"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay's Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It's A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine" -
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I'm Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entree
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"WisdomTree
Investments, Inc."
posted December 26, 2006
"My
Father Died In Auschwitz"
posted January 19, 2007
"Lexam
Exploration, Inc."
posted February 11, 2007
"Robert
Friedland -
The Man of The Year"
posted February 21, 2007
"Rubicon
Minerals Corp."
posted March 1, 2007
"Warren
Buffett - Franklin Roosevelt"
posted March 15, 2007
"Golden
Valley Mines, Ltd"
posted April 21, 2007
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted May 22, 2007
"Bayswater
Uranium Corp."
posted May 30, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Was Hungarian"
posted May 31, 2007
"Portal
Resources"
posted June 12, 2007
"Aldershot
Resources Ltd."
posted July 16, 2007
"Entrée
Gold Inc."
Follow Up Report #1
posted July 24, 2007
"The
Age of Special 'Corporate' Relationships"
posted August 23, 2007
"Interview
with
David Hjerpe - Newmac Resources, Inc."
posted August 27, 2007
"Interview
with
Jim Davis - President of Leeward Capital Corporation"
posted September 4, 2007
"Interview
with Professor William Pfaffenberger - Torch River
Resources"
posted September 22, 2007
"Ghengis
Kahn Returns"
posted September 27, 2007
"Jasper
Mining Corporation"
posted September 27, 2007
"Gold
Indexed Bonds"
posted October 11, 2007
|
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
November
1, 2007
Tagish
Lake Gold Corp.
Price
Range (2007): $C 0.68 –
0.10
Debt: $C
1,500,000
Stockholders
Equity: $C 22,500,000
Shares
Outstanding: 115,400,000
|
|
Interview
with Robert Rodger
Tagish Lake Gold Corp.
|
Interview, Tagish Lake Gold
Corp. on October 1, 2007. |
|
Gold,
end-Sep
(Tonnes)
|
Sales so far in EGA II (Tonnes) |
Possible
sales in
2007/2008 |
Possible
sales in
2008/2009
|
Possible
gold end -EGA II |
| Germany |
3,415 |
16 |
|
|
3,415 |
| France |
2,643 |
363 |
114 |
114 |
2,416 |
| Italy |
2,452 |
- |
|
|
2,452 |
| Switzerland |
1,178 |
241 |
138 |
|
1,040 |
12 Others Combined
(Netherlands, ECB, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Belgium,
Sweden, Greece, Finland, Ireland, Slovenia, Luxembourg)
|
2,743 |
747 |
191 |
239 |
2,308 |
| TOTAL |
12,426 |
1,367 |
443 |
353 |
11,628 |
Tagish Internal Projections
Annual
Production |
| |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
| |
Gold
@ $800,
Silver @ $15
|
Gold
@ $1,000,
Silver @ $17
|
|
| 50,000 oz gold |
40 M |
40 M |
50 M |
50 M |
65 M
(65,000 oz) |
| 1,000,000 oz silver |
15 M |
15 M |
17 M |
17 M |
20.4 M (1,200,000
oz) |
totals |
$55 M |
$55 M |
$67 M |
$67 M |
$85 M |
We are talking
in five years, a revenue stream of $320 M,
a net cash flow of over $100 M. |
RODGER:
That's exactly right, yes.
RACZ:
Now, are there many deals like that in the business you
are in? A company or an individual comes to you with a check,
I give you the money, but I get half, or one third, or whatever
in return. Do you hear about deals like that often?
RODGER:
Well you hear of deals. You hear of companies that are being
acquired all the time because they are perceived to be bargains.
RACZ:
So, in other words we are in a level when companies like
yours get take over offers, maybe not at $20 million, but
say at $30 million you make some money, but the cash rich
partners eventually make a lot more money.
RODGER: That's
exactly right.
RACZ:
And these kind of deals you have seen?
RODGER:
We've seen deals of companies taking over other companies,
yes, at rather premium prices these days, frankly. For the
most part that action has been among producers, but I think
that sort of thing will filter down to
RACZ:
You have seen this kind of deals among producing companies?
RODGER:
That's right, yes.
RACZ:
But the real business of takeovers, partial, full acquisitions
for the explorations has not as yet begun?
RACZ:
So, $5 million would accelerate working towards production
and would give a higher value of your deposits.
RODGER:
Yes, exactly, because with that $5 million, we'll demonstrate
that zones continue down into the mountain and also continue
further into the mountain.
RACZ:
At the moment, the market values your deposits at a very,
very low level. So, you have to create money and you have
to create credibility that this is a company that's going
to be a decent sized gold and silver producer.
RODGER:
I think that's right, yes.
RACZ:
So, if you get a few million dollars and you go along this
line, the likelihood is that another company will come along
and make a deal with you.
RODGER:
It certainly could happen, yes.
RACZ:
And that's where we are going now. That's where you want
to go now?
RODGER:
Where we want to go is move to production. If somebody comes
and makes us an offer for the company and the offer is attractive,
we'll certainly take a look at it, but our focus is on moving
to production. And with the kind of gold and silver market
that we have, we shouldn't be going any other way.
RACZ:
So, basically, and I'll close with, you have every intention,
but you haven't thought about it to read the books of William
Zeckendorf and look it up, how did the master do it? Because
William Zeckendorf had no more money than you have, and
whatever way you look at it, he built the United Nations
Plaza.
RODGER: Yes,
that's right.
RACZ: Well,
since we talked about him, he went bankrupt, in the middle
of his projects. Marine Midland Bank put him into bankruptcy.
He was a very colorful man, everybody knew him in New York.
I don't know why I had a fascination with him when I came
to America. He wrote a book that said at the beginning "Many
people thought I would commit suicide." He said, "Nothing
can be further from the truth. My sense of accomplishment
is perfect." So, the difference between the two of
you, you never talked to me about suicide, but you want
to see your sense of accomplishment displayed on the broad
tape, correct?
RODGER: You're
absolutely right. I certainly expect that moving Tagish
to production will give me a sense of accomplishment.
RODGER: Yes,
I think so, I think the time is coming for people to look
at companies such as Tagish Lake Gold, which has three deposits
on this property and is moving to production. In other words,
they'd be looking at advanced mineral exploration companies
among the juniors.
RACZ:
Referring to the last 10-15 years, did the major companies
neglect exploration?
RODGER:
I think as a general rule in the whole mineral industry,
exploration was neglected, and we're paying for it today.
RACZ:
And this was simply an unnecessary neglect?
RODGER:
No, I think it was more related to commodity prices. Commodity
prices were all very poor right across the board, including
gold and silver. And, as a result there was little incentive
to do any work in exploration.
RACZ: Well,
let me ask it this way—what's the difference for an
exploration, whether the price is $650 or $850?
| The
gold price is now at $780/oz, suggesting that
demand remains high. When the Agreement was signed
in 1999 the price was under $300/oz and market
conditions were much different. |
|
RODGER: The fact that the company
producing is actually ultimately much more profitable at 850
than it is at 650.
RACZ: But an
exploration company gets a different valuation with the price
increase, right?
RODGER: I think
that's very true, yes.
RACZ: What is
the market value of your company?
RODGER: It currently
is about $17 million, our market cap. The value based on other
valuations is much higher than that.
RACZ: And how
much cash is in the company?
RODGER: About
a million dollars.
RACZ: Ok, let's assume the price
goes to $850, how would the market re-evaluate the company?
RODGER: I think
because we're a near-term producer there, we're going to see
that people will see what the market will see that there is
clearly an advantage to our company, and as a result, I think
the price will move up, fairly significantly in fact.
RACZ: Ok, let's
backtrack a little bit. How much gold do you have which is
near to potential, not only exploration, but production?
RODGER: We have
three deposits. The deposit that we've been focusing on to
move to production is called Skukum Creek. We currently have
roughly 300,000 ounces of gold in that deposit, and six million
ounces of silver. Our projected annual production rate is
of the order of 50,000 ounces of gold and of 1.2 million ounces
of silver.
RACZ: 50,000
ounces of gold at let's say, $800 level, is $40 million, correct?
RODGER:
That's right, yes.
RACZ: And a million
ounces of silver at $15 is $15 million.
RODGER: That's
right.
RACZ: So, we
are talking about $55 million annual production and a market
cap of less than $20 million.
RODGER: That's
right.
RACZ: Now, can
you retain or even increase, just retain this level of production
for five years?
RODGER: Yes,
we currently have about five years resources secured, and
we expect to increase that as time goes on, because our zones
are wide open.
RACZ: Fine. So,
you are really talking about a quarter of a billion dollars
as a revenue stream against less than $20 million market cap.
RODGER: Well
there hasn't been, or at least I haven't seen a whole lot
of deals involved with companies that in the advanced exploration
stage, but I think that's coming.
RACZ: Have you
ever initiated such deals?
RODGER: In a
similar fashion, yes. A number of years ago I worked for a
larger corporation and we signed an agreement with a small
company that owned a former producing gold mine.
RACZ: Ok, but
take an example right, and then I'll come to the main level,
that a company comes along and it says, "I'll give you
half a million dollars, and you give me shares, but I will
get 10 percent of your gold production's net for five or ten
years." You've heard of such deals or this is still in
the future?
RODGER: For companies
at our level I haven't, but that certainly is the case with
silver producers, more so than gold producers. There are a
number of companies that are actively acquiring silver production.
RACZ: Like Silver
Wheaton?
RODGER: Silver
Wheaton is one, there are a few others. Silver Wheaton has
signed deals with companies that are at an advanced exploration
stage.
RACZ: How many
gold-silver exploration companies are in British Columbia
and Alberta?
RODGER: Probably
a thousand.
RACZ: So, we
have a thousand companies, and would you say $20 million is
the average market cap, or lower?
RODGER: It's
probably higher, I would think.
RACZ: Higher?
So, in other words, $20 million times a thousand is $2 billion.
RODGER: Right.
RACZ: So, what
we are talking about is that in the current monetary markets,
which are not exactly promising for currencies, there is a
group of companies between $2 billion and $5 billion in total
value that have not applied proper intelligent marketing of
their assets and future production and. This is really the
business, correct?
RODGER: That's
right.
Andrew Racz

(Article
66 - posted November 1, 2007)
DISCLAIMER
Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed
to be reliable. However, such information has
not been verified by us and we do not make any
representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts
or employees may have positions in the securities
or commodities referred to herein, and may as
principal or agent buy and sell such securities
or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer
or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director
for companies mentioned in this report. Neither
the information nor any comment expressed shall
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities or commodities
mentioned herein. There may be instances when
fundamental, technical and competitive opinions
may not be in concert. This firm may from time
to time perform investment banking or other
services for or which investment banking or
other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report. |
|
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