BERAL, INC.
Andrew Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, NY 10022
Phone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail: mlikar@aol.com

Rubicon Minerals

November 5, 2008 

RBY - AMEX, Toronto

Price:

$1.02

Price range (52 weeks):

$2.20 - 70¢

Shares outstanding:

164,000,000

 

31% owned by McEwen Capital

Market cap:

$165M

Cash:

$18M

Debt:

zero

TO CONQUER OR DIE

                                       - Winston Churchill

President Obama and Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the House, will soon be forced to create equilibrium between the following:

(i)   $3.0 trillion dollars held by China, Japan and the Oil Kingdom;

(ii)   The growing international coin market;

(iii)   Over $500 billion yearly oil bill.

(iv)   The 6%+ U.S. unemployment

The American people demand a Congressional

hearing on Monetary Affairs.

Whose brain is big enough? Surely the country needs the best brains. Unfortunately, Bobby Fisher is dead, Miss Polgar, the female world champion, is Hungarian, so is George Soros.

At least Robert McEwen is Canadian.

The value of the dollar, the price of gold, and the conceptual importance

of Rubicon in the monetary value

Phoenix Gold - Red Lake Property

Gold Reserve

Estimated Value

Per share

2008        1,500,000

$200          $300M

$2.00

2010*       2,500,000

$250*           $6.25

 $3.00*

*Production stock

Actual Gold Production 

2010

50,000 ounces

$1,000/ounce

$50M

$25M

10¢

2011

100,000 ounces

$1,000/ounce

$100

$60M

60¢

5-year discounted 150,000 ounces/year

$100M

  

5-year discounted

$300M

$2.00

Value

200M shares

Cash: $200M

$3.00 value of deposits

 

 

$2,000/ounce gold price doubles all values

 

Potential Stock Price:    $6.00 - $8.00

RUBICON MINERALS

(The Corporate Background)

Rubicon Minerals is a gold exploration company which by definition engages in the acquisition, exploration and development of gold and base metal deposits in North America. Its holdings are in three geographic areas.

Rubicon Minerals Corporation, a gold exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration and development of gold and base metal deposits in North America. The company controls approximately 180,000 acres of prime exploration ground in the prolific Red Lake gold camp of Ontario, which hosts Goldcorp's Red Lake Mine. Its flagship property is the 100%-controlled Phoenix Gold Project, located in the heart of the prolific Red Lake gold district of Ontario. The company also holds 512,960 acres of prospective exploration ground in Alaska in the area of the 5.6 million ounce Pogo deposit, as well as a 225,000 acre land package in northeast Nevada. Rubicon Minerals Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

A.   180,000 acres of exploration in the Red Lake Gold Camp of Ontario (this controls the Goldcorp.'s Red Lake mine). The property contains the 100 percent owned Phoenix Gold Project which is in the heart of the Red Lake district of Ontario.

B.   512,960 acres of prospective exploration ground in Alaska in the area of 5.6 million ounces of Pogo deposit and,

C.   225,000-acre land package in northeast Nevada.

Rubicon has 160 million fully-diluted shares. The stock is selling at $1.00, down from it's all-time high in 2008 of $2.05. The company has approximately $18 million in cash, of which $12 million may be spent in the next twelve months.

Rubicon is in the midst of completing a public offering of $12.5 million, partially in Canadian dollar deposits of $1.10, or $.94 U.S., for American and other stockholders, and $7.5 million flows through paper which contains an option.

$4,500,000 flows through C. $1.35 for Canadian taxpayer

$5,500,000 common C. $1.10 - $.95 U.S.

Current market price: C. $1.18, $1.02 U.S.

The company is connected with Robert McEwen, the original founder and former chairman of Goldcorp. Mr. McEwen's holding company, McEwen Capital, owns 31 percent of Rubicon's shares. The chairman, Mr. David Adamson, and other directors own a meaningful amount of shares as well as some key institutions, which is presented in the following table.

Mr. David Adamson, Chairman        1,250,000

McEwen Capital & Associates       45,800,000

A most important feature of Rubicon is its current holdings of Red Lake Properties. The importance and the significance of the Red Lake Holdings is presented
in Table A.

Table A    

RUBICON HITS MORE HIGH-TRADE GOLD AT F2 ZONE
IN DEEPEST INTERCEPT TO DATE F2 ZONE - PHOENIX GOLD
PROJECT, RED LAKE, ONTARIO

Rubicon Minerals Corp. is pleased to announce new results from the F2 Zone, part of the 100%-controlled Phoenix Gold Project, located in the heart of the prolific Red Lake gold district of Ontario. Previous drilling has identified significant zones of gold mineralization including bonanza and high-grade gold intercepts.

The intercept is considered significant because:

1) It extends the vertical envelope of mineralization by a further 778 feet (237 meters) at the F2 Zone to 1181 feet laterally by 3363 feet vertically (360 by 1025 meters respectively).

2) It confirms the presence of high-grade gold to depth.

3) It suggests that multiple mineralized zones continue to depth.

"Our geological interpretation suggests the presence of multiple, sub-0parallel gold zones at F2 and these latest deep intercepts indicate the system continues to depth. The limits of the F2 system are not known and drilling is continuing to further expand the system," stated David Adamson, President and CEO.

As stated in previous news releases, additional drilling is required to better understand the distribution of gold mineralization in three dimensions. Management believes this is best accomplished by drilling from underground utilizing the nearly shaft and workings situated approximately 450 meters from the core of the F2 Zone. The company is in the permitting process to allow previously announced shaft dewatering and rehabilitation to commence during Q4 as planned, barring any unforeseen circumstances.

The valuation of Rubicon is relatively intriguing. In the following table, we attach values to the three territories and make an estimate of future production at a theoretical $1,000 per ounce level. It is obvious that if we assume that the money for the development of the Red Lake property is fully available, the eventual picture would indicate that we are dealing with a vastly undervalued stock. Being undervalued in the commodity field, in the mining field, is now quite common. The commodity market basically collapsed in the second half of 2008, to be followed by a decline in the first half of 2008.

Rubicon is interesting when we look at the future and when we put the Rubicon picture into our valuation of the U.S. dollar and gold, and suddenly a new picture would emerge which is interesting for current investors.

Talking of the Red Lake property, it should be mentioned that it was discovered by Goldcorp. under the chairman of Robert McEwen, and it has produced 20 million ounces of gold and is Canada's largest producing and lowest cost mine. The discovery of the Phoenix Gold Project reported numerous high-grade gold intercept, including 26.0 ounces per ton of gold over 6.6 feet, 10.55 ounces of gold over 5.9 feet, and 1.53 ounces of gold over 24 feet, and 2.13 ounces of gold over 9.8 feet.

Currently, Rubicon has the largest land position in this prolific area. Simultaneously, Rubicon has the largest land position in Alaska which surrounds the 4.5 million ounce Pogo mine, and a large position in Nevada.

Since the most practical evaluation of Rubicon is to evaluate the future of the Phoenix gold discovery of Red Lake, Ontario, there has been a final announcement on October 30, 2008, of the current state of affairs, which we reproduce for the most accurate interpretation.

Our Own Evaluation

We consider that by the end of the expected offering, the company would have about 180 million shares outstanding, which at $1.00 U.S. level represents $180 million. We project that the production of gold will start in 2010 and build up in 2011 and 2012, and the numbers will grow continuously. Furthermore, it is valued that the company, while in production, would have a reserve of at least one and a half million ounces of gold.

If Rubicon produces 100,000 ounces of gold a year, the million dollar reserves may be valued between $200 and $250. A valuation of the Red Lake property is presented in our picture. When we enter the valuation of the Alaska and Nevada properties, the total number would of course increase accordingly.

The value of the dollar, the price of gold, and the conceptual importance of Rubicon in the monetary value

Phoenix Gold - Red Lake Property

Gold Reserve

Estimated Value

Per share

2008        1,500,000

$200          $300M

$2.00

2010*       2,500,000

$250*           $6.25

 $3.00*

*Production stock

Actual Gold Production

2010

50,000 ounces

$1,000/ounce

$50M

$25M

10¢

2011

100,000 ounces

$1,000/ounce

$100

$60M

60¢

5-year discounted 150,000 ounces/year

$100M

  

5-year discounted

$300M

$2.00

Value

200M shares

Cash: $200M

$3.00 value of deposits

 

 

$2,000/ounce gold price doubles all values

 

Potential Stock Price:    $6.00 - $8.00

111

While this title may be long, the process by which we arrived at what we describe is our own and is the result of interpreting the current events in the international marketplace.

1. Currently gold is not popular. In the last few months, the price of gold declined 18 percent and the dollar became stronger.  

2. The monetary field is gradually getting flooded with dollars. The U.S. Treasury must have issued a trillion dollars for domestic purposes and recently large international loans -- not grants, loans -- have been granted to Ukraine ($17 billion), Poland ($18 billion), Hungary ($25 billion), and Pakistan and Iceland meaningful sums. It is our interpretation that this amount of dollars flooding the market at a time when we pay $500 billion to oil-producing countries in dollars, when the budget deficit of the United States is about $500 billion, the market will be saturated with U.S. currency and a major monetary crisis is about to begin. 

3. Actually, we have survived so far two monetary crises. The oil crisis, which takes $500-700 billion a year and the budget deficit and the $3 trillion accumulated dollars overseas have not strained drastically the international monetary system. Not as yet.

4. What has happened in the last two months when the U.S. Treasury did, in fact, save the world from imminent collapse, money is printed at least at the rate of a trillion dollars, to be followed by a budget deficit in 2009, where something will happen and that something is not in favor of the U.S. dollar.

5. I picked the situation in my native country, Hungary, which received $25 billion from the IMF. Now, in Hungary private individuals were encouraged by the banks to borrow money at low interest rates in Swiss which put the whole Hungarian real estate market in jeopardy.

6. In Hungary everybody is insured medically, and education and medicine is basically free. In Hungary, except for the giant OTP Bank, every other bank is owned by foreigners. What that means is that when the IMF money is distributed dollars to the banks, it's not distributed to Hungarian banks, it's distributed to Italian, German and Spanish banks.

7. In the United States, a new president is going to be inaugurated who mentioned on many occasions in his speeches that 40 million American citizens are uninsured medically. How can he justify America having handed over a $25 billion blank check to a country where everybody is insured medically, and meanwhile 40 million Americans are not insured?

8. Basically speaking, the problems are about to begin. My interpretation is that the dollar crisis is going to hit the headlines and the politicians will act differently when the pressure on the U.S. dollar increases.

Gold and its significance

With the next dollar crisis, and I feel there will be a crisis as early as 2009, the price of gold can go up towards the $2,000 level. This would highlight the rearrangement of the gold and silver market and gold and silver shares in the United States, Canada and Australia, and as a result market prices would increase substantially.

Considering that the cost of mining gold in North America is now more than $400, the production in the last two years has declined. At the same time, when we see the price of gold going towards $1,500, production cannot increase substantially because of other reasons, but the valuation of the would-be producers such as Rubicon would be at a different level than it is today.

I have actually recommended to leading politicians to have in Congress a hearing on the importance of gold out the dollar denominated panic. Our principal assets, the U.S. dollar, is being threatened and one alternative to strengthen our resources and our country is to monetize gold. It so happened that I recommended Mr. Robert McEwen, a 31 percent owner of Rubicon, to be invited to that hearing.

Conclusion

It is to be considered that Rubicon is a worthwhile speculation, even at the current price. It is one of the few listed American or Canadian companies that will produce gold in the not-too-distant future, has substantial reserves, and its valuation can increase.

At the same time, I am also pointing out to the readers of this presentation that a major change in the dollar, in gold, and the combined interpretation in light of the American reserve position and future, is going to be re-evaluated. If so, the importance of Rubicon would change for the better and it would be one of the few companies which will serve in the next ten years in a climate where the American gold reserves and production is an important part of the future of our country.

Disclaimer

Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuers reports or communications or other sources believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by us and we do not make any representation to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes only current opinions which are subject to change. BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts or employees may have positions in the securities or commodities referred to herein, and may as principal or agent buy and sell such securities or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director for companies mentioned in this report. Neither the information nor any comment expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or commodities mentioned herein. There may be instances when fundamental, technical and competitive opinions may not be in concert. This firm may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for or which investment banking or other businesses from any company mentioned in this report.

 

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Andrew Racz. 300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C, New York, NY 10022
Phone: (212) 319-6949 Fax: (212) 753-1944. E-mail: mlikar@aol.com

Copyright © 2011 Andrew Racz. All Rights Reserved.

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