"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
|
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
SONESTA INTERNATIONAL HOTELS CORPORATION
[SNSTA
- NASDAQ]
Price:
Price
Range (2005): |
$28
$42
- $5 |
| |
|
| Earnings
Estimates |
|
| 2005E: |
|
| 2006P: |
|
| 2007P: |
|
Capitalization
(Sept.
30, 2005) |
|
($,
ths) |
Total
current assets: |
$35,560 |
Receivables,
long term: |
15,000 |
Property
(net) |
75,000 |
Total
assets: |
$130,560 |
| |
|
| Liabilities |
|
|
($,
mil) |
Total
current liabilities: |
$15.8 |
Long-term
debts: |
34.1 |
Finance
Obligation: |
60.0 |
Total
stockholders’ equity: |
14.1 |
Total
liabilities: |
$130.1 |
|
|
Total
common shares outstanding
3,700,000
|
|
|
|
SONESTA
INTERNATIONAL HOTELS CORPORATION
[SNSTA]
The investment merit of Sonesta consists of the conversion
of choice leisure properties into saleable equities. In that,
they are in the forefront of managing a diversified hotel
concern in the 21st Century.
The prestigious part of the international leisure world probably
got its historic background after the first World War. The
elegant hotels of the French Riviera and then the major name
hotels in Paris, such as the Grand Hotel, the Plaza Athenée,
George V, in London the Dorchester and the Grosvenor House,
in Vienna Hotel Imperial and in New York, of course, the Waldorf-Astoria
and the Plaza Hotel, represented a distinguished and enviable
paradise for the wealthy.
Little is known today, or rather mentioned today, about the
history of the Sonnabend family. The father, who established
Sonesta almost a hundred years ago, owned the Waldorf-Astoria
and later bough thee Plaza Hotel. The Sonesta chain, which
was previously named Hotel Corp. of America, in 1969 owned
34 hotels all over the world, including the Carlton Tower
in London, the Balmoral Club in the Bahamas, various hotels
in Bermuda, and the Plaza Hotel in New York City.
Thirty-five years ago, the standard market capitalization
of Hotel Corp. of America, with the prestigious Plaza in the
middle, was about $20
million. Today the Plaza is worth $450M.
In contrast, Sonesta’s net worth is $15M.
With the post-war generation, the various hotel chains like
Sheraton, began to benefit from the greater valuation of their
hotel accommodations. The so-called super luxury hotels have
vastly increased in value. Patient and long-term stockholders
handsomely benefited from various cash distributions.
Some chains like Hilton, both in Europe and in America, have
remained a single entity, whereas others liquidated their
properties and remained smaller entities after cash has been
distributed from the sale of individual hotel properties.
Sonesta, as it is today, is somewhere in between. The company
remained an international hotel company, and is engaged in
ownership and operation of various hotels and ships. The
current property portfolio is diversified:
Sonesta Beach Key Biscayne
Trump International – Sonesta
Sonesta – Coconut Grove
Royal Sonesta – New Orleans
Royal Sonesta, Cambridge
South Beach, Bermuda
5 Hotels & 3 Cruise Hotels in Egypt
Sharm al Sheikh – Sonesta Beach
Peru (7) – Franchised
Tuscany (4) – Franchised
Brazil – Sao Paulo
The company in its current structure is a hotel company with
various interest. With no particular expansion tendencies,
it received moderate interest until it began to realize its
assets designed for the 21st century. The company’s
income statement for the year December, 2004, represents no
particular excitement and the stock during that period averaged
about $5.00
a share.
Balance
Sheet
(Sept.
30, 2004)
($
mil) |
Current
assets
|
17.5 |
|
Current
liabilities |
15.5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| Net
property |
78.5 |
|
Long-term
debt |
70.0 |
| |
|
|
Stockholders’
equity |
11.65 |
| Total
assets |
107.0 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
Market
Value
4M SL x $5 = $20M
|
|
|
|
SONESTA
INTERNATIONAL HOTELS CORPORATION
Sale
and Transfer of Assets
| 1. |
During the
2005 third quarter the Company sold land it owned in
Costa Rica for $4.5
million, and reported a $3,950,000
pretax gain after deducting the $450,000
book value of the land and related expenses. Since 1995
the Company had owned the site, which was intended for
a new resort, but the development never materialized
|
| |
|
| 2. |
On April 19, 2005, Sonesta
Beach Resort Limited Partnership (“SBRLF”),
a wholly owned subsidiary of Sonesta International Hotels
Corporation (“Sonesta”) completed the transfer
of the land and improvements of Sonesta Beach Resort,
in Key Biscayne, Florida to a partnership between SBRLP
and affiliates of Fortune International, a Miami-based
real estate development and brokerage firm (“Fortune”).
SBRLP is a 50% limited partner in the new partnership,
and affiliates of Fortune are the general partner and
a limited partner, together owning a 50% interest in
the partnership.
The new partnership, SBR-Fortune Associates, LLP (“SBR-Fortune”),
expects that the existing hotel will remain in operation
through July 2006, when it will be demolished and construction
of a new 5-story resort is expected to begin. It is
anticipated that the new condominium hotel will include
300-plus luxury hotel and residential condominium units,
restaurants, meeting/function space, a space and other
facilities customary to the finest resorts in South
Florida.
On April 19, 2005, Sonesta transferred the land and
improvements of Sonesta Beach Resort into SBR-Fortune,
which is valuing the land at $120
million. Sonesta received $31,011,000
in cash at the closing, and, in addition, an existing
mortgage of $29,967,000
on the property was paid off by SBR-Fortune. Sonesta
also received an equity position in SBR-Fortune valued
at approximately $60
million. This value will be paid to Sonesta out of the
first available net proceeds of the sale of condominium
units, after repayment of (construction) debt. Thereafter,
Fortune will receive its initial $30
million equity contribution, plus any additional equity
contributions it was required to make to develop the
new resort. Subsequent to Fortune fully recovering its
investment, profits will be split equally. Sonesta is
not required to fund any additional equity beyond the
contribution of the land and improvements. Fortune will
have the sole responsibility for arranging financing
and completing construction of the new resort.
As of April 19, 2005, will continue to operate the
hotel under a token ($1
per year) lease with SBR-Fortune, until such time that
SBR-Fortune is ready to commence construction on the
new resort, which the parties currently estimate to
be in August 2006. Sonesta will receive all operating
profits during this period. Sonesta does have the right
to cease operations of the existing hotel on 60 days
notice, in case revenues are insufficient to cover all
expenses.
Once the new condominium hotel is completed, the non-guestroom
areas of the hotel, which include restaurants, bars,
meeting space, office and storage facilities etc. (the
“Hotel Lot”), will be transferred to a newly
formed partnership, of which Sonesta is a 70% partner
and general partner, and Fortune is a 30% limited partner.
Sonesta will operate the Hotel Lot, and will offer a
rental program to the buyers of condo units that wish
to make their units available for rental to the public.
The cost of closing the existing hotel, including severance
payments to employees, finding of vacation pay, pension
obligations and other costs, will be paid by SBR-Fortune,
up to a maximum of $4
million. The Company believes this will be sufficient
to cover these costs.
|
SONESTA
INTERNATIONAL HOTELS CORPORATION
[SNSTA]
Summary
of Monetary Transaction
|
(1)
Sonesta transfers land valued at $120M
to Fortune. |
|
|
|
|
| (2)
Sonesta receives |
$30,000,000
cash |
| transfers |
$30,000,000
mortgages |
| |
|
|
| Equity
|
$60,000,000 |
| Paid
from first sale |
|
|
|
|
| Equity
distribution after: |
| Sonesta |
$60M |
|
|
|
| Fortune |
$30M |
|
|
|
| Construction |
$60M |
|
|
|
| |
$150M |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| Total
est. |
|
|
$250M |
|
| Sonesta
50% |
|
50 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Hotel
Lot (excluding condos) |
70% |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Total
cash: |
$170M |
|
| Per
share |
$45
cash |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Hotel
Lot est. (10%) 6M |
$1.50
ongoing per share income |
|
|
SONESTA
INTERNATIONAL HOTELS CORPORATION
Monetizing
Assets
In early 2005, the company signed an agreement
to convert one of its most attractive hotels, the Sonesta
Beach Hotel, into a condominium with a partner. This conversion,
creating about 300 units with a potential price of $2
million each, representing $600
million revenue potential of which let’s say half goes
to Sonesta, is a number that we have to consider seriously.
$150 million
for a company with less than 4 million shares outstanding
is $40 a
share.
In the development of the leisure industry, this is a revolutionary
but not unique step. People have money to buy condominiums,
the same way the super-rich a hundred years ago could stay
at the George V in Paris. The agreement which changed the
Sonesta is in Table 2.
The financial transactions have made an immediate change
in the balance sheet. Sonesta received $30
million and $30
million mortgage money was wiped off its balance sheet and
transferred to the joint company. On September 30, 2005, the
company was immediately in an attractive position. There is
total current assets of $40
million with an additional $15
million filtering in over a period of years, so a total of
$54 million,
with current liabilities of $15
million.
Sonesta only has not $34
million long-term debt, a reasonable number for the number
of real estate properties which the company has and which
is valued at around $120
million. Furthermore, the income statement also improved dramatically.
For the first nine months earnings were $1.77,
and the last quarter $.42
versus a $.91
deficit.
The interesting part is the future conversion of the company
by this single deal. According to the agreement, the joint
partnership which owns the real estate of $120
million will pay the sale of the first $60
million proceeds from the condominiums to Sonesta. That would
mean that theoretically the $60
million will wipe out 100% of long-term and short-term liabilities
of the company and create a balance sheet of $40
million immediate short-term assets and an additional $15
million, with no liabilities long- or short-term at all. It
is easy to see that the interest savings would add at least
$1.50 per
share to Sonesta’s earnings.
The agreement then calls for the partnership to retain $30
million and then split the remaining proceeds between the
partnership and Sonesta, assuming that this remaining sum
would amount to $60
million for Sonesta, meaning about $1.50
per share, it would create a real estate company with no debt
and $100
million short-term cash on the balance sheet.
The future of Sonesta, however, is far greater than just
the potential numbers from the Sonesta Beach condominium deal.
It is operating now on three continents, in about twenty ventures.
It has a management team which is theoretically a hundred
years old. The company is headed by the Roger Sonnabend who
had been at the helm almost forty years. The condition of
the world today is for leisure. The world is in a peaceful
atmosphere, a transition from the century of war to a century
of peace. That means leisure, that means boats, new hotels,
joint ventures, international travel. In other words, the
Sonesta of $100
million surplus cash and management and only 3.7 million shares
is facing a possibility of becoming a company with very meaningful
price appreciation possibility.
If Mr. Sonnabend would use the cash intelligently and perhaps
convert other properties via condominiums, he will after forty
years of being president, represent something worthwhile for
the century to follow, the company would be a the forefront
of providing leisure accommodation for the lower middle class
up to the higher middle class. It would historically be the
company which was there at the creation in the 1930s and will
continue to be the leader of the leisure industry in the early
part of the 21st century.
It is a stock to buy for the 21st century.
SONESTA
INTERNATIONAL HOTELS CORPORATION
[SNSTA]
Pro-Forma
Earning Power
(2007)
|
| |
|
|
|
Value
($1 per share)
|
| Basic
income, operating |
$1.00 |
|
|
| Interest
saving |
1.50 |
|
|
| Income
from Hotel Lot |
1.50 |
|
|
| |
|
$4.50 |
$45 |
8x
$36 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| Cash
surplus: $170M |
45 |
1x
45 |
| |
|
|
| Total
Value |
|
$81 |
|
|
| DISCLAIMER
Information contained herein is based on data
obtained from recognized statistical services,
issuers reports or communications or other sources
believed to be reliable. However, such information
has not been verified by us and we do not make
any representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, analysts or employees
may have positions in the securities or commodities
referred to herein. |
|
(Article
16 - posted December 29, 2005)
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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