"1848 and Beyond"
posted August 4, 2005

"An African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005

"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005

"Orko Gold"
posted August 18, 2005

"Mr. Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005

"A Letter To
President Bush"

posted September 8, 2005

"Mr Clarke -
Call In The Boys"

posted September 12, 2005

"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005

"U.S. Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005

"Mr. Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005

"The Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005

"Then And Now"
posted November 9, 2005

"50 Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005

"Bunker Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005

"The Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005

"Sonesta International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005

"Northern Star Mining"

posted January 16, 2006

"Other People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006

"Your Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.

posted February 9, 2006

"A Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani
"
posted February 15, 2006

"Interview with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation
"

posted February 22, 2006

"Sparton Resources"
posted March 1, 2006

"Harvest Gold"
posted March 2, 2006

"Midway Gold
Corporation
"

posted March 23, 2006

"Pocketful Of
Miracles"

posted April 8, 2006

"J.P. Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006

"The Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006

"Ken Lay's Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006

"Gateway Gold:
It's A Gold Story"

posted May 15, 2006

"Northern Star
Mining Corp."

posted May 19, 2006

"I Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006

"Oil & Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"

posted July 3, 2006

"Let There Be  Sunshine" -
Kirk Kerkorian

posted July 12, 2006

"The Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006

"Silver In The
Twenty-First Century"

posted August 16, 2006

"Silver Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006

"A Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron

posted August 30, 2006

"Brilliant Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006

"The Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006

"The Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"

posted October 18, 2006

"Global Options
Group, Inc."

posted November 1, 2006

"This Year I'm Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006

"Aero Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006

"Entree Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006

"Susan Polgar-
World Chess Champion"

posted December 14, 2006

 

Andrew Racz  

Articles by Andrew Racz 

BERAL, INC.  
Andrew G. Racz  
Director of Research
 
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C  
New York, New York 10022  
Telephone: (212) 319-6949  
Fax: (212) 753-1944
 

 E-mail: mlikar@aol.com   

 

 

December 26, 2006

 

 

WisdomTree Investments, Inc.
(WSAT - PK)

Price: $8.00 Earnings per share*
   
Price range: $9.40 - $2.50 2007E
$0.10 - 0.20
  2008E
$0.20 - 0.34
  2009E
$0.35 - 0.50

Capitalization
(December 31, 2006 Est.)
     
Long-term debt:
          Ø
 
Stockholders' equity:
          $65,000,000
 

Common Shares Outstanding

118,000,000

*Per-share earnings and corporate cash positions depend on the size of the assets under management. The company may expand into diversified money management concerns.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Michael Steinhard
Chairman of the Board
Hedge Fund manager
Jim Robinson (RR Ventures)
Director, former Chairman of American Express
Arthur Levitt
Advisor, former Chairman of SEC
Prof. J. Siegel Professor, Wharton School
Director
Jonathan Steinberg
Chief Executive Officer
Bruce Levine
President


THIS IS NOT MEDIOCRE EXPERIENCES.


On December 22, 2006, WisdomTree raised $56.4M in a private placement, spearheaded by AIG and Atlantic Pacific. WSAT issued 18,800,000 shares.

 

The dramatic increase of the equity base transferred the horizon of this young company.

 

Major Investors
AIG Global Investment Group
  
}
$56.4M private placement
(December 22, 2006)
Atlantic Pacific Investments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Concept of the ETF Business

 

An ETF is the recent form of derivatives. It is the most recent, the simplest, the most easily accessible on the international markets. The recent merger of the NYSE and Euronext is a potential boom to ETF's. It competes with risky currency trading and creates the easiest way to trade commodities.

 

The size of the total market is $400 billion. A case can be for it to grow into a trillion-dollar market before the end of 2010.

 

WisdomTree can grow in five years to participate with $30 billion, representing a revenue base of over $100 million.


WisdomTree's History


WisdomTree is one of the first publicly-owned companies formed to function to manage ETF's. An ETF is a novel way to permit investors to participate in a special group of securities, domestic, foreign tied to currencies, tied to a particular commodity or restricted to a particular set of companies in a particular industry.


By definition, WisdomTree Trust is a Delaware statutory trust registered as an investment company with the SEC. Each separate WisdomTree ETF is a series of WisdomTree trusts. By definition, investors should consider their investment objectives, risk and expenses. Each ETF prospectus covers a particular investment mode. It discloses the particular investment risk, the buying interest in a special set of securities, and in case of a foreign ownership the risk of currency oscillation. The fund can focus on a single country, a sector, and other fund investments in smaller companies as well as foreign companies. The funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc.


ETF's cover currencies. For the first time investors can take positions in currencies without the usual leveraged trading risk. Instead of 5% downpayment, the ETF is just as liquid but subject to the same margin requirements of the New York Stock Exchange.


WisdomTree has registered twenty ETF's on June 16, 2006, listed on the NYSE. In less than four months of trading, the twenty WisdomTree funds attracted $700 million in assets. On October 30, 2006, ten additional WisdomTree trusts international sector ETF's were registered. The description of the ten appears in the table below.


Each ETF will focus on a specific industry sector tracking an underlying WisdomTree Index consisting of only international equity securities. The WisdomTree Trust international sector ETF's will be the first ETF's to offer pure international sector exposure. Existing ETF's are based on a "global" section model and contain a mix of both international and domestic securities.


The 10 new ETF's will have an expense ratio of .58% and represent the following international sectors:


• WisdomTree International Basic Materials Sector Fund (DBN)
• WisdomTree International Communications Sector Fund (DGG)
• WisdomTree International Consumer Cyclical Sector Fund (DPC)
• WisdomTree International Consumer Non-Cyclical Sector Fund (DPN)
• WisdomTree International Energy Sector Fund (DKA)
• WisdomTree International Financial Sector Fund (DRF)
• WisdomTree International Health Care Sector Fund (DBR)
• WisdomTree International Industrial Sector Fund (DDI)
• WisdomTree International Technology Sector Fund (DBT)
• WisdomTree International Utilities Sector Fund (DBU)

 

The management fee for an ETF oscillates between .28 to .58. It should be mentioned that the ten international funds would have a .58 expense ratio. At the time of writing, there is an additional thirty-one ETF's being registered, which are likely to be effective sometime in late December, 2006. It should be mentioned that WisdomTree out of its management fee subcontracts the cost of subcontracting Bank of New York. The bank sets up a funding trading trust for:


(a) executing orders,


(b) bookkeeping, and


(c) managing a number of shares in each ETF in correspondence with allocated shares from the various underlying companies. The Bank of New York fee is about 20 percent.


The following table therefore can illustrate the potential profit of WisdomTree from monies under management. In following the company since its inception, it should be mentioned that with a limited number of ETF's outstanding, the WisdomTree ETF's have managed one billion dollars in assets on November 30, 2006, and at the time of writing the figure approaches $1.5 billion.


    Money under management Gross Revenue
(.58)
June 16, 2006 20 EFT 0  
Oct. 30, 2006 +10 EFT
30 EFT
$700M $4.060
Nov. 30, 2006    $1,000M 5.8
Dec. 31, 2006E +31 EFT
61 EFT
$1500 7.5

 


With the expansion of the ETF movement and the number of ETF's under management, it is not inconceivable that by the end of 2007 WisdomTree (WSAT) could have nearly $5-10 billion under management. The following years $10 billion can also be increased in time. There is a strong net in-flow from existing clients and even greater from the diversification of the ETF's, or rather what's called asset diversification policy.


While an ETF is basically an open-ended fund, it provides investors with the possibility of investing in a particular segment of the market easily. Since the ETF's are listed on either the NYSE, the American Stock Exchange or the London Exchange, the marketability is a factor.


The ETF movement    


In 1993, the American Stock Exchange pioneered the concept of a tradable basket of stocks with the creation of the Standard & Poor's depository receipt, exchange traded funds, ETF's. Ever since it has continued to grow in number. In July, 2006, the total amount of money was $337 billion. The ETF's which used to have international institutions as major clients have become the darling of individual investors. Although the American Stock Exchange is the father of ETF's, it has grown rapidly elsewhere. Some of the most popular ETF's are listed in Table 3.


Attention should be paid to the various gold trusts which became an everyday trading vehicle to entities and individuals who raise the commodity markets. Furthermore, foreign markets have outpaced the United States. ETF's focus on emerging markets, Asia, the Pacific, and now concentrate on commodities. When the silver ETF was formed, it has absorbed 100 million ounces of silver from the market, with the result that 10 percent of the yearly production went into the ETF and raised the price of silver from $7.00 to $14.00. This shows that the convenient way to permit anybody to buy silver, gold, a foreign country, real estate, attracts capital and consequently the ETF market is now an international phenomenon. The main players are listed in the table below. The total amounts to $400 billion.

 

 

 
Leading ETF Managers
Barclays
$250B
States Street Bank
of Boston
$90B
Vanguard
$11B


The valuation of WisdomTree should be studied in contrast to the growth of the ETF movement.

 

   ETF assets under management $15B = $15,000
   Gross revenues '58
$87M
   Net '35
$50M
   Per share
74
   Annual asset growth
20%
  
Cash Accumulation
2006:
Internal
$5.0M
  
  
Private placement
56M
             
  
$61.0M
 
  
2007:
Internal
$20.0+
  
 
Cash c/w
61.0
  
 
Possible public offering
100.0
               
 
$181.0M
 
2008:
Cash c/w
181.0
 
Interest
10.0
 
Internal
50.0
 
Possible public offering
100.0  
            
 
$341.0
$341.0

 

 

WSAT is not only an operating entity but a fast accumulator of cash.

 

The market has its own momentum to back a winning idea.


When I came to America in 1964, A.W. Jones, a hedge fund with $30 million, was a serious market player. Today the hedge fund industry amounts to probably $1.5 trillion and it participates meaningfully in the international markets.


Twenty-five years ago the so-called LBO funds, spearheaded by KKR, didn't amount to more than $10 billion. Today after twenty-five years, $100 billion LBO is being considered for Home Depot, and individuals such as John Castle, a former president of Donaldson Lufkin is known to handle along $8 billion worth of assets and Sam Heyman, a former president of GAF, is now the second largest stockholder of the London Stock Exchange.


Basically, both the LBO and the hedge fund business, unusual to many, not only stayed but prospered and grew.


The ETF movement has various advantages over the previously mentioned two.


1. It is easy to comprehend by anyone, even the least sophisticated investors.


2. It's marketed with great skill and diversified forces on listed exchanges.


3. It replaces the detailed research and detailed decision-making from investments while providing a vehicle for the average investor, the sophisticated investor, for foreign investors to put their dollars where they want to.


4. Foreign investment has never been more powerful than today. The London Economist estimates that by the end of 2007, the Chinese will have investable surplus funds of $700 billion. At the same time, the Middle Eastern oil countries will have $1.7 trillion. This is $2.4 trillion in total.


When we take into account that the ETF movement is basically five years old, and the hedge fund business, even on a large scale, is let's say twenty years old. The ETF movement is probably not more than 20 percent of the hedge funds' money, we must conclude that the ETF's have a great role to play in moving capital all over the world at great speed, in great quantities, and with great efficiency.


The Role of WisdomTree Investments    


Even though WisdomTree is a young company, its management is a group of remarkable talents. The president, Jonathan Steinberg, has followed and participated in the investment business from the age of twenty. Michael Steinhardt does not require any introduction. He's a legendary investor and former hedge fund manager, and a lifelong participant in the investment scene in New York. Arthur Levitt was head of the SEC, the Amex, and a founding member of the brokerage firm of Carter, Levitt & Weil.


The company has 700 million shares outstanding, with a distribution of ownership as per the following table. The intellect of management is unquestioned, and it is such financial sophistication which will be called into being as the story unfolds.


Chairman Michael Steinhardt
Hedge Fund Manager
 
Arthur Levitt
Chairman of SEC

 

5. We take into account that the ETF movement would accelerate in growth and within 18 months WisdomTree will manage $15 billion.


6. At an effective 35¢ management fee, we are talking about a net income of $50 million and gross income of $85 million.


7. Assuming that money would flood the ETF's for several more years, the $50 would get a multiple of 30. After all, it is all cash income with limited amount of expenses, in an industry which will bring additional cash income under the corporate umbrella, for it is basically supervised by some of the most sophisticated and well-connected people in the financial world.


8. In the financial industry, to predict diversification is always very dangerous, but there is an expression that "Everything has its price". If we analyze the future, jumping 18 months ahead and seeing $50 million annual income and future increase of annual income of let's say $20 million in each year, the company could actually spend $100 million for an acquisition.


Thus, WisdomTree in the year 2008 would be in a position of having the possibility of $100 million cash over a period of years, half a billion dollar market cap, being a leading factor in a promising, cash-rich, growing industry.


Many years ago in the 1960s, when a young man, Saul Steinberg, father of Jonathan Steinberg, was in the same position with his first company called Leasco. His stock went from $5 to $280. He could issue convertible preferred shares. He had constant cash flow, and he acquired a medium-size but cash-rich insurance company - Reliance Insurance of Philadelphia in 1968.


History sometimes repeats itself, but one thing is sure -- in 1960 Saul Steinberg observed the possibilities of a growing financial conglomerate, and it is our assumption that WisdomTree, with its prestigious ownership and board of directors and the presidency of Jonathan Steinberg, may surprise the world in the first decade of the 21st century.


Of course, in the year 2007, Jonathan Steinberg has a company.

 

Michael Steinhard
Chairman of the Board
Hedge Fund manager
Jim Robinson (RR Ventures)
Director, former Chairman of American Express
Arthur Levitt
Advisor, former Chairman of SEC
Prof. J. Siegel Professor, Wharton School
Director
Jonathan Steinberg
Chief Executive Officer
Bruce Levine
President


THIS IS NOT MEDIOCRE EXPERIENCES.


On December 22, 2006, WisdomTree raised $56.4M in a private placement, spearheaded by AIG and Atlantic Pacific. WSAT issued 18,800,000 shares.

 

The dramatic increase of the equity base transferred the horizon of this young company.

 

Major Investors
AIG Global Investment Group
  
}
$56.4M private placement
(December 22, 2006)
Atlantic Pacific Investments
Table 3
Country Ticker 1-year return 2-year return
Brazil EWZ 33.1% 118.1%
BRIC EEB -- --
China FXI 56.7% 80.1%
EM Index EEM 26.1% 75.9%
Hong Kong EWH 19.6% 28.1%
Latin America ILF 32.3% 118.5%
Malaysia EWM 29.7% 29.7%
Mexico EWW 38.2% 109.0%
South Africa EZA 16.0% 44.5%
South Korea EWY 11.9% 29.5%
Taiwan EWT 19.1% 24.2%

 

The chart above shows that while all of these funds have performed well, growth in Latin America and Mexico, which was so strong in 2004, has slowed in the past year. Meanwhile, growth in the return of Asian funds has generally improved. Though iShares MSCI Brazil and iShares MSCI Mexico Index have done phenomenally well over the last year, their outperformance as a category has slipped. The Chinese ETF, iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index is the best performer on a one-year basis, and also shows the largest improvement, harvesting most of its growth over the past two years in the last 12 months.

 

Claymore ETF Plays on Uncovered Companies

 

Under the neglected-stock effect, companies that fly under Wall Street's reader without much analyst coverage outperform the better-known and heavily-covered names. It's based on the theory that companies with undiscovered potential will produce superior returns.

But the problem is there are 4,000+ stocks with no analyst coverage. Clearly, they can't all be great investments. The Claymore/Sabrient Stealth ETF aims to find the best investments that have yet to catch Wall Street's attention.

 

ETF's Bring the Bling

 

For the past couple of years, gold has been, well, golden as an investment. In late 2004, the streetTRACKS Gold Shares Fund became the first ETF that tracked a commodity. This fund gives investors a cheap and easy way to invest in gold and has accumulated billions of dollars in assets. Success breeds imitators, and in early 2005, Barclays Global Investors followed up with its own gold fund, the iShares COMEX Gold Trust. In April, 2006, Barclays provided investors another opportunity to shine up their portfolios when it launched the iShares Silver Trust. The SLV fund can be traded just like any other ETF, while the precious metal that the fund holds is safely secured in a vault.

 

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS (ETF) CENTER

 

Fund Name
Ticker
Category
Fund/
Family
Intraday Return (Mkt)
3-mos. Return (Mkt)
YTD Return
(Mkt)
1-year Return
(Mkt)
3-year
Return
(Mkt)
iShares Dow Jones U.S. Healthcare Provider
IHF
Specialty Health
iShares Trust
0.91%
(4.82%)
NA
NA
NA
iShares MSCI Austria Index
EWO
Europe Stock
iShares Inc.
0.60%
12.65%
27.15%
33.13%
42.34%
PowerShares Golden Dragon Halter USX China
PGJ
Pacific/Asia
ex-Japan Stk
PowerShares Exchange Traded Fund Trust
0.56%
19.59%
38.22%
39.44%
NA
Financial Select Sector SPDR
XLF
Specialty- Financial
Select Sector Spdr Trust
0.52%
7.21%
14.58%
14.60%
12.14%

 

 

   Andrew Racz

 

(Article 45 - posted December 26, 2006)

 

         DISCLAIMER

Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuers reports or communications or other sources believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by us and we do not make any representation to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes only current opinions which are subject to change. BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts or employees may have positions in the securities or commodities referred to herein, and may as principal or agent buy and sell such securities or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director for companies mentioned in this report. Neither the information nor any comment expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or commodities mentioned herein. There may be instances when fundamental, technical and competitive opinions may not be in concert. This firm may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for or which investment banking or other businesses from any company mentioned in this report