ghana in the south and Mali and Niger
in the north and northeast. Burkina has a population
of thirteen million people. Over 90% speak tribal languages,
which belong to the Sudanic family.
French is still the official language, which brings
it closer to Canada. Burkina Faso is a landlocked West
African country the size of Colorado. It was part of
the former French West Africa and known as Upper Volta.
The last French ruler who tried to keep the French-speaking
Africa together was General DeGaulle.
While the country is relatively poor, it is also peaceful.
The population survives on subsistence level and its
hope is to convert its mineral resources into large
cash flows, which would enable the administration to
change the entire structure of the country. If our calculation
is correct, by the year 2010, the gold mining industry
alone would bring in maybe half a billion to a billion
dollars in cash, which is more than enough to create
a new trend in the country’s infrastructure.
|
| |
|
| 2. |
The new Africa which is
based on the various countries’ tremendous mineral
resources and political, peaceful politics is now in
its first phase of development.
If we look at Orezone from a corporate and political
futuristic corporate perspective, the numbers are intriguing.
Orezone has 123 million shares fully diluted outstanding.
At the price of $1.50, it represents a market cap of
$200 million.
While the company only has $11 million cash and no debt,
it has identified mineral resources that can be converted
into cash in the next five to ten years.
In a 60/40 partnership with Gold Fields of South Africa
that committed $16.7 million to explore the largest
gold field called Essakane together with the $7.9 million
by Orezone, the transformation would lead to the beginning
of mining during 2008.
Obviously, the many other people Orezone currently employs,
$200 million market cap and less than $20 million capital
investments a year is only an investment in the future
but it doesn’t represent a major source of governmental
income.
Orezone is being recognized by the financial community.
It is part of the American Stock Exchange Gold Mining
Index. It is listed on the American Stock Exchange.
And it has a prestigious partner in Gold Fields and
three major gold deposits, the Essakane, the Sega Project
and the Bondi structure.
Altogether, there are now an identifiable gold resources
of 3.0 million ounces, which is significant as it is,
but is minor compared to the future potential and the
operating philosophy of Orezone.
The latest drilling results continue to confirm our
belief that the Essakane Main Zone is significantly
larger than the current indicated resource of 2.4 million
ounces and inferred resource of 300,000 ounces (based
on a 0.5 g/t cut off grade). These resources were calculated
in August, 2004, and almost 66,000m of drilling has
been completed since that time. Ongoing drilling continues
to extend the limits of the mineralization in the lower
zones, down dip, and along strike to both the north
and south.
| Summary
of Recent Results from the EMZ
(see complete
table of results at ww.orezone.com/emztable.asp) |
| HOLE-ID |
Section |
From
m |
To
m |
Length
m |
Grade
g/t |
| ERC 1396 |
50675N |
26.0 |
70.0 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
| ERC 1205D |
51150 |
137.0 |
203.0 |
65 |
3.0 |
|
Years
1-2 |
Year
3 |
|
• Identify
gold reserve
• 4
million ounces
• Complete
feasibility |
• Start
producing
300,000-400,000/per annum |
Year
3 |
10th
Year |
Production:
Revenue:
Cash flow:
Government revenue:
|
150,000
ounces/yr
$60 M
$20 M
$5 M
|
$600 M
$200 M
$50M |
1.5X
current market value |
|
| |
|
| 3. |
In addition to Essakane,
Orezone’s strategy is to explore the flat territory
of Burkina Faso and the neighboring countries of Niger
and Mali, where it has a number of smaller gold fields
which, in aggregate, create interesting prospects.
The numbers are as follows: Junior company can identify
a million ounces of gold research, which translates
into a realistic gold reserve of half a million to 700,000
ounces. This can generally be brought on stream at production
of 100,000 ounces in 24 months with a capital cost of
$50 to 60 million.
The picture of such development would create, in three
years, a revenue base of at least $50 million per annum
which, over ten years with the accumulated cash flow,
would be about $300 million plus interest.
Orezone Resources Inc. (OZN: TSX, AMEX) is an emerging
gold producer that owns Essakane, the largest gold deposit
in Burkina Faso, as well as several advanced stage projects
in West Africa. Burkina Faso is a politically stable
country that is located in one of the world’s
fastest growing gold producing regions. Orezone’s
mission is to create wealth by discovering and developing
the earth’s resources in an efficient and responsible
manner. Orezone is based in Ottawa, Canada.
While it’s difficult to do in practice but easy
to see in analysis, ten similar projects would lead
to a revenue potential per annum of $500 million and,
over ten years, a total of $5 billion.
Depending on the level of taxation, level of mining
retention and the level of reinvestment in gold assets
in Burkina Faso, the cash retention in the country in
a single project is meaningful.
Politically, this is where the changes come into it.
Gold is one of West Africa’s key mineral wealths.
With modern technology and demand for commodities, demand
for gold, this is, on a gigantic scale, going from project
to project, a source of cash flow for Burkina Faso.
In other words, a development of key commodities, mainly
gold, converts itself to a much larger amount of money
than what we consider foreign aid.
The basic structure of a mining company in Africa, in
a new Africa is as follows: Public company in Canada,
which conducts the operation and raises the money, gets
the engineering and the direction going, is tied into
a corporate structure inside the developing Africa.
The cash flow enriches the stockholders and increases
the price of the stock. This leads to the ability to
raise more cash (in Orezone’s case, that’s
$100 million) and create mines which, in turn, generate
cash, a welcome change to foreign aid.
Taking into consideration that the largest project,
the Essakane gold project is four, fivefold on the typical
1 million ounce project, our projection for the company
through the decade is as follows:
Revenue:
$200M
Net cash flow: $120M
40% to OZN: $48M
Per share: $0.35
Discounted to 5 years: $1.00 plus
If they simply then analyze the potential cash generation
and the cash to be raised by its parent company and
the gold projection beginning in 2007 and the following
five years, it is obvious that a company is emerging
that simply hasn’t succeeded to emerge in the
last fifteen years.
|
| |
|
Orezone, in fact, is the combination of three factors: One,
the commodity decade which needs the products of Africa; two,
modern management techniques, which can combine mining management
and money raising in three continents; three, the defeat of
the Cold War, which created conducive working conditions in
the Third World, replacing internal frictions, internal political
depression with the hope of capitalizing with Western methods
and the emergence of the commodity-rich new Africa.
What I couldn’t specify, but it’s obvious, is
that if the above development leads to a much higher price
in Orezone, it cannot only raise cash, but it can acquire
other companies of similar nature. We foresee a large-scale
consolidation among the African-based but Western-managed
and assisted companies in the next five years and some of
them will emerge as billion-dollar enterprises representing
the new world, beneficial both to Africa and, at the same
time, satisfy the commodity needs of the old world.
| DISCLAIMER
Information contained herein is based on data
obtained from recognized statistical services,
issuers reports or communications or other sources
believed to be reliable. However, such information
has not been verified by us and we do not make
any representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, analysts or employees
may have positions in the securities or commodities
referred to herein. |
|
| Andrew
Racz
Dated: September 14, 2005
Expenses of less than $10,000 were paid by
ORKO
|
|
(Article
8- posted September 23, 2005)
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
Home |
Biography | Links | Contact
All Content &
Articles of This Web Site
© 2005-2006 Andrew G.
Racz |