"1848 and
Beyond"
posted
August 4, 2005
"An
African Queen"
posted August 11, 2005
"Near Hit"
posted August 16, 2005
"Orko
Gold"
posted August 18, 2005
"Mr.
Smith Goes To Hungary"
posted September 1, 2005
"A
Letter To
President Bush"
posted September 8, 2005
"Mr
Clarke -
Call In The Boys"
posted September 12, 2005
"Orezone"
posted September 23, 2005
"U.S.
Gold Corp."
posted September 29, 2005
"Mr.
Prime Minister"
posted October 13, 2005
"The
Business of Hungary is Business!"
posted October 31, 2005
"Then
And Now"
posted November 9, 2005
"50
Relatives Worse Than Yours"
posted November 14, 2005
"Bunker
Hunt-Silver-China"
posted November 28, 2005
"The
Currency of Mass Destruction"
posted December 5, 2005
"Sonesta
International Hotels Corporation"
posted December 29, 2005
"Northern
Star Mining"
posted January 16, 2006
"Other
People's Money -Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq."
posted January 28, 2006
"Your
Money Is Not Yours"
-Enron & Martin Siegel, Esq.
posted February 9, 2006
"A
Tribute to
Rudy Giuliani"
posted February 15, 2006
"Interview
with
Robert McEwen-
U.S. Gold Corporation"
posted February 22, 2006
"Sparton
Resources"
posted March 1, 2006
"Harvest
Gold"
posted March 2, 2006
"Midway
Gold
Corporation"
posted March 23, 2006
"Pocketful
Of
Miracles"
posted April 8, 2006
"J.P.
Morgan Offers Advice To Ken Lay"
posted April 11, 2006
"The
Principal Guest Was Missing"
posted April 25, 2006
"Ken
Lay's Legacy"
posted May 8, 2006
"Gateway
Gold:
It's A Gold Story"
posted May 15, 2006
"Northern
Star
Mining Corp."
posted May 19, 2006
"I
Am An Immigrant!"
posted June 7, 2006
"Oil
& Gas
Energy Crisis Solution"
posted July 3, 2006
"Let
There Be Sunshine" -
Kirk Kerkorian
posted July 12, 2006
"The
Age of Mediocrity"
posted July 19, 2006
"Silver
In The
Twenty-First Century"
posted August 16, 2006
"Silver
Wheaton - SLW"
posted August 28, 2006
"A
Matter of Reasonable Doubt"
Ken Lay - Enron
posted August 30, 2006
"Brilliant
Mining Corp."
posted September 17, 2006
"The
Kennedy-Nixon debate revisited"
posted October 4, 2006
"The
Arrival of the
Nickel Billionaires"
posted October 18, 2006
"Global
Options
Group, Inc."
posted November 1, 2006
"This
Year I'm Voting For Dick Nixon"
posted November 7, 2006
"Aero
Mechanical Services, Ltd"
posted November 17, 2006
"Entree
Gold Inc."
posted December 13, 2006
"Susan
Polgar-
World Chess Champion"
posted December 14, 2006 |
|
BERAL,
INC.
Andrew G. Racz
Director of Research
300 East 54 Street, Suite 26C
New York, New York 10022
Telephone: (212) 319-6949
Fax: (212) 753-1944
E-mail:
mlikar@aol.com
December
26, 2006
WisdomTree Investments, Inc.
(WSAT - PK)
|
| Price:
$8.00 |
Earnings
per share* |
| |
|
| Price
range: $9.40 - $2.50 |
2007E |
$0.10
- 0.20 |
| |
2008E |
$0.20
- 0.34 |
| |
2009E |
$0.35
- 0.50 |
Capitalization
(December 31, 2006 Est.) |
| |
|
|
Long-term
debt: |
Ø |
|
Stockholders'
equity:
|
$65,000,000 |
|
Common Shares Outstanding
118,000,000
|
*Per-share earnings and corporate cash positions
depend on the size of the assets under management.
The company may expand into diversified money
management concerns. |
|
Michael
Steinhard |
Chairman
of the Board
Hedge Fund manager
|
Jim
Robinson (RR Ventures) |
Director,
former Chairman of American Express |
Arthur
Levitt |
Advisor,
former Chairman of SEC |
Prof.
J. Siegel Professor, Wharton School |
Director |
Jonathan
Steinberg |
Chief
Executive Officer |
Bruce
Levine |
President |
|
THIS
IS NOT MEDIOCRE EXPERIENCES. |
|
On December 22, 2006, WisdomTree raised $56.4M in a private
placement, spearheaded by AIG and Atlantic Pacific. WSAT issued
18,800,000 shares.
The dramatic increase of the equity base transferred
the horizon of this young company.
Major
Investors |
AIG
Global Investment Group
|
} |
$56.4M private placement
(December 22, 2006) |
| Atlantic
Pacific Investments |
|
The Concept of the ETF Business
An ETF is the recent form of derivatives.
It is the most recent, the simplest, the most easily accessible
on the international markets. The recent merger of the NYSE
and Euronext is a potential boom to ETF's. It competes with
risky currency trading and creates the easiest way to trade
commodities.
The size of the total market is $400 billion.
A case can be for it to grow into a trillion-dollar market
before the end of 2010.
WisdomTree can grow in five years to participate
with $30 billion, representing a revenue base of over $100
million.
WisdomTree's History
WisdomTree is one of the first publicly-owned companies formed
to function to manage ETF's. An ETF is a novel way to permit
investors to participate in a special group of securities,
domestic, foreign tied to currencies, tied to a particular
commodity or restricted to a particular set of companies in
a particular industry.
By definition, WisdomTree Trust is a Delaware statutory trust
registered as an investment company with the SEC. Each separate
WisdomTree ETF is a series of WisdomTree trusts. By definition,
investors should consider their investment objectives, risk
and expenses. Each ETF prospectus covers a particular investment
mode. It discloses the particular investment risk, the buying
interest in a special set of securities, and in case of a
foreign ownership the risk of currency oscillation. The fund
can focus on a single country, a sector, and other fund investments
in smaller companies as well as foreign companies. The funds
are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc.
ETF's cover currencies. For the first time investors can take
positions in currencies without the usual leveraged trading
risk. Instead of 5% downpayment, the ETF is just as liquid
but subject to the same margin requirements of the New York
Stock Exchange.
WisdomTree has registered twenty ETF's on June 16, 2006, listed
on the NYSE. In less than four months of trading, the twenty
WisdomTree funds attracted $700 million in assets. On October
30, 2006, ten additional WisdomTree trusts international sector
ETF's were registered. The description of the ten appears
in the table below.
Each ETF will focus on a specific industry sector tracking
an underlying WisdomTree Index consisting of only international
equity securities. The WisdomTree Trust international sector
ETF's will be the first ETF's to offer pure international
sector exposure. Existing ETF's are based on a "global"
section model and contain a mix of both international and
domestic securities.
The 10 new ETF's will have an expense ratio of .58% and represent
the following international sectors:
• WisdomTree International Basic Materials Sector
Fund (DBN)
• WisdomTree International Communications Sector Fund
(DGG)
• WisdomTree International Consumer Cyclical Sector
Fund (DPC)
• WisdomTree International Consumer Non-Cyclical Sector
Fund (DPN)
• WisdomTree International Energy Sector Fund (DKA)
• WisdomTree International Financial Sector Fund (DRF)
• WisdomTree International Health Care Sector Fund
(DBR)
• WisdomTree International Industrial Sector Fund
(DDI)
• WisdomTree International Technology Sector Fund
(DBT)
• WisdomTree International Utilities Sector Fund (DBU)
The management fee for an ETF oscillates between
.28 to .58. It should be mentioned that the ten international
funds would have a .58 expense ratio. At the time of writing,
there is an additional thirty-one ETF's being registered,
which are likely to be effective sometime in late December,
2006. It should be mentioned that WisdomTree out of its management
fee subcontracts the cost of subcontracting Bank of New York.
The bank sets up a funding trading trust for:
(a) executing orders,
(b) bookkeeping, and
(c) managing a number of shares in each ETF in correspondence
with allocated shares from the various underlying companies.
The Bank of New York fee is about 20 percent.
The following table therefore can illustrate the potential
profit of WisdomTree from monies under management. In following
the company since its inception, it should be mentioned that
with a limited number of ETF's outstanding, the WisdomTree
ETF's have managed one billion dollars in assets on November
30, 2006, and at the time of writing the figure approaches
$1.5 billion.
| |
|
Money
under management |
Gross
Revenue
(.58) |
| June
16, 2006 |
20
EFT |
0 |
|
| Oct.
30, 2006 |
+10
EFT
30 EFT
|
$700M |
$4.060 |
| Nov.
30, 2006 |
|
$1,000M |
5.8 |
| Dec.
31, 2006E |
+31
EFT
61 EFT
|
$1500 |
7.5 |
|
With the expansion of the ETF movement and the number of ETF's
under management, it is not inconceivable that by the end
of 2007 WisdomTree (WSAT) could have nearly $5-10 billion
under management. The following years $10 billion can also
be increased in time. There is a strong net in-flow from existing
clients and even greater from the diversification of the ETF's,
or rather what's called asset diversification policy.
While an ETF is basically an open-ended fund, it provides
investors with the possibility of investing in a particular
segment of the market easily. Since the ETF's are listed on
either the NYSE, the American Stock Exchange or the London
Exchange, the marketability is a factor.
The ETF movement
In 1993, the American Stock Exchange pioneered the concept
of a tradable basket of stocks with the creation of the Standard
& Poor's depository receipt, exchange traded funds, ETF's.
Ever since it has continued to grow in number. In July, 2006,
the total amount of money was $337 billion. The ETF's which
used to have international institutions as major clients have
become the darling of individual investors. Although the American
Stock Exchange is the father of ETF's, it has grown rapidly
elsewhere. Some of the most popular ETF's are listed in Table
3.
Attention should be paid to the various gold trusts which
became an everyday trading vehicle to entities and individuals
who raise the commodity markets. Furthermore, foreign markets
have outpaced the United States. ETF's focus on emerging markets,
Asia, the Pacific, and now concentrate on commodities. When
the silver ETF was formed, it has absorbed 100 million ounces
of silver from the market, with the result that 10 percent
of the yearly production went into the ETF and raised the
price of silver from $7.00 to $14.00. This shows that the
convenient way to permit anybody to buy silver, gold, a foreign
country, real estate, attracts capital and consequently the
ETF market is now an international phenomenon. The main players
are listed in the table below. The total amounts to $400 billion.
| |
Leading
ETF Managers |
| Barclays |
$250B |
States
Street Bank
of Boston |
$90B |
| Vanguard |
$11B |
|
The valuation of WisdomTree should be studied in contrast
to the growth of the ETF movement.
| ETF
assets under management |
$15B
= $15,000 |
| Gross
revenues '58 |
$87M |
| Net
'35 |
$50M |
| Per
share |
74 |
| Annual
asset growth |
20% |
| |
Cash
Accumulation |
| 2006: |
Internal
|
$5.0M |
|
| |
Private
placement |
56M |
|
| |
|
|
$61.0M |
| |
|
|
|
| 2007: |
Internal |
$20.0+ |
|
| |
Cash
c/w |
61.0 |
|
| |
Possible
public offering |
100.0 |
|
| |
|
|
$181.0M |
| |
|
|
|
| 2008: |
Cash
c/w |
181.0 |
|
| |
Interest |
10.0 |
|
| |
Internal |
50.0 |
|
| |
Possible
public offering |
100.0 |
|
| |
|
$341.0 |
$341.0 |
|
WSAT is not only an operating entity but a
fast accumulator of cash.
The market has its own momentum to back a
winning idea.
When I came to America in 1964, A.W. Jones, a hedge fund with
$30 million, was a serious market player. Today the hedge
fund industry amounts to probably $1.5 trillion and it participates
meaningfully in the international markets.
Twenty-five years ago the so-called LBO funds, spearheaded
by KKR, didn't amount to more than $10 billion. Today after
twenty-five years, $100 billion LBO is being considered for
Home Depot, and individuals such as John Castle, a former
president of Donaldson Lufkin is known to handle along $8
billion worth of assets and Sam Heyman, a former president
of GAF, is now the second largest stockholder of the London
Stock Exchange.
Basically, both the LBO and the hedge fund business, unusual
to many, not only stayed but prospered and grew.
The ETF movement has various advantages over the previously
mentioned two.
1. It is easy to comprehend by anyone,
even the least sophisticated investors.
2. It's marketed with great skill and diversified
forces on listed exchanges.
3. It replaces the detailed research and
detailed decision-making from investments while providing
a vehicle for the average investor, the sophisticated investor,
for foreign investors to put their dollars where they want
to.
4. Foreign investment has never been more
powerful than today. The London Economist estimates that
by the end of 2007, the Chinese will have investable surplus
funds of $700 billion. At the same time, the Middle Eastern
oil countries will have $1.7 trillion. This is $2.4 trillion
in total.
When we take into account that the ETF movement is basically
five years old, and the hedge fund business, even on a large
scale, is let's say twenty years old. The ETF movement is
probably not more than 20 percent of the hedge funds' money,
we must conclude that the ETF's have a great role to play
in moving capital all over the world at great speed, in great
quantities, and with great efficiency.
The Role of WisdomTree Investments
Even though WisdomTree is a young company, its management
is a group of remarkable talents. The president, Jonathan
Steinberg, has followed and participated in the investment
business from the age of twenty. Michael Steinhardt does not
require any introduction. He's a legendary investor and former
hedge fund manager, and a lifelong participant in the investment
scene in New York. Arthur Levitt was head of the SEC, the
Amex, and a founding member of the brokerage firm of Carter,
Levitt & Weil.
The company has 700 million shares outstanding, with a distribution
of ownership as per the following table. The intellect of
management is unquestioned, and it is such financial sophistication
which will be called into being as the story unfolds.
| Chairman |
Michael Steinhardt |
Hedge Fund Manager |
| |
Arthur
Levitt |
Chairman
of SEC |
|
5. We take into account
that the ETF movement would accelerate in growth and within
18 months WisdomTree will manage $15 billion.
6. At an effective 35¢ management
fee, we are talking about a net income of $50 million and
gross income of $85 million.
7. Assuming that money would flood the
ETF's for several more years, the $50 would get a multiple
of 30. After all, it is all cash income with limited amount
of expenses, in an industry which will bring additional
cash income under the corporate umbrella, for it is basically
supervised by some of the most sophisticated and well-connected
people in the financial world.
8. In the financial industry, to predict
diversification is always very dangerous, but there is an
expression that "Everything has its price". If
we analyze the future, jumping 18 months ahead and seeing
$50 million annual income and future increase of annual
income of let's say $20 million in each year, the company
could actually spend $100 million for an acquisition.
Thus, WisdomTree in the year 2008 would be in a position of
having the possibility of $100 million cash over a period
of years, half a billion dollar market cap, being a leading
factor in a promising, cash-rich, growing industry.
Many years ago in the 1960s, when a young man, Saul Steinberg,
father of Jonathan Steinberg, was in the same position with
his first company called Leasco. His stock went from $5 to
$280. He could issue convertible preferred shares. He had
constant cash flow, and he acquired a medium-size but cash-rich
insurance company - Reliance Insurance of Philadelphia in
1968.
History sometimes repeats itself, but one thing is sure --
in 1960 Saul Steinberg observed the possibilities of a growing
financial conglomerate, and it is our assumption that WisdomTree,
with its prestigious ownership and board of directors and
the presidency of Jonathan Steinberg, may surprise the world
in the first decade of the 21st century.
Of course, in the year 2007, Jonathan Steinberg has a company.
Michael
Steinhard |
Chairman
of the Board
Hedge Fund manager
|
Jim
Robinson (RR Ventures) |
Director,
former Chairman of American Express |
Arthur
Levitt |
Advisor,
former Chairman of SEC |
Prof.
J. Siegel Professor, Wharton School |
Director |
Jonathan
Steinberg |
Chief
Executive Officer |
Bruce
Levine |
President |
|
THIS
IS NOT MEDIOCRE EXPERIENCES. |
|
On December 22, 2006, WisdomTree raised $56.4M in a private
placement, spearheaded by AIG and Atlantic Pacific. WSAT issued
18,800,000 shares.
The dramatic increase of the equity base transferred
the horizon of this young company.
Major
Investors |
AIG
Global Investment Group
|
} |
$56.4M private placement
(December 22, 2006) |
| Atlantic Pacific
Investments |
|
Table 3
| Country |
Ticker |
1-year
return |
2-year
return |
| Brazil |
EWZ |
33.1% |
118.1% |
| BRIC |
EEB |
-- |
-- |
| China
|
FXI |
56.7% |
80.1% |
| EM
Index |
EEM |
26.1% |
75.9% |
| Hong
Kong |
EWH |
19.6% |
28.1% |
| Latin
America |
ILF |
32.3% |
118.5% |
| Malaysia |
EWM |
29.7% |
29.7% |
| Mexico
|
EWW |
38.2% |
109.0% |
| South
Africa |
EZA |
16.0% |
44.5% |
| South Korea |
EWY |
11.9% |
29.5% |
| Taiwan |
EWT |
19.1% |
24.2% |
|
The chart above shows that while all of these
funds have performed well, growth in Latin America and Mexico,
which was so strong in 2004, has slowed in the past year.
Meanwhile, growth in the return of Asian funds has generally
improved. Though iShares MSCI Brazil and iShares MSCI Mexico
Index have done phenomenally well over the last year, their
outperformance as a category has slipped. The Chinese ETF,
iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index is the best performer on
a one-year basis, and also shows the largest improvement,
harvesting most of its growth over the past two years in the
last 12 months.
Claymore ETF Plays on Uncovered Companies
Under the neglected-stock effect, companies
that fly under Wall Street's reader without much analyst coverage
outperform the better-known and heavily-covered names. It's
based on the theory that companies with undiscovered potential
will produce superior returns.
But the problem is there are 4,000+ stocks
with no analyst coverage. Clearly, they can't all be great
investments. The Claymore/Sabrient Stealth ETF aims to find
the best investments that have yet to catch Wall Street's
attention.
ETF's Bring the Bling
For the past couple of years, gold has been,
well, golden as an investment. In late 2004, the streetTRACKS
Gold Shares Fund became the first ETF that tracked a commodity.
This fund gives investors a cheap and easy way to invest in
gold and has accumulated billions of dollars in assets. Success
breeds imitators, and in early 2005, Barclays Global Investors
followed up with its own gold fund, the iShares COMEX Gold
Trust. In April, 2006, Barclays provided investors another
opportunity to shine up their portfolios when it launched
the iShares Silver Trust. The SLV fund can be traded just
like any other ETF, while the precious metal that the fund
holds is safely secured in a vault.
EXCHANGE-TRADED
FUNDS (ETF) CENTER
Fund Name |
Ticker |
Category |
Fund/
Family
|
Intraday Return
(Mkt) |
3-mos. Return
(Mkt) |
YTD Return
(Mkt)
|
1-year Return
(Mkt)
|
3-year
Return
(Mkt) |
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Healthcare Provider |
IHF |
Specialty Health |
iShares Trust |
0.91% |
(4.82%) |
NA |
NA |
NA |
| iShares MSCI Austria Index |
EWO |
Europe Stock |
iShares Inc. |
0.60% |
12.65% |
27.15% |
33.13% |
42.34% |
| PowerShares Golden Dragon Halter USX China |
PGJ |
Pacific/Asia
ex-Japan Stk
|
PowerShares Exchange Traded Fund
Trust |
0.56% |
19.59% |
38.22% |
39.44% |
NA |
| Financial Select Sector SPDR |
XLF |
Specialty- Financial |
Select Sector Spdr Trust |
0.52% |
7.21% |
14.58% |
14.60% |
12.14% |
Andrew Racz

(Article
45 - posted December 26, 2006)
DISCLAIMER
Information
contained herein is based on data obtained from
recognized statistical services, issuers reports
or communications or other sources believed
to be reliable. However, such information has
not been verified by us and we do not make any
representation to its accuracy or completeness.
Any statement non-factual in nature constitutes
only current opinions which are subject to change.
BERAL INC. or their officers, directors, analysts
or employees may have positions in the securities
or commodities referred to herein, and may as
principal or agent buy and sell such securities
or commodities. An employee, analyst, officer
or a director of BERAL INC. may serve as a director
for companies mentioned in this report. Neither
the information nor any comment expressed shall
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities or commodities
mentioned herein. There may be instances when
fundamental, technical and competitive opinions
may not be in concert. This firm may from time
to time perform investment banking or other
services for or which investment banking or
other businesses from any company mentioned
in this report |
|
e-mail: mlikar@aol.com
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